Mariners vs. Orioles Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 4

Updated Jul. 4, 2024 4:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Caleb Raleigh and the Seattle Mariners will look to get to Corbin Burnes when he takes the mound for the Baltimore Orioles on Thursday at 4:10 PM ET. The Mariners are -145 moneyline favorites in this matchup with the Orioles (+123). Seattle (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The total is 7 runs for this game (with -111 odds on the over and -108 odds on the under).

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mariners-Orioles game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Orioles vs. Mariners Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Baltimore Orioles and the Seattle Mariners on Wednesday, July 3.

Mariners vs. Orioles Game Information & Odds

When: Thursday, July 4, 2024 at 4:10 PM ET
Where: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington
How to Watch on TV: MASN2

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Mariners	-145	+123	7	-111	-108	-1.5	+154	-186

Mariners vs. Orioles Prediction

Score Prediction: Orioles 5, Mariners 4
Total Prediction: Over 7 runs
Win Probabilities: Mariners 51%, Orioles 49%

Mariners vs. Orioles Betting Insights

This season, the Mariners have won 32 out of the 53 games, or 60.4%, in which they've been favored.
Seattle is 17-10 this season when entering a game favored by -145 or more on the moneyline.
The moneyline for this contest implies a 59.2% chance of a victory for the Mariners.
The Orioles have come away with 12 wins in the 18 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
Baltimore has played as an underdog of +123 or more just one time this year and came away with a win in that game.
The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 44.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Mariners Recent Betting Performance

The Mariners have a 3-3 record across the six games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 outings, the Mariners and their opponents combined to hit the over four times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
The Mariners have gone 2-8-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mariners Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	3.2
HR	9
ERA	3.99
K/9	8.3

Mariners Player Insights

Raleigh has accumulated a team-best 15 home runs and 51 runs batted in.
Among all MLB batters, Raleigh is 139th in batting average, 127th in on-base percentage, and 98th in slugging.
J.P. Crawford is batting .207 with 11 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 33 walks.
Including all major league batters, Crawford ranks 145th in homers and 179th in RBI.
Julio Rodriguez has a team-best batting average of .244.
Josh Rojas is hitting .257 with 13 doubles, two triples, four home runs and 23 walks.

Mariners Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Josh Rojas	0.5 (-145)	0.5 (-145)	0.5 (+900)	0.5 (+255)
Ty France	0.5 (-150)	0.5 (-150)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+230)
Luke Raley	0.5 (-125)	0.5 (-125)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+275)
Ryan Bliss	0.5 (-125)	0.5 (-125)	0.5 (+850)	0.5 (+320)
Caleb Raleigh	0.5 (-140)	0.5 (-140)	0.5 (+400)	0.5 (+215)

Learn more about this Mariners vs. Orioles matchup on Fox Sports.

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

Over the past 10 games, the Orioles have been underdogs twice and split those games 1-1.
The Orioles and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times in their last 10 games with a total.
Over their last 10 games, the Orioles are 4-6-0 against the spread.

Orioles Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	4.2
HR	16
ERA	3.84
K/9	8.2

Orioles Player Insights

Gunnar Henderson has a team-high 26 home runs and has driven in 58 runs.
Henderson's home run total puts him third in MLB, and he is 10th in RBI.
Anthony Santander has 15 doubles, a triple, 22 home runs and 25 walks while hitting .234.
Santander ranks fifth in home runs and 12th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
Adley Rutschman paces the Orioles' lineup with a .288 batting average.
Jordan Westburg has 18 doubles, five triples, 13 home runs and 17 walks while hitting .277.

Orioles Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Jordan Westburg	0.5 (-240)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+185)
Ryan Mountcastle	0.5 (-255)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+170)
Ryan O'Hearn	1.5 (+180)	1.5 (-110)	0.5 (+330)	0.5 (+135)
Gunnar Henderson	1.5 (+170)	1.5 (-125)	0.5 (+250)	0.5 (+150)
Adley Rutschman	0.5 (-245)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+380)	0.5 (+170)