Guardians vs. Tigers Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 29

Updated Sep. 29, 2023 6:11 p.m. ET

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Andres Gimenez and the Cleveland Guardians will play Spencer Torkelson and the Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park on Friday at 6:40 PM ET, in the first game of a three-game series. The Guardians are -112 moneyline favorites in this matchup against the Tigers (-108). Cleveland is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The total is 8.5 runs for the matchup.

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Cleveland Guardians looking to Cal Quantrill (3-7), and Joey Wentz (3-11) taking the ball for the Detroit Tigers.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Guardians-Tigers game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Guardians vs. Tigers Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, September 29, 2023 at 6:40 PM ET
• Where: Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan
• How to Watch on TV: BSDET

Guardians vs. Tigers Prediction

• Score Prediction: Tigers 6, Guardians 5
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Guardians 52%, Tigers 48%

Guardians vs. Tigers Betting Insights

• The Guardians have been favorites in 77 games this season and won 39 (50.6%) of those contests.
• Cleveland has a record of 37-35, a 51.4% win rate, when favored by -112 or more by bookmakers this season.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Guardians have a 52.8% chance to win.
• The Tigers have been victorious in 50, or 42.4%, of the 118 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This season, Detroit has come away with a win 48 times in 116 chances when named as an underdog of at least -108 or longer on the moneyline.
• The Tigers have an implied victory probability of 51.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

• The Guardians went 2-5 over the seven games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 outings, the Guardians and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Guardians' ATS record is 3-7-0 over their past 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Guardians Player Insights

• Jose Ramirez paces the Guardians with 24 home runs and has accumulated a team-high batting average of .280.
• Of all hitters in MLB, Ramirez's home run total ranks him 51st, and his RBI tally puts him 52nd.
• Ramirez has collected a hit in three straight games. In his last five games he is batting .381 with a double, a walk and an RBI.
• Steven Kwan is hitting .270 with 35 doubles, seven triples, five home runs and 68 walks.
• Kwan is 311th in home runs and 151st in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
• Josh Naylor has a team-best 97 runs batted in.
• Naylor will look to build on his two-game hitting in this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .211 with three walks and three RBI.
• Gimenez is hitting .252 with 27 doubles, five triples, 15 home runs and 32 walks.

Guardians Team Props

Learn more about this Guardians vs. Tigers matchup on Fox Sports.

Tigers Recent Betting Performance

• The Tigers have played as underdogs in three of their past 10 games and won one of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Tigers and their opponents are 5-5-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Tigers have a record of 7-3-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Tigers Recent Stats

Tigers Player Insights

• Torkelson has posted a team-leading 30 home runs and has driven in 94 runs.
• In all of MLB, Torkelson ranks 24th in homers and 29th in RBI.
• Torkelson has collected a hit in five games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .316 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and seven RBI.
• Kerry Carpenter is batting .283 with 17 doubles, two triples, 20 home runs and 30 walks.
• Carpenter ranks 90th in homers and 112th in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
• Matt Vierling leads the Tigers with a team-high batting average of .259.
• Zach McKinstry has 21 doubles, four triples, eight home runs and 43 walks while hitting .230.

Tigers Team Props

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