Mariners vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 29

Updated Jul. 29, 2023 8:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Brandon Pfaadt gets the nod for the Arizona Diamondbacks on Saturday at Chase Field against Cal Raleigh and the Seattle Mariners. First pitch is at 8:10 PM ET for the second game of a three-game series. The favored Mariners have -120 moneyline odds against the underdog Diamondbacks, who are listed at +100. Seattle is a 1.5-run favorite (at +140 odds). The total is 8.5 runs for the contest.

The Mariners will start Bryan Woo (1-3) against the Diamondbacks and Pfaadt (0-4).

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Mariners-Diamondbacks game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Mariners vs. Diamondbacks Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, July 29, 2023 at 8:10 PM ET
Where: Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona
How to Watch on TV: ARID

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Mariners	-120	+100	8.5	-109	-111	-1.5	+140	-167

Mariners vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

Score Prediction: Diamondbacks 6, Mariners 5
Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Mariners 52%, Diamondbacks 48%

Mariners vs. Diamondbacks Betting Insights

The Mariners have won 36, or 54.5%, of the 66 games they've played as favorites this season.
Seattle has a record of 32-26 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -120 on the moneyline.
The Mariners have a 54.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
The Diamondbacks have been underdogs in 55 games this season and have come away with the win 26 times (47.3%) in those contests.
This year, Arizona has won 19 of 44 games when listed as at least +100 or worse on the moneyline.
The Diamondbacks have an implied victory probability of 50% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Mariners Recent Betting Performance

The Mariners were favored on the moneyline in six of their last 10 games, and they went 3-3 in those matchups.
In their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Mariners and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total five times.
The Mariners' ATS record is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Mariners Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	5.1
HR	18
ERA	4.79
K/9	11.3

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Mariners Player Insights

Julio Rodriguez has left the yard 17 times this season, the highest mark on the Mariners, while hitting .252 with 55 RBI.
Of all hitters in the majors, Rodriguez is 37th in home runs and 51st in RBI.
Rodriguez brings a hitting streak of six games into this game. In his last 10 games he is batting .275 with three doubles, four home runs, three walks and six RBI.
J.P. Crawford has a club-best .261 batting average.
Crawford ranks 176th in home runs and 152nd in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
Crawford carries a three-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .300 with four doubles, two walks and two RBI.
Ty France is hitting .247 with 24 doubles, seven home runs and 23 walks.
Eugenio Suarez has been productive as he paces his team with 62 RBI.
Suarez is riding a four-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .190 with a double, three walks and four RBI.

Mariners Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Cal Raleigh	0.5 (-185)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+320)	0.5 (+135)
J.P. Crawford	0.5 (-204)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+220)
Eugenio Suárez	0.5 (-204)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+330)	0.5 (+140)
Julio Rodríguez	1.5 (+185)	1.5 (-125)	0.5 (+350)	0.5 (+135)
Ty France	0.5 (-227)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+205)

Learn more about this Mariners vs. Diamondbacks matchup on Fox Sports.

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

In five games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by sportsbooks, the Diamondbacks had a record of 2-3.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Diamondbacks and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times.
The Diamondbacks have three wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	5.5
HR	14
ERA	7.22
K/9	6.8

Diamondbacks Player Insights

Corbin Carroll is hitting .290 with 21 doubles, five triples, 21 home runs and 38 walks.
Among all hitters in MLB, Carroll ranks 19th in homers and 43rd in RBI.
Carroll carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .412 with a double, a triple, a home run, three walks and five RBI.
Ketel Marte's .296 batting average is a team-high mark.
Marte is 37th in home runs and 51st in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
Christian Walker has been solid source of run production for the Diamondbacks with 22 long balls and 67 runs batted in.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is hitting .246 with 22 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 21 walks.

Diamondbacks Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Jake McCarthy	0.5 (-227)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+950)	0.5 (+210)
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	0.5 (-244)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+170)
Corbin Carroll	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (-105)	0.5 (+390)	0.5 (+130)
Ketel Marte	0.5 (-278)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+400)	0.5 (+150)
Alek Thomas	0.5 (-185)	0.5 (-185)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+180)

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