Guardians vs. Tigers Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 29
Updated
Sep. 29, 2023 6:11 p.m. ET
Data Skrive
Andres Gimenez and the Cleveland Guardians will play Spencer Torkelson and the Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park on Friday at 6:40 PM ET, in the first game of a three-game series. The Guardians are -112 moneyline favorites in this matchup against the Tigers (-108). Cleveland is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The total is 8.5 runs for the matchup.
The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Cleveland Guardians looking to Cal Quantrill (3-7), and Joey Wentz (3-11) taking the ball for the Detroit Tigers.
Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Guardians-Tigers game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.
Guardians vs. Tigers Game Information & Odds
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- When: Friday, September 29, 2023 at 6:40 PM ET
- Where: Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan
- How to Watch on TV: BSDET
Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Guardians | -112 | -108 | 8.5 | -116 | -104 | -1.5 | +147 | -175 |
Guardians vs. Tigers Prediction
- Score Prediction: Tigers 6, Guardians 5
- Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
- Win Probabilities: Guardians 52%, Tigers 48%
Guardians vs. Tigers Betting Insights
- The Guardians have been favorites in 77 games this season and won 39 (50.6%) of those contests.
- Cleveland has a record of 37-35, a 51.4% win rate, when favored by -112 or more by bookmakers this season.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Guardians have a 52.8% chance to win.
- The Tigers have been victorious in 50, or 42.4%, of the 118 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This season, Detroit has come away with a win 48 times in 116 chances when named as an underdog of at least -108 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Tigers have an implied victory probability of 51.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
Guardians Recent Betting Performance
- The Guardians went 2-5 over the seven games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
- In their last 10 outings, the Guardians and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
- The Guardians' ATS record is 3-7-0 over their past 10 games.
Guardians Recent Stats
Stat | Avg/Total |
---|---|
Record | 4-6 |
Runs Per Game | 4.8 |
HR | 7 |
ERA | 4.66 |
K/9 | 9.5 |
Guardians Player Insights
- Jose Ramirez paces the Guardians with 24 home runs and has accumulated a team-high batting average of .280.
- Of all hitters in MLB, Ramirez's home run total ranks him 51st, and his RBI tally puts him 52nd.
- Ramirez has collected a hit in three straight games. In his last five games he is batting .381 with a double, a walk and an RBI.
- Steven Kwan is hitting .270 with 35 doubles, seven triples, five home runs and 68 walks.
- Kwan is 311th in home runs and 151st in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
- Josh Naylor has a team-best 97 runs batted in.
- Naylor will look to build on his two-game hitting in this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .211 with three walks and three RBI.
- Gimenez is hitting .252 with 27 doubles, five triples, 15 home runs and 32 walks.
Guardians Team Props
Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Josh Naylor | 0.5 (-238) | 1.5 (+150) | 0.5 (+750) | 0.5 (+185) |
Tyler Freeman | 0.5 (-233) | 1.5 (+155) | 0.5 (+950) | 0.5 (+235) |
José Ramírez | 0.5 (-250) | 1.5 (+105) | 0.5 (+425) | 0.5 (+150) |
Ramón Laureano | 0.5 (-208) | 1.5 (+145) | 0.5 (+550) | 0.5 (+185) |
Steven Kwan | 1.5 (+180) | 1.5 (+125) | - | 0.5 (+235) |
Learn more about this Guardians vs. Tigers matchup on Fox Sports.
Tigers Recent Betting Performance
- The Tigers have played as underdogs in three of their past 10 games and won one of those contests.
- In their last 10 games with a total, the Tigers and their opponents are 5-5-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
- The Tigers have a record of 7-3-0 ATS over their last 10 games.
Tigers Recent Stats
Stat | Avg/Total |
---|---|
Record | 6-4 |
Runs Per Game | 4.2 |
HR | 10 |
ERA | 3.24 |
K/9 | 9 |
Tigers Player Insights
- Torkelson has posted a team-leading 30 home runs and has driven in 94 runs.
- In all of MLB, Torkelson ranks 24th in homers and 29th in RBI.
- Torkelson has collected a hit in five games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .316 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and seven RBI.
- Kerry Carpenter is batting .283 with 17 doubles, two triples, 20 home runs and 30 walks.
- Carpenter ranks 90th in homers and 112th in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
- Matt Vierling leads the Tigers with a team-high batting average of .259.
- Zach McKinstry has 21 doubles, four triples, eight home runs and 43 walks while hitting .230.
Tigers Team Props
Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 (-222) | 1.5 (+130) | 0.5 (+600) | 0.5 (+170) |
Javier Báez | 0.5 (-213) | 1.5 (+155) | 0.5 (+650) | 0.5 (+175) |
Matt Vierling | 0.5 (-263) | 1.5 (+140) | 0.5 (+1000) | 0.5 (+195) |
Spencer Torkelson | 1.5 (+200) | 1.5 (+100) | 0.5 (+360) | 0.5 (+145) |
Andy Ibáñez | 0.5 (-244) | 1.5 (+140) | 0.5 (+800) | 0.5 (+195) |
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