Guardians vs. Twins Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 18

Guardians vs. Twins Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 18

Updated Sep. 18, 2024 6:00 p.m. ET

Tanner Bibee gets the nod for the Cleveland Guardians on Wednesday at Progressive Field against Carlos Santana and the Minnesota Twins. First pitch is at 6:40 p.m. ET in this third game of a four-game series. The Guardians are favored in this one, at -127, while the underdog Twins have +107 odds to upset. Cleveland (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The over/under is 7 runs for the game.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Guardians-Twins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Twins vs. Guardians Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments and plays from the Minnesota Twins and Cleveland Guardians game on September 17th, 2024.
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Guardians vs. Twins Game Information & Odds

  • When: Wednesday, September 18, 2024 at 6:40 p.m. ET
  • Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
  • How to Watch on TV: BSGL
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Guardians -127 +107 7 -122 +102 -1.5 +173 -208

Guardians vs. Twins Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Guardians 4, Twins 3
  • Total Prediction: Over 7 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Guardians 54%, Twins 46%

Guardians vs. Twins Betting Insights

  • This season, the Guardians have been favored 95 times and won 62, or 65.3%, of those games.
  • This season Cleveland has won 45 of its 68 games, or 66.2%, when favored by at least -127 on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Guardians have a 55.9% chance to win.
  • The Twins have come away with 18 wins in the 47 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Minnesota has come away with a win nine times in 25 chances when named as an underdog of at least +107 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The Twins have an implied victory probability of 48.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
FINAL (10)
MIN 4 · CLE 5
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Minnesota Twins
MIN
Cleveland Guardians
CLE

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

  • The Guardians went 5-3 over the eight games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
  • In their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Guardians and their opponents combined to go over the run total one time.
  • The Guardians' record against the spread is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 3.2
HR 8
ERA 2.12
K/9 10.9

Guardians Player Insights

  • Jose Ramirez has gone yard 35 times in the 2024 campaign while knocking in 107 runs, both totals that lead the Guardians.
  • Of all hitters in baseball, Ramirez is eighth in homers and sixth in RBI.
  • Ramirez has collected a hit in 10 games in a row. In his last 10 games he is hitting .300 with four doubles, a home run, three walks and an RBI.
  • Josh Naylor has 26 doubles, 29 home runs and 55 walks while batting .243.
  • Naylor ranks 19th in home runs and seventh in RBI in the majors.
  • Andres Gimenez has 20 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 25 walks while batting .250.
  • Lane Thomas is batting .243 with 26 doubles, three triples, 13 home runs and 42 walks.

Guardians Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Angel Martinez 0.5 (-215) 1.5 (+140) - 0.5 (+255)
José Ramírez 0.5 (-220) 1.5 (+110) - 0.5 (+160)
Josh Naylor 0.5 (-205) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+155)
Lane Thomas 0.5 (-180) 0.5 (-180) - 0.5 (+195)
Jhonkensy Noel 0.5 (-140) 0.5 (-140) - 0.5 (+170)

Learn more about this Guardians vs. Twins matchup on Fox Sports.

Twins Recent Betting Performance

  • The Twins have been underdogs twice in the last 10 games and split those matchups 1-1.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Twins and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times.
  • The Twins have won four of their last 10 games against the spread.

Twins Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.1
HR 8
ERA 4.45
K/9 9.1

Twins Player Insights

  • Santana leads the Twins in home runs (22) and runs batted in (65).
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Santana is 45th in homers and 75th in RBI.
  • Santana carries a seven-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last 10 games he is hitting .297 with a double, two home runs, two walks and five RBI.
  • Willi Castro's .250 batting average leads his team.
  • Castro ranks 167th in home runs and 110th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
  • Ryan Jeffers has 22 doubles, 20 home runs and 31 walks while batting .231.
  • Jose Miranda is batting .292 with 28 doubles, four triples, nine home runs and 18 walks.

Twins Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Willi Castro 0.5 (-220) 1.5 (+120) - 0.5 (+230)
Jose Miranda 0.5 (-215) 1.5 (+140) - 0.5 (+210)
Carlos Correa 0.5 (-240) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+190)
Royce Lewis 0.5 (-200) 1.5 (+120) - 0.5 (+165)
Byron Buxton 0.5 (-210) 1.5 (+100) - 0.5 (+155)

Twins vs. Guardians Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments and plays from the Minnesota Twins and Cleveland Guardians game on September 17th, 2024.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Cleveland Guardians
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