Guardians vs. Tigers Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 25
Josh Naylor and the Cleveland Guardians will look to do damage against Tyler Holton when he starts for the Detroit Tigers on Thursday at 1:10 PM ET, in the final game of a four-game series at Progressive Field. The Guardians are favored in this one, at -152, while the underdog Tigers have +128 odds to upset. Cleveland is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +138 odds). The total is 7.5 runs for this matchup (with -113 odds on the over and -108 odds to go under).
Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Guardians-Tigers game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
Tigers vs. Guardians Highlights | MLB on FOX
Guardians vs. Tigers Game Information & Odds
- When: Thursday, July 25, 2024 at 1:10 PM ET
- Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
- How to Watch on TV: BSDET
Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Guardians | -152 | +128 | 7.5 | -113 | -108 | -1.5 | +138 | -165 |
Guardians vs. Tigers Prediction
- Score Prediction: Guardians 5, Tigers 4
- Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
- Win Probabilities: Guardians 55%, Tigers 45%
Guardians vs. Tigers Betting Insights
- This season, the Guardians have won 46 out of the 68 games, or 67.6%, in which they've been favored.
- This season Cleveland has won 14 of its 21 games, or 66.7%, when favored by at least -152 on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 60.3% chance of a victory for the Guardians.
- The Tigers have been chosen as underdogs in 58 games this year and have walked away with the win 27 times (46.6%) in those games.
- Detroit has a mark of 4-10 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +128 or worse on the moneyline.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Tigers have a 43.9% chance of pulling out a win.
Guardians Recent Betting Performance
- The Guardians went 4-2 over the six games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
- In their last 10 matchups, the Guardians and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total three times (all 10 games had set totals).
- The Guardians' record against the spread is 3-7-0 over their past 10 games.
Guardians Recent Stats
Stat | Avg/Total |
---|---|
Record | 4-6 |
Runs Per Game | 2.2 |
HR | 6 |
ERA | 3.10 |
K/9 | 8.6 |
Guardians Player Insights
- Jose Ramirez has gone yard 24 times in the 2024 campaign while driving in 82 runs, both totals that lead the Guardians.
- In all of MLB, Ramirez is seventh in homers and second in RBI.
- Josh Naylor has 16 doubles, 22 home runs and 38 walks while batting .237.
- Naylor ranks 12th in home runs and fifth in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
- Steven Kwan has racked up a team-best batting average of .345.
- Kwan has at least one base hit in three games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .211 with a home run, a walk and two RBI.
- Andres Gimenez is batting .244 with 14 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 17 walks.
Guardians Team Props
Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Angel Martinez | 0.5 (-225) | 1.5 () | 0.5 (+900) | 0.5 (+200) |
Will Brennan | 0.5 (-220) | 1.5 () | 0.5 (+850) | 0.5 (+190) |
Jhonkensy Noel | 0.5 (-200) | 1.5 (+130) | 0.5 (+400) | 0.5 (+165) |
David Fry | 0.5 (-230) | 1.5 (+120) | 0.5 (+500) | 0.5 (+145) |
Andrés Giménez | 0.5 (-215) | 1.5 () | 0.5 (+900) | 0.5 (+225) |
Learn more about this Guardians vs. Tigers matchup on Fox Sports.
Tigers Recent Betting Performance
- In seven games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Tigers have a record of 4-3.
- In their last 10 games with a total, the Tigers and their opponents are 7-3-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
- The Tigers are 9-1-0 ATS over their last 10 games.
Tigers Recent Stats
Stat | Avg/Total |
---|---|
Record | 6-4 |
Runs Per Game | 5.7 |
HR | 13 |
ERA | 3.68 |
K/9 | 8.2 |
Tigers Player Insights
- Riley Greene leads the Tigers with 17 home runs and 51 runs batted in, while recording a team-high batting average of .267.
- Greene's home run total places him 33rd in the majors, and he is 45th in RBI.
- Matt Vierling is batting .254 with 17 doubles, five triples, 13 home runs and 17 walks.
- Vierling is 72nd among all hitters in the majors in home runs, and 93rd in RBI.
- Colt Keith has 10 doubles, two triples, 10 home runs and 25 walks while batting .252.
- Wenceel Perez is batting .258 with 13 doubles, five triples, seven home runs and 23 walks.
Tigers Team Props
Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Wenceel Perez | 0.5 (-225) | 1.5 () | 0.5 (+950) | 0.5 (+285) |
Matt Vierling | 0.5 (-205) | 1.5 (+140) | 0.5 (+600) | 0.5 (+185) |
Gio Urshela | 0.5 (-240) | 1.5 (+155) | 0.5 (+1100) | 0.5 (+205) |
Colt Keith | 0.5 (-230) | 1.5 (+130) | 0.5 (+800) | 0.5 (+230) |
Jake Rogers | 0.5 (-130) | 0.5 (-130) | 0.5 (+700) | 0.5 (+245) |
Tigers vs. Guardians Highlights | MLB on FOX
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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