Guardians vs. Tigers Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 29

Guardians vs. Tigers Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 29

Updated Sep. 29, 2023 6:11 p.m. ET

Andres Gimenez and the Cleveland Guardians will play Spencer Torkelson and the Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park on Friday at 6:40 PM ET, in the first game of a three-game series. The Guardians are -112 moneyline favorites in this matchup against the Tigers (-108). Cleveland is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The total is 8.5 runs for the matchup.

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Cleveland Guardians looking to Cal Quantrill (3-7), and Joey Wentz (3-11) taking the ball for the Detroit Tigers.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Guardians-Tigers game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Guardians vs. Tigers Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Friday, September 29, 2023 at 6:40 PM ET
  • Where: Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan
  • How to Watch on TV: BSDET
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Guardians -112 -108 8.5 -116 -104 -1.5 +147 -175

Guardians vs. Tigers Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Tigers 6, Guardians 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Guardians 52%, Tigers 48%

Guardians vs. Tigers Betting Insights

  • The Guardians have been favorites in 77 games this season and won 39 (50.6%) of those contests.
  • Cleveland has a record of 37-35, a 51.4% win rate, when favored by -112 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Guardians have a 52.8% chance to win.
  • The Tigers have been victorious in 50, or 42.4%, of the 118 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Detroit has come away with a win 48 times in 116 chances when named as an underdog of at least -108 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The Tigers have an implied victory probability of 51.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

  • The Guardians went 2-5 over the seven games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings, the Guardians and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
  • The Guardians' ATS record is 3-7-0 over their past 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.8
HR 7
ERA 4.66
K/9 9.5

Guardians Player Insights

  • Jose Ramirez paces the Guardians with 24 home runs and has accumulated a team-high batting average of .280.
  • Of all hitters in MLB, Ramirez's home run total ranks him 51st, and his RBI tally puts him 52nd.
  • Ramirez has collected a hit in three straight games. In his last five games he is batting .381 with a double, a walk and an RBI.
  • Steven Kwan is hitting .270 with 35 doubles, seven triples, five home runs and 68 walks.
  • Kwan is 311th in home runs and 151st in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
  • Josh Naylor has a team-best 97 runs batted in.
  • Naylor will look to build on his two-game hitting in this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .211 with three walks and three RBI.
  • Gimenez is hitting .252 with 27 doubles, five triples, 15 home runs and 32 walks.

Guardians Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Josh Naylor 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (+150) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+185)
Tyler Freeman 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+155) 0.5 (+950) 0.5 (+235)
José Ramírez 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+150)
Ramón Laureano 0.5 (-208) 1.5 (+145) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+185)
Steven Kwan 1.5 (+180) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+235)

Learn more about this Guardians vs. Tigers matchup on Fox Sports.

Tigers Recent Betting Performance

  • The Tigers have played as underdogs in three of their past 10 games and won one of those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Tigers and their opponents are 5-5-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • The Tigers have a record of 7-3-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Tigers Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.2
HR 10
ERA 3.24
K/9 9

Tigers Player Insights

  • Torkelson has posted a team-leading 30 home runs and has driven in 94 runs.
  • In all of MLB, Torkelson ranks 24th in homers and 29th in RBI.
  • Torkelson has collected a hit in five games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .316 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and seven RBI.
  • Kerry Carpenter is batting .283 with 17 doubles, two triples, 20 home runs and 30 walks.
  • Carpenter ranks 90th in homers and 112th in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
  • Matt Vierling leads the Tigers with a team-high batting average of .259.
  • Zach McKinstry has 21 doubles, four triples, eight home runs and 43 walks while hitting .230.

Tigers Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Kerry Carpenter 0.5 (-222) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+170)
Javier Báez 0.5 (-213) 1.5 (+155) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+175)
Matt Vierling 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+1000) 0.5 (+195)
Spencer Torkelson 1.5 (+200) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+360) 0.5 (+145)
Andy Ibáñez 0.5 (-244) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+800) 0.5 (+195)
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