Guardians vs. Twins Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 19

Guardians vs. Twins Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 19

Updated Sep. 19, 2024 1:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Lane Thomas and the Cleveland Guardians will play Willi Castro and the Minnesota Twins at Progressive Field in the final of a four-game series, on Thursday at 1:10 p.m. ET. The Guardians are -110 moneyline favorites for this matchup against the Twins (-110). Minnesota (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The total for the matchup has been set at 8 runs.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Guardians-Twins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Twins vs. Guardians Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments and plays from the Minnesota Twins and Cleveland Guardians game on September 17th, 2024.
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Guardians vs. Twins Game Information & Odds

  • When: Thursday, September 19, 2024 at 1:10 p.m. ET
  • Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
  • How to Watch on TV: BSN
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
PUSH -110 -110 8 -107 -114 -1.5 -193 +160

Guardians vs. Twins Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Guardians 5, Twins 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Guardians 54%, Twins 46%

Guardians vs. Twins Betting Insights

  • The Guardians have been favorites in 96 games this season and won 63 (65.6%) of those contests.
  • Cleveland has a record of 63-35 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -110 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Guardians, based on the moneyline, is 52.4%.
  • The Twins have won in 18, or 37.5%, of the 48 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • This year, Minnesota has won 18 of 48 games when listed as at least -110 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Twins have a 52.4% chance of pulling out a win.
FINAL (10)
MIN 2 · CLE 3
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Minnesota Twins
MIN
Cleveland Guardians
CLE

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

  • The Guardians played as the moneyline favorite in nine of their last 10 games, and finished 6-3 in those matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups, the Guardians and their opponents combined to go over the run total two times (all 10 games had set totals).
  • The Guardians' ATS record is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 3.7
HR 10
ERA 1.98
K/9 10.7

Guardians Player Insights

  • Jose Ramirez has gone yard 35 times in the 2024 campaign while knocking in 107 runs, both totals that lead the Guardians.
  • Among all batters in MLB, Ramirez's home run total places him eighth, and his RBI tally puts him sixth.
  • Ramirez carries an 11-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last 10 games he is hitting .300 with four doubles, a home run, three walks and an RBI.
  • Josh Naylor has 26 doubles, 31 home runs and 55 walks while batting .245.
  • Naylor ranks 15th in home runs and seventh in RBI in the bigs.
  • Andres Gimenez has 20 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 26 walks while batting .250.
  • Thomas is batting .240 with 26 doubles, three triples, 13 home runs and 42 walks.

Guardians Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Will Brennan 0.5 (-230) 1.5 (+145) - 0.5 (+205)
José Ramírez 0.5 (-270) 1.5 (+100) - 0.5 (+160)
Kyle Manzardo 0.5 (-210) 1.5 (+120) - 0.5 (+180)
Angel Martinez 0.5 (-260) 1.5 (+115) - 0.5 (+250)
Andrés Giménez 0.5 (-245) 1.5 (+140) - 0.5 (+195)

Learn more about this Guardians vs. Twins matchup on Fox Sports.

Twins Recent Betting Performance

  • The Twins have played as underdogs in three of their past 10 games and won one of those contests.
  • The Twins and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Twins have won five of their last 10 games against the spread.

Twins Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.3
HR 8
ERA 4.39
K/9 9.7

Twins Player Insights

  • Carlos Santana has put up a team-leading 22 home runs and has driven in 65 runs.
  • Santana ranks 46th in homers and 76th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
  • Castro has a club-leading .251 batting average.
  • Castro ranks 169th overall in homers and 110th in RBI this season.
  • Carlos Correa is hitting .315 with 18 doubles, two triples, 13 home runs and 32 walks.
  • Ryan Jeffers is batting .231 with 22 doubles, 20 home runs and 31 walks.

Twins Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Manuel Margot 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+130) - 0.5 (+255)
Carlos Santana 0.5 (-205) 1.5 (+135) - 0.5 (+160)
Carlos Correa 1.5 (+190) 1.5 (+110) - 0.5 (+165)
Royce Lewis 0.5 (-205) 1.5 (+135) - 0.5 (+165)
Jose Miranda 0.5 (-260) 1.5 (+110) - 0.5 (+140)

Twins vs. Guardians Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments and plays from the Minnesota Twins and Cleveland Guardians game on September 17th, 2024.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Cleveland Guardians
Minnesota Twins
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