Mariners vs. Orioles Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 11

Updated Aug. 11, 2023 10:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Julio Rodriguez and the Seattle Mariners will play Adley Rutschman and the Baltimore Orioles on Friday at T-Mobile Park, at 10:10 PM ET. The Mariners are -150 moneyline favorites in this matchup against the Orioles (+127). Seattle is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The over/under is 7.5 runs for this contest.

The scheduled starters are Luis Castillo (7-7) for the Seattle Mariners, and Kyle Gibson (11-6) for the Baltimore Orioles.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mariners-Orioles game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Mariners vs. Orioles Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, August 11, 2023 at 10:10 PM ET
Where: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington
How to Watch on TV: MLB Network

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Mariners	-150	+127	7.5	-115	-105	-1.5	+140	-166

Mariners vs. Orioles Prediction

Score Prediction: Mariners 5, Orioles 4
Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Mariners 52%, Orioles 48%

Mariners vs. Orioles Betting Insights

This season, the Mariners have been favored 73 times and won 41, or 56.2%, of those games.
Seattle has a record of 18-15, a 54.5% win rate, when favored by -150 or more by bookmakers this season.
Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mariners have a 60% chance to win.
The Orioles have been underdogs in 60 games this season and have come away with the win 33 times (55%) in those contests.
Baltimore has a mark of 10-6 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +127 or worse on the moneyline.
The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 44.1% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Mariners Recent Betting Performance

The Mariners have a 5-1 record from the six games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 outings, the Mariners and their opponents combined to go over the run total four times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
The Mariners' ATS record is 8-2-0 over their past 10 games.

Mariners Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	9-1
Runs Per Game	4.8
HR	14
ERA	2.57
K/9	10.1

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Mariners Player Insights

Rodriguez is batting .257 with 24 doubles, a triple, 18 home runs and 37 walks.
Rodriguez is 43rd in homers and 43rd in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
J.P. Crawford's .266 batting average is a team-high mark.
Crawford ranks 161st in home runs and 156th in RBI in the bigs.
Ty France is batting .254 with 27 doubles, eight home runs and 27 walks.
France has at least one base hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .333 with a double, a home run, two walks and five RBI.
Cal Raleigh has shown his power as he paces his team with 19 home runs.

Mariners Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Teoscar Hernández	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+155)
Julio Rodríguez	1.5 (+195)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+175)
J.P. Crawford	0.5 (-179)	0.5 (-179)	0.5 (+850)	0.5 (+275)
Mike Ford	0.5 (-120)	0.5 (-120)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+225)
Eugenio Suárez	0.5 (-189)	0.5 (-185)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+195)

Learn more about this Mariners vs. Orioles matchup on Fox Sports.

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

In six games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Orioles have a record of 4-2.
The Orioles and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times in their last 10 games with a total.
Over their last 10 games, the Orioles are 8-2-0 against the spread.

Orioles Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	7-3
Runs Per Game	5.6
HR	11
ERA	3.24
K/9	9.5

Orioles Player Insights

Rutschman is hitting .276 with 19 doubles, a triple, 16 home runs and 66 walks.
Among all batters in the big leagues, Rutschman's home run total is 72nd and his RBI tally is 60th.
Rutschman brings a hitting streak of three games into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .350 with a double, a triple, two home runs, two walks and six RBI.
Anthony Santander has hit 20 home runs with 63 RBI, leading the team in both categories.
Santander is 33rd among all hitters in the big leagues in homers, and 40th in RBI.
Gunnar Henderson has 16 doubles, five triples, 19 home runs and 45 walks while batting .240.
Adam Frazier has 15 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 26 walks while hitting .244.

Orioles Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Ryan McKenna	0.5 (+100)	0.5 (+100)	0.5 (+1200)	0.5 (+370)
Austin Hays	0.5 (-164)	0.5 (-164)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+240)
Ryan Mountcastle	0.5 (-200)	0.5 (-200)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+235)
Adam Frazier	0.5 (-149)	0.5 (-149)	0.5 (+1100)	0.5 (+290)
Ryan O'Hearn	0.5 (-179)	0.5 (-179)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+200)

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