Guardians vs. Tigers Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 23

Updated Jul. 23, 2024 6:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Josh Naylor and the Cleveland Guardians will play Riley Greene and the Detroit Tigers at Progressive Field on Tuesday. The Tigers are listed as +115 moneyline underdogs for this matchup against the favored Guardians (-136). Cleveland is a 1.5-run favorite (at +148 odds). The total is 8.5 runs for this contest (with -117 odds on the over and -102 odds on the under).

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Guardians-Tigers game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Tigers vs. Guardians Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Detroit Tigers and the Cleveland Guardians on Monday, July 22.

Guardians vs. Tigers Game Information & Odds

When: Tuesday, July 23, 2024 at 6:40 PM ET
Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
How to Watch on TV: BSDET

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Guardians	-136	+115	8.5	-117	-102	-1.5	+148	-179

Guardians vs. Tigers Prediction

Score Prediction: Guardians 5, Tigers 4
Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Guardians 54%, Tigers 46%

Guardians vs. Tigers Betting Insights

The Guardians have won 44, or 66.7%, of the 66 games they've played as favorites this season.
This season Cleveland has won 18 of its 31 games, or 58.1%, when favored by at least -136 on the moneyline.
The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 57.6% chance of a victory for the Guardians.
The Tigers have won in 27, or 48.2%, of the 56 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
This season, Detroit has been victorious 12 times in 27 chances when named as an underdog of at least +115 or longer on the moneyline.
The Tigers have an implied victory probability of 46.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

The Guardians played as the moneyline favorite in six of their last 10 games, and finished 3-3 in those matchups.
In their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Guardians combined with their opponents to go over the run total four times.
The Guardians have gone 3-7-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	2.8
HR	6
ERA	3.93
K/9	8.7

Guardians Player Insights

Jose Ramirez paces the Guardians in home runs (23) and runs batted in (80).
Ramirez's home runs put him seventh in the majors, and he is second in RBI.
Ramirez carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .250 with a double and three RBI.
Naylor is batting .239 with 16 doubles, 22 home runs and 36 walks.
Naylor ranks 10th in homers in the majors, and fourth in RBI.
Steven Kwan has put up a team-high batting average of .343.
Andres Gimenez has 13 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 17 walks while batting .246.

Guardians Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Steven Kwan	1.5 (+190)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+1100)	0.5 (+235)
David Fry	0.5 (-195)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+155)
José Ramírez	0.5 ()	1.5 (-110)	0.5 (+390)	0.5 (+130)
Josh Naylor	0.5 (-210)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+175)
Angel Martinez	0.5 (-190)	0.5 ()	0.5 (+850)	0.5 (+240)

Learn more about this Guardians vs. Tigers matchup on Fox Sports.

Tigers Recent Betting Performance

In seven games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by bookmakers, the Tigers had a record of 5-2.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Tigers and their opponents have failed to hit the over twice.
The Tigers have a record of 9-1-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Tigers Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	7-3
Runs Per Game	6.5
HR	16
ERA	4.15
K/9	8

Tigers Player Insights

Greene leads the squad with a batting average of .268, and leads the Tigers in home runs, with 17 and runs batted in with 51.
Greene's home run total puts him 31st in the majors, and he is 43rd in RBI.
Matt Vierling is batting .256 with 17 doubles, five triples, 12 home runs and 16 walks.
Vierling ranks 82nd overall in home runs and 96th in RBI this year.
Colt Keith is batting .251 with 10 doubles, two triples, 10 home runs and 24 walks.
Mark Canha is hitting .236 with 16 doubles, seven home runs and 40 walks.

Tigers Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Wenceel Perez	0.5 (-205)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+200)
Matt Vierling	1.5 (+180)	1.5 (-110)	0.5 (+380)	0.5 (+160)
Carson Kelly	0.5 (-220)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+150)
Riley Greene	0.5 (-265)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+380)	0.5 (+135)
Zach McKinstry	0.5 (-190)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+200)