Mariners vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 28

Updated Jul. 28, 2023 9:01 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

J.P. Crawford and the Seattle Mariners will hit the field at Chase Field against the Arizona Diamondbacks and Corbin Carroll on Friday. The Mariners are -131 moneyline favorites for this matchup against the Diamondbacks (+111). Seattle (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The over/under is 9 runs for the contest.

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Seattle Mariners looking to Logan Gilbert (8-5), and Tommy Henry (5-3) getting the nod for the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Mariners-Diamondbacks game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Mariners vs. Diamondbacks Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, July 28, 2023 at 9:40 PM ET
Where: Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona
How to Watch on TV: ARID

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Mariners	-131	+111	9	-117	-103	-1.5	+123	-145

Mariners vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

Score Prediction: Diamondbacks 6, Mariners 5
Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
Win Probabilities: Mariners 52%, Diamondbacks 48%

Mariners vs. Diamondbacks Betting Insights

The Mariners have entered the game as favorites 65 times this season and won 35, or 53.8%, of those games.
Seattle has entered 50 games this season favored by -131 or more and is 26-24 in those contests.
Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mariners have a 56.7% chance to win.
The Diamondbacks have come away with 26 wins in the 54 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
This season, Arizona has come away with a win 16 times in 35 chances when named as an underdog of at least +111 or worse on the moneyline.
The Diamondbacks have an implied victory probability of 47.4% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Mariners Recent Betting Performance

The Mariners have a 3-3 record from the six games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 matchups, the Mariners and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
The Mariners have gone 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mariners Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	5.3
HR	19
ERA	5.19
K/9	12

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Mariners Player Insights

Julio Rodriguez has launched a team-best 17 homers.
Rodriguez ranks 34th in home runs and 47th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
Rodriguez has collected a hit in five straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .348 with two doubles, four home runs and five RBI.
J.P. Crawford is batting .261 to lead his team.
Crawford is 174th in homers and 146th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
Crawford carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .263 with three doubles, two walks and two RBI.
Ty France is batting .245 with 24 doubles, seven home runs and 23 walks.
Eugenio Suarez's 61 runs batted in pace his team.
Suarez has recorded at least one hit in three straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .150 with a double, three walks and three RBI.

Mariners Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Teoscar Hernández	0.5 (-270)	1.5 (-115)	0.5 (+320)	0.5 (+120)
Ty France	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+210)
Eugenio Suárez	0.5 (-189)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+390)	0.5 (+155)
J.P. Crawford	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+190)
Julio Rodríguez	1.5 (+185)	1.5 (-110)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+160)

Learn more about this Mariners vs. Diamondbacks matchup on Fox Sports.

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

In five games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by sportsbooks, the Diamondbacks had a record of 2-3.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Diamondbacks and their opponents are 6-4-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
The Diamondbacks have three wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	5.8
HR	14
ERA	7.52
K/9	6.5

Diamondbacks Player Insights

Corbin Carroll paces the Diamondbacks with a .291 batting average.
In all of MLB, Carroll ranks 19th in homers and 41st in RBI.
Ketel Marte has a club-high .291 batting average.
Marte is currently 34th in homers and 47th in RBI in the big leagues.
Christian Walker has been a significant run producer for the Diamondbacks with 22 home runs and 67 runs batted in.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is batting .249 with 22 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 21 walks.

Diamondbacks Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	0.5 (-294)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+190)
Ketel Marte	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+165)
Geraldo Perdomo	0.5 (-213)	1.5 (+150)	0.5 (+1000)	0.5 (+260)
Corbin Carroll	0.5 (-278)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+145)
Emmanuel Rivera	0.5 (-204)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+190)

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