Data Skrive
Josh Naylor and the Cleveland Guardians will play Ryan Jeffers and the Minnesota Twins on Friday at Progressive Field, at 7:10 PM ET. The Guardians are favored in this one, at -122, while the underdog Twins have +102 odds to upset. Cleveland is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The total is 8.5 runs for this matchup.
Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Guardians-Twins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
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Guardians vs. Twins Game Information & Odds
- When: Friday, May 17, 2024 at 7:10 PM ET
- Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
- How to Watch on TV: Apple TV+
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guardians | -122 | +102 | 8.5 | -105 | -116 | -1.5 | +167 | -207 |
Guardians vs. Twins Prediction
- Score Prediction: Guardians 4, Twins 3
- Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
- Win Probabilities: Guardians 55%, Twins 45%
Guardians vs. Twins Betting Insights
- This season, the Guardians have been favored 26 times and won 17, or 65.4%, of those games.
- Cleveland is 14-6 this season when entering a game favored by -122 or more on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Guardians, based on the moneyline, is 55%.
- The Twins have been victorious in six, or 37.5%, of the 16 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This season, Minnesota has come away with a win three times in nine chances when named as an underdog of at least +102 or longer on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Twins have a 49.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
Guardians Recent Betting Performance
- The Guardians have a 4-3 record from the seven games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
- In their last 10 outings, the Guardians and their opponents combined to go over the run total four times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
- The Guardians' record against the spread is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.
Guardians Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.1 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 3.31 |
| K/9 | 7.4 |
Guardians Player Insights
- Jose Ramirez leads the Guardians with 37 runs batted in.
- Among all batters in the majors, Ramirez's home run total ranks him 16th, and his RBI tally puts him second.
- Ramirez takes a hitting streak of three games into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .278 with four walks and four RBI.
- Naylor has hit 12 home runs to pace his team.
- Naylor ranks second in homers and eighth in RBI among all batters in baseball.
- Andres Gimenez has eight doubles, a triple, two home runs and nine walks while hitting .261.
- Gimenez has at least one base hit in four straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .350 with a double, a home run, a walk and four RBI.
- Tyler Freeman has six doubles, four home runs and 12 walks while batting .195.
- Freeman is riding a three-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .222 with a double, a home run, three walks and an RBI.
Guardians Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Freeman | 0.5 (-270) | 1.5 (+120) | 0.5 (+600) | 0.5 (+240) |
| Will Brennan | 0.5 (-213) | 1.5 (+150) | 0.5 (+850) | 0.5 (+255) |
| Andrés Giménez | 0.5 (-238) | 1.5 (+130) | 0.5 (+800) | 0.5 (+235) |
| Josh Naylor | 0.5 (-250) | 1.5 (+125) | 0.5 (+500) | 0.5 (+135) |
| José Ramírez | 0.5 (-256) | 1.5 (+105) | 0.5 (+450) | 0.5 (+150) |
Learn more about this Guardians vs. Twins matchup on Fox Sports.
Twins Recent Betting Performance
- In four games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Twins have a record of 2-2.
- The Twins and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times in their last 10 games with a total.
- The Twins are 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.
Twins Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.3 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 4.25 |
| K/9 | 9.4 |
Twins Player Insights
- Jeffers leads the Twins in home runs (10), runs batted in (30) and has posted a team-high batting average of .283.
- Among all hitters in the majors, Jeffers' home run total is eighth and his RBI tally ranks 13th.
- Carlos Santana is batting .208 with five doubles, seven home runs and 11 walks.
- Santana ranks 37th in home runs and 63rd in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
- Willi Castro is batting .265 with 10 doubles, three triples, three home runs and 11 walks.
- Max Kepler is batting .304 with nine doubles, three home runs and eight walks.
Twins Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Kepler | 0.5 (-222) | 1.5 (+120) | 0.5 (+360) | 0.5 (+160) |
| Carlos Correa | 0.5 (-196) | 1.5 (+140) | 0.5 (+425) | 0.5 (+190) |
| Edouard Julien | 0.5 (-149) | 0.5 (-149) | 0.5 (+475) | 0.5 (+255) |
| Jose Miranda | 0.5 (-154) | 0.5 (-154) | 0.5 (+550) | 0.5 (+225) |
| Trevor Larnach | 0.5 (-169) | 0.5 (-169) | 0.5 (+390) | 0.5 (+190) |
Guardians vs. Rangers Highlights | MLB on FOX
Check out the best plays and moments as the Cleveland Guardians took on the Texas Rangers.
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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