Mariners vs. Astros Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 25

Updated Sep. 25, 2023 9:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

J.P. Crawford and Kyle Tucker will be among the stars on display when the Seattle Mariners face the Houston Astros on Monday at 9:40 PM ET, at T-Mobile Park. Bookmakers list the Mariners as -128 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Astros +108 moneyline odds. Seattle is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The over/under is 7.5 runs for this matchup.

The Mariners will give the ball to Luis Castillo (14-7) against the Astros and Justin Verlander (11-8).

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mariners-Astros game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Mariners vs. Astros Game Information & Odds

When: Monday, September 25, 2023 at 9:40 PM ET
Where: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington
How to Watch on TV: ROOT Sports NW

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Mariners	-128	+108	7.5	-111	-109	-1.5	+167	-202

Mariners vs. Astros Prediction

Score Prediction: Mariners 5, Astros 4
Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Mariners 53%, Astros 47%

Mariners vs. Astros Betting Insights

This season, the Mariners have won 60 out of the 104 games, or 57.7%, in which they've been favored.
Seattle has a record of 48-33 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -128 on the moneyline.
The Mariners have a 56.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
The Astros have been underdogs in 40 games this season and have come away with the win 26 times (65%) in those contests.
Houston has a win-loss record of 13-10 when favored by +108 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
The Astros have an implied victory probability of 48.1% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Mariners Recent Betting Performance

The Mariners played as the moneyline favorite for five of their last 10 games, and they finished 4-1 in those matchups.
In their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Mariners and their opponents combined to hit the over five times.
The Mariners have put together a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mariners Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	4
HR	9
ERA	4.25
K/9	8.4

Mariners Player Insights

Julio Rodriguez is the bat to watch in the Mariners lineup, leading the team in batting average (.284), home runs (31), and RBI (100).
Among all batters in baseball, Rodriguez ranks 19th in home runs and 11th in RBI.
Rodriguez has collected a hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .250 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and an RBI.
Crawford is batting .266 with 34 doubles, 17 home runs and 88 walks.
Crawford is 117th in home runs in MLB, and 128th in RBI.
Crawford has three games in a row with at least one hit. In his last five games he is hitting .292 with a double, two home runs and three RBI.
Cal Raleigh has 23 doubles, a triple, 30 home runs and 53 walks while batting .235.
Teoscar Hernandez has 29 doubles, two triples, 26 home runs and 38 walks while batting .264.
Hernandez has recorded at least one hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is batting .316 with a double, a home run, five walks and three RBI.

Learn more about this Mariners vs. Astros matchup on Fox Sports.

Astros Recent Betting Performance

Over the past 10 games, the Astros have been underdogs just once and won that contest.
When it comes to hitting the over, the Astros and their opponents are 5-5-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
The Astros have three wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Astros Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	4.9
HR	17
ERA	4.50
K/9	9.8

Astros Player Insights

Tucker has put up a team-leading batting average of .281 while leading the Astros in runs batted in with a mark of 109.
Tucker's home run total puts him 30th in the big leagues, and he is third in RBI.
Alex Bregman is hitting .261 with 27 doubles, three triples, 24 home runs and 90 walks.
Bregman is 50th overall in home runs and 19th in RBI this season.
Yordan Alvarez leads the Astros with 29 long balls.
Jose Altuve is batting .311 with 20 doubles, two triples, 17 home runs and 44 walks.