Guardians vs. Tigers Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 30

Guardians vs. Tigers Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 30

Updated Sep. 30, 2023 12:19 p.m. ET

Bo Naylor and the Cleveland Guardians take on Kerry Carpenter and the Detroit Tigers on Saturday at 1:10 PM ET, in the second of a three-game series at Comerica Park. Oddsmakers list the Guardians as -118 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Tigers -102 moneyline odds to win. Cleveland is favored on the run line (-1.5). The contest's over/under has been set at 8 runs.

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Cleveland Guardians looking to Triston McKenzie (0-2), and Will Vest (2-1) getting the nod for the Detroit Tigers.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Guardians-Tigers game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Guardians vs. Tigers Game Information & Odds

ADVERTISEMENT
  • When: Saturday, September 30, 2023 at 1:10 PM ET
  • Where: Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan
  • How to Watch on TV: BSDET
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Guardians -118 -102 8 -101 -119 -1.5 +142 -168

Guardians vs. Tigers Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Tigers 5, Guardians 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Guardians 52%, Tigers 48%

Guardians vs. Tigers Betting Insights

  • The Guardians have entered the game as favorites 78 times this season and won 40, or 51.3%, of those games.
  • Cleveland has entered 69 games this season favored by -118 or more and is 34-35 in those contests.
  • The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 54.1% chance of a victory for the Guardians.
  • The Tigers have won in 50, or 42%, of the 119 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • This season, Detroit has been victorious 42 times in 110 chances when named as an underdog of at least -102 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The Tigers have an implied victory probability of 50.5% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

  • The Guardians have a 3-5 record from the eight games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Guardians combined with their opponents to hit the over on the total five times.
  • The Guardians have a 3-7-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.6
HR 8
ERA 4.97
K/9 8.8

Guardians Player Insights

  • Jose Ramirez leads the Guardians with 24 home runs and has racked up a team-high batting average of .279.
  • In all of the majors, Ramirez is 51st in homers and 52nd in RBI.
  • Steven Kwan has 36 doubles, seven triples, five home runs and 69 walks while batting .271.
  • Kwan ranks 311th in home runs and 151st in RBI on the year.
  • Kwan heads into this game looking for his third game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is hitting .143 with a double and a walk.
  • Josh Naylor has driven in a team-high 97 runs batted in.
  • Josh Naylor is on a three-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .143 with a walk and two RBI.
  • Andres Gimenez has 27 doubles, five triples, 15 home runs and 32 walks while batting .251.
  • Gimenez has recorded at least one hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .316 with a double, two home runs and three RBI.

Guardians Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
José Ramírez 1.5 (+200) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+175)
Josh Naylor 1.5 (+200) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+140)
Steven Kwan 1.5 (+165) 1.5 (+110) - 0.5 (+225)
Andrés Giménez 0.5 (-213) 1.5 (+150) 0.5 (+900) 0.5 (+210)
Cam Gallagher 0.5 (+105) 0.5 (+105) - 0.5 (+350)

Learn more about this Guardians vs. Tigers matchup on Fox Sports.

Tigers Recent Betting Performance

  • The Tigers have played as underdogs in four of their past 10 games and have gone 1-3 in those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Tigers and their opponents are 6-4-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • The Tigers have six wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Tigers Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.4
HR 11
ERA 3.10
K/9 9

Tigers Player Insights

  • Spencer Torkelson leads the Tigers in home runs (31) and runs batted in (95).
  • Torkelson is 22nd in homers and 28th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
  • Torkelson brings a hitting streak of six games into this game. In his last 10 games he is batting .250 with two doubles, three home runs, two walks and 11 RBI.
  • Carpenter is batting .280 with 17 doubles, two triples, 20 home runs and 30 walks.
  • Carpenter ranks 92nd in homers and 113th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
  • Matt Vierling leads the Tigers' lineup with a .258 batting average.
  • Zach McKinstry is hitting .230 with 21 doubles, four triples, nine home runs and 43 walks.

Tigers Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Matt Vierling 0.5 (-227) 1.5 (+150) 0.5 (+850) 0.5 (+225)
Spencer Torkelson 0.5 (-208) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+320) 0.5 (+155)
Miguel Cabrera 0.5 (-244) 1.5 (+150) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+220)
Kerry Carpenter 0.5 (-185) 0.5 (-189) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+200)
Carson Kelly 0.5 (-115) 0.5 (-115) 0.5 (+800) 0.5 (+260)
share