Guardians vs. Tigers Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 25

Updated Jul. 25, 2024 1:01 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Josh Naylor and the Cleveland Guardians will look to do damage against Tyler Holton when he starts for the Detroit Tigers on Thursday at 1:10 PM ET, in the final game of a four-game series at Progressive Field. The Guardians are favored in this one, at -152, while the underdog Tigers have +128 odds to upset. Cleveland is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +138 odds). The total is 7.5 runs for this matchup (with -113 odds on the over and -108 odds to go under).

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Guardians-Tigers game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Tigers vs. Guardians Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments from this game between the Detroit Tigers and the Cleveland Guardians!

Guardians vs. Tigers Game Information & Odds

When: Thursday, July 25, 2024 at 1:10 PM ET
Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
How to Watch on TV: BSDET

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Guardians	-152	+128	7.5	-113	-108	-1.5	+138	-165

Guardians vs. Tigers Prediction

Score Prediction: Guardians 5, Tigers 4
Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Guardians 55%, Tigers 45%

Guardians vs. Tigers Betting Insights

This season, the Guardians have won 46 out of the 68 games, or 67.6%, in which they've been favored.
This season Cleveland has won 14 of its 21 games, or 66.7%, when favored by at least -152 on the moneyline.
The moneyline for this contest implies a 60.3% chance of a victory for the Guardians.
The Tigers have been chosen as underdogs in 58 games this year and have walked away with the win 27 times (46.6%) in those games.
Detroit has a mark of 4-10 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +128 or worse on the moneyline.
Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Tigers have a 43.9% chance of pulling out a win.

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

The Guardians went 4-2 over the six games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
In their last 10 matchups, the Guardians and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total three times (all 10 games had set totals).
The Guardians' record against the spread is 3-7-0 over their past 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	2.2
HR	6
ERA	3.10
K/9	8.6

Guardians Player Insights

Jose Ramirez has gone yard 24 times in the 2024 campaign while driving in 82 runs, both totals that lead the Guardians.
In all of MLB, Ramirez is seventh in homers and second in RBI.
Josh Naylor has 16 doubles, 22 home runs and 38 walks while batting .237.
Naylor ranks 12th in home runs and fifth in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
Steven Kwan has racked up a team-best batting average of .345.
Kwan has at least one base hit in three games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .211 with a home run, a walk and two RBI.
Andres Gimenez is batting .244 with 14 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 17 walks.

Guardians Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Angel Martinez	0.5 (-225)	1.5 ()	0.5 (+900)	0.5 (+200)
Will Brennan	0.5 (-220)	1.5 ()	0.5 (+850)	0.5 (+190)
Jhonkensy Noel	0.5 (-200)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+400)	0.5 (+165)
David Fry	0.5 (-230)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+145)
Andrés Giménez	0.5 (-215)	1.5 ()	0.5 (+900)	0.5 (+225)

Learn more about this Guardians vs. Tigers matchup on Fox Sports.

Tigers Recent Betting Performance

In seven games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Tigers have a record of 4-3.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Tigers and their opponents are 7-3-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
The Tigers are 9-1-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Tigers Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	5.7
HR	13
ERA	3.68
K/9	8.2

Tigers Player Insights

Riley Greene leads the Tigers with 17 home runs and 51 runs batted in, while recording a team-high batting average of .267.
Greene's home run total places him 33rd in the majors, and he is 45th in RBI.
Matt Vierling is batting .254 with 17 doubles, five triples, 13 home runs and 17 walks.
Vierling is 72nd among all hitters in the majors in home runs, and 93rd in RBI.
Colt Keith has 10 doubles, two triples, 10 home runs and 25 walks while batting .252.
Wenceel Perez is batting .258 with 13 doubles, five triples, seven home runs and 23 walks.

Tigers Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Wenceel Perez	0.5 (-225)	1.5 ()	0.5 (+950)	0.5 (+285)
Matt Vierling	0.5 (-205)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+185)
Gio Urshela	0.5 (-240)	1.5 (+155)	0.5 (+1100)	0.5 (+205)
Colt Keith	0.5 (-230)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+800)	0.5 (+230)
Jake Rogers	0.5 (-130)	0.5 (-130)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+245)