Guardians vs. Tigers Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 6

Updated May. 6, 2024 6:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Riley Greene and the Detroit Tigers will look to knock off Steven Kwan and the Cleveland Guardians on Monday at 6:10 PM ET at Progressive Field. The Tigers are +102 moneyline underdogs in this matchup against the Guardians (-121). Cleveland is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The total is 7 runs for the game.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Guardians-Tigers game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Angels vs. Guardians Highlights | MLB on FOX

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Guardians vs. Tigers Game Information & Odds

When: Monday, May 6, 2024 at 6:10 PM ET
Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
How to Watch on TV: BSGL

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Guardians	-121	+102	7	-119	-101	-1.5	+175	-218

Guardians vs. Tigers Prediction

Score Prediction: Guardians 4, Tigers 3
Total Prediction: Over 7 runs
Win Probabilities: Guardians 58%, Tigers 42%

Guardians vs. Tigers Betting Insights

The Guardians have won 13, or 68.4%, of the 19 games they've played as favorites this season.
Cleveland is 12-4 this season when entering a game favored by -121 or more on the moneyline.
The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 54.8% chance of a victory for the Guardians.
The Tigers have come away with nine wins in the 17 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
This season, Detroit has come away with a win five times in 12 chances when named as an underdog of at least +102 or worse on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Tigers have a 49.5% chance of walking away with the win.

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

The Guardians went 3-1 over the four games they were moneyline favorites in their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Guardians and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total three times.
The Guardians have a 7-3-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	4.0
HR	12
ERA	4.04
K/9	9.1

Guardians Player Insights

Kwan is the Guardians best hitter so far this season, hitting at a team-leading .353 clip along with three homers and 11 RBI.
Kwan ranks 109th in homers and 152nd in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
Josh Naylor has hit eight home runs to lead his team.
Naylor ranks seventh in home runs and ninth in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
Naylor heads into this game looking for his third game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is hitting .211 with two home runs, three walks and five RBI.
Jose Ramirez paces the Guardians with 27 runs batted in.
Andres Gimenez is hitting .270 with six doubles, a triple, a home run and seven walks.

Guardians Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Will Brennan	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+850)	0.5 (+210)
Steven Kwan	1.5 (+170)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+1200)	0.5 (+250)
Andrés Giménez	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+850)	0.5 (+230)
José Ramírez	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+150)
Josh Naylor	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+160)

Learn more about this Guardians vs. Tigers matchup on Fox Sports.

Tigers Recent Betting Performance

The Tigers have played as underdogs in four of their past 10 games and won one of those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Tigers and their opponents have failed to hit the over five times.
The Tigers have a record of 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Tigers Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	3.7
HR	9
ERA	4.34
K/9	10.2

Tigers Player Insights

Greene paces the Tigers with eight home runs and 16 runs batted in, while recording a team-high batting average of .269.
Greene's home run total puts him seventh in the majors, and he is 75th in RBI.
Mark Canha has driven in the most runs for the Tigers with 16 runs batted in.
Canha ranks 50th overall in home runs and 75th in RBI this season.
Kerry Carpenter is batting .258 with five doubles, two triples, three home runs and seven walks.
Matthew Vierling is hitting .287 with three doubles, two triples, three home runs and three walks.

Tigers Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Riley Greene	0.5 (-204)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+215)
Mark Canha	0.5 (-196)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+210)
Matthew Vierling	0.5 (-208)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+185)
Kerry Carpenter	0.5 (-200)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+165)
Parker Meadows	0.5 (-105)	0.5 (-105)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+270)