Mariners vs. Blue Jays Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 21

Updated Jul. 21, 2023 10:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Eugenio Suarez and the Seattle Mariners will square off against Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and the Toronto Blue Jays at T-Mobile Park in the first of a three-game series, Friday at 10:10 PM ET. The favored Mariners have -115 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Blue Jays, who are listed at -104. Seattle (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The over/under is 8 runs for this matchup.

The starting pitchers are Bryce Miller (6-3) for the Seattle Mariners, and Yusei Kikuchi (7-3) for the Toronto Blue Jays.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Mariners-Blue Jays game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Mariners vs. Blue Jays Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, July 21, 2023 at 10:10 PM ET
Where: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington
How to Watch on TV: ROOT Sports NW

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Mariners	-115	-104	8	-113	-107	-1.5	+170	-203

Mariners vs. Blue Jays Prediction

Score Prediction: Mariners 5, Blue Jays 4
Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
Win Probabilities: Mariners 52%, Blue Jays 48%

Mariners vs. Blue Jays Betting Insights

The Mariners have won 34, or 54%, of the 63 games they've played as favorites this season.
Seattle has a record of 32-28, a 53.3% win rate, when favored by -115 or more by bookmakers this season.
The moneyline for this contest implies a 53.5% chance of a victory for the Mariners.
The Blue Jays have won in 13, or 50%, of the 26 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
This season, Toronto has come away with a win 10 times in 21 chances when named as an underdog of at least -104 or worse on the moneyline.
The Blue Jays have an implied victory probability of 51% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Mariners Recent Betting Performance

The Mariners were favored on the moneyline for eight of their last 10 games, and they went 4-4 in those matchups.
Over their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Mariners and their opponents combined to go over the total five times.
The Mariners have put together a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mariners Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	3.9
HR	9
ERA	3.44
K/9	10.3

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Mariners Player Insights

Julio Rodriguez is hitting .246 with 18 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 31 walks.
Including all MLB hitters, Rodriguez is 99th in batting average, 110th in on-base percentage, and 107th in slugging.
J.P. Crawford has a club-leading .261 batting average.
Crawford ranks 164th in homers and 150th in RBI in the majors.
Crawford carries a three-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is batting .421 with two doubles and two walks.
Ty France is hitting .247 with 23 doubles, seven home runs and 20 walks.
Suarez has totaled 58 runs batted in to pace his team.
Suarez has recorded at least one hit in four straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .375 with a double, three home runs, two walks and six RBI.

Mariners Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Teoscar Hernández	0.5 (-213)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+320)	0.5 (+145)
Julio Rodríguez	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+185)
Tom Murphy	0.5 (-159)	0.5 (-159)	0.5 (+400)	0.5 (+185)
A.J. Pollock	0.5 (-179)	0.5 (-179)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+215)
Eugenio Suárez	0.5 (-145)	0.5 (-145)	0.5 (+400)	0.5 (+185)

Learn more about this Mariners vs. Blue Jays matchup on Fox Sports.

Blue Jays Recent Betting Performance

The Blue Jays have been underdogs twice in the last 10 games and split those matchups 1-1.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Blue Jays and their opponents are 3-6-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
The Blue Jays have a record of 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Blue Jays Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	7-3
Runs Per Game	4.5
HR	11
ERA	3.00
K/9	8.7

Blue Jays Player Insights

Guerrero has collected a team-leading 61 runs batted in.
In all of the big leagues, Guerrero is 45th in homers and 15th in RBI.
Bo Bichette's 16 home runs and .316 batting average are both lineup-highs.
Bichette ranks 39th in homers and 45th in RBI among all MLB batters this season.
George Springer is batting .267 with 14 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 31 walks.
Whit Merrifield is batting .291 with 17 doubles, six home runs and 25 walks.

Blue Jays Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Bo Bichette	1.5 (+165)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+205)
George Springer	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+215)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	-	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+340)	0.5 (+140)
Matt Chapman	0.5 (-169)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+330)	0.5 (+170)
Danny Jansen	0.5 (-169)	0.5 (-169)	0.5 (+390)	0.5 (+175)

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