Mariners vs. Astros Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 19

Updated Jul. 19, 2024 10:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Luis Castillo and Hunter Brown are the projected starters when the Seattle Mariners and the Houston Astros play on Friday at T-Mobile Park, at 10:10 PM ET. The favored Mariners have -112 moneyline odds against the underdog Astros, who are listed at -107. Seattle is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +187 odds). The matchup's over/under is set at 7 runs.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mariners-Astros game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Mariners vs. Astros Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, July 19, 2024 at 10:10 PM ET
Where: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington
How to Watch on TV: MLB Network

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Mariners	-112	-107	7	-117	-103	-1.5	+187	-227

Mariners vs. Astros Prediction

Score Prediction: Mariners 5, Astros 4
Total Prediction: Over 7 runs
Win Probabilities: Mariners 52%, Astros 48%

Mariners vs. Astros Betting Insights

The Mariners have won 35, or 58.3%, of the 60 games they've played as favorites this season.
This season Seattle has won 35 of its 59 games, or 59.3%, when favored by at least -112 on the moneyline.
The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 52.8% chance of a victory for the Mariners.
The Astros have won in 12, or 46.2%, of the 26 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
This season, Houston has come away with a win 11 times in 23 chances when named as an underdog of at least -107 or longer on the moneyline.
The Astros have an implied victory probability of 51.7% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Mariners Recent Betting Performance

The Mariners have a 3-4 record from the seven games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
In their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Mariners combined with their opponents to hit the over on the total six times.
The Mariners have gone 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mariners Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	4.6
HR	15
ERA	2.53
K/9	8.9

Mariners Player Insights

Cal Raleigh is the Mariners best power hitter, crushing 20 homers this season in addition to accumulating 61 RBI, both team highs.
Raleigh's home runs put him 13th in the majors, and he is 17th in RBI.
Julio Rodriguez's .267 batting average leads his team.
Rodriguez is 105th in homers and 125th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
Rodriguez has four games in a row with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .500 with a double, a home run, a walk and three RBI.
J.P. Crawford is hitting .209 with 13 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 38 walks.
Dylan Moore is hitting .211 with 14 doubles, three triples, eight home runs and 27 walks.

Mariners Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Julio Rodríguez	0.5 (-220)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+195)
Josh Rojas	0.5 (-160)	0.5 (-160)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+255)
Cal Raleigh	0.5 (-145)	0.5 (-145)	0.5 (+350)	0.5 (+160)
Ty France	0.5 (-145)	0.5 (-145)	0.5 (+800)	0.5 (+285)
Luke Raley	0.5 (-110)	0.5 (-110)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+285)

Learn more about this Mariners vs. Astros matchup on Fox Sports.

Astros Recent Betting Performance

In four games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Astros have a record of 1-3.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Astros and their opponents have failed to hit the over five times.
The Astros have a record of 7-3-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Astros Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	5.1
HR	9
ERA	4.25
K/9	9.9

Astros Player Insights

Yordan Alvarez paces the Astros with 19 long balls and runs batted in, driving in 52.
Among all batters in the majors, Alvarez is 14th in home runs and 35th in RBI.
Jose Altuve has a club-leading .306 batting average.
Among all MLB hitters, Altuve is 49th in homers and 68th in RBI.
Alex Bregman is hitting .256 with 18 doubles, two triples, 12 home runs and 31 walks.
Jeremy Pena is hitting .274 with 16 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 17 walks.

Astros Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Yainer Diaz	0.5 (-225)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+205)
Yordan Alvarez	0.5 (-225)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+270)	0.5 (+140)
Jeremy Pena	0.5 (-170)	0.5 (-170)	0.5 (+950)	0.5 (+275)
Joey Loperfido	0.5 (-140)	0.5 (-140)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+230)
Trey Cabbage	0.5 (-135)	0.5 (-135)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+230)