Guardians vs. Tigers Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 29

Guardians vs. Tigers Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 29

Updated Jul. 29, 2024 6:00 p.m. ET

Beau Brieske gets the nod on the mound for the Detroit Tigers in the first of a two-game series against the Cleveland Guardians and Jose Ramirez on Monday at 6:40 PM ET. The Guardians are the favorite in this one, at -161, while the underdog Tigers have +135 odds to win. Cleveland is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The matchup's total is set at 7.5 runs.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Guardians-Tigers game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Guardians vs. Tigers Game Information & Odds

  • When: Monday, July 29, 2024 at 6:40 PM ET
  • Where: Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan
  • How to Watch on TV: BSDET
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Guardians -161 +135 7.5 -106 -114 -1.5 +109 -130

Guardians vs. Tigers Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Tigers 5, Guardians 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 7.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Guardians 52%, Tigers 48%

Guardians vs. Tigers Betting Insights

  • The Guardians have entered the game as favorites 69 times this season and won 46, or 66.7%, of those games.
  • Cleveland has entered 16 games this season favored by -161 or more and is 10-6 in those contests.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Guardians, based on the moneyline, is 61.7%.
  • The Tigers have been underdogs in 62 games this season and have come away with the win 29 times (46.8%) in those contests.
  • This season, Detroit has come away with a win two times in 13 chances when named as an underdog of at least +135 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Tigers have an implied victory probability of 42.6% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
FINAL
CLE 8 · DET 4
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Cleveland Guardians
CLE
Detroit Tigers
DET

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

  • The Guardians were the moneyline favorite in six of their last 10 games, and finished 3-3 in those matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Guardians combined with their opponents to go over the run total two times.
  • The Guardians' ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 2.4
HR 5
ERA 3.24
K/9 9

Guardians Player Insights

  • Ramirez has gone yard 24 times in the 2024 campaign while driving in 82 runs, both totals that lead the Guardians.
  • Among all hitters in baseball, Ramirez's home run total ranks him eighth, and his RBI tally puts him second.
  • Ramirez has collected a hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .188 with a double and four walks.
  • Josh Naylor has 17 doubles, 22 home runs and 38 walks while hitting .238.
  • Naylor is 13th in home runs and seventh in RBI in the major leagues.
  • Naylor enters this game looking for his third game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .176 with a double, two walks and two RBI.
  • Steven Kwan leads the Guardians with a .342 batting average.
  • Kwan is on a three-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .263 with a home run, a walk and two RBI.
  • Andres Gimenez has 15 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 17 walks while hitting .249.
  • Gimenez has recorded at least one hit in four straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .294 with a double.

Guardians Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Tyler Freeman 0.5 (-225) 1.5 () 0.5 (+1000) 0.5 (+215)
Steven Kwan 1.5 (+165) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+1200) 0.5 (+235)
Angel Martinez 0.5 (-230) 1.5 () 0.5 (+950) 0.5 (+235)
David Fry 0.5 (-215) 1.5 (+145) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+185)
Andrés Giménez 0.5 (-250) 1.5 () 0.5 (+1000) 0.5 (+215)

Learn more about this Guardians vs. Tigers matchup on Fox Sports.

Tigers Recent Betting Performance

  • In nine games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by sportsbooks, the Tigers had a record of 4-5.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Tigers and their opponents are 7-3-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Tigers have a record of 8-2-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Tigers Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.2
HR 12
ERA 3.62
K/9 8.9

Tigers Player Insights

  • Matt Vierling has 18 doubles, five triples, 13 home runs and 20 walks while batting .256.
  • Vierling ranks 78th in homers and 104th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Vierling carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .294 with a double, a home run, three walks and an RBI.
  • Colt Keith has 10 doubles, three triples, 11 home runs and 26 walks while batting .256.
  • Keith is currently 104th in home runs and 109th in RBI in the major leagues.
  • Mark Canha has 17 doubles, seven home runs and 42 walks while batting .231.
  • Wenceel Perez is hitting .248 with 13 doubles, five triples, seven home runs and 23 walks.

Tigers Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Colt Keith 0.5 (-270) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+850) 0.5 (+230)
Matt Vierling 0.5 (-300) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+220)
Gio Urshela 0.5 (-245) 1.5 (+155) 0.5 (+1100) 0.5 (+230)
Bligh Madris 0.5 (-160) 0.5 (-160) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+225)
Justyn-Henry Malloy 0.5 (-145) 0.5 (-145) 0.5 (+800) 0.5 (+240)

Guardians vs. Phillies Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments from this game between the Cleveland Guardians and the Philadelphia Phillies!

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Detroit Tigers
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