Mariners vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 10

Mariners vs. Padres Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 10

Updated Jul. 10, 2024 6:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The San Diego Padres and Kyle Higashioka take the field in the final game of a two-game series against Julio Rodriguez and the Seattle Mariners on Wednesday at PETCO Park. The favored Mariners have -137 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Padres, who are listed at +116. Seattle is a 1.5-run favorite (at +119 odds). The total for the game is set at 8 runs.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mariners-Padres game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Mariners vs. Padres Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Seattle Mariners and the San Diego Padres on Tuesday, July 9.
ADVERTISEMENT

Mariners vs. Padres Game Information & Odds

  • When: Wednesday, July 10, 2024 at 6:40 PM ET
  • Where: PETCO Park in San Diego, California
  • How to Watch on TV: SDPA
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Mariners -137 +116 8 -108 -112 -1.5 +119 -142

Mariners vs. Padres Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Padres 5, Mariners 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 8 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Mariners 53%, Padres 47%

Mariners vs. Padres Betting Insights

  • The Mariners have entered the game as favorites 56 times this season and won 34, or 60.7%, of those games.
  • Seattle has a record of 23-13 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -137 on the moneyline.
  • The Mariners have a 57.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • The Padres have won in 20, or 51.3%, of the 39 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • This season, San Diego has been victorious nine times in 17 chances when named as an underdog of at least +116 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The Padres have an implied victory probability of 46.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
FINAL
SEA 2 · SD 0
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Seattle Mariners
SEA
San Diego Padres
SD

Mariners Recent Betting Performance

  • The Mariners have a 3-2 record over the five games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings, the Mariners and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
  • The Mariners' ATS record is 3-7-0 over their past 10 games.

Mariners Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.3
HR 11
ERA 3.33
K/9 8.2

Mariners Player Insights

  • Caleb Raleigh paces the Mariners with 17 home runs and 55 runs batted in.
  • In all of MLB, Raleigh is 18th in homers and 24th in RBI.
  • Raleigh takes a hitting streak of two games into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .333 with a double, two home runs, two walks and four RBI.
  • Rodriguez has a club-best .256 batting average.
  • Rodriguez ranks 117th in homers and 131st in RBI among all batters in the majors.
  • J.P. Crawford is hitting .206 with 12 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 36 walks.
  • Dylan Moore has 14 doubles, three triples, eight home runs and 27 walks while hitting .212.

Mariners Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Julio Rodríguez 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+185)
Jorge Polanco 0.5 (-135) 0.5 (-135) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+235)
Dylan Moore 0.5 (-110) 0.5 (-110) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+290)
Victor Robles 0.5 (-125) 0.5 (-125) 0.5 (+1200) 0.5 (+340)
Mitch Garver 0.5 (-135) 0.5 (-135) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+235)

Learn more about this Mariners vs. Padres matchup on Fox Sports.

Padres Recent Betting Performance

  • In seven games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Padres have a record of 5-2.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Padres and their opponents are 7-3-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • Over their last 10 games, the Padres are 5-5-0 against the spread.

Padres Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.9
HR 15
ERA 4.96
K/9 8.9

Padres Player Insights

  • Jurickson Profar leads the squad with a batting average of .312, and paces the Padres in home runs, with 14 and runs batted in with 59.
  • Profar's home run total places him 41st in the majors, and he is 13th in RBI.
  • Jake Cronenworth is hitting .262 with 18 doubles, two triples, 13 home runs and 29 walks.
  • Among all MLB batters, Cronenworth is 53rd in homers and 24th in RBI.
  • Luis Arraez has 16 doubles, two triples, two home runs and 15 walks while batting .309.
  • Ha-Seong Kim has 12 doubles, three triples, 10 home runs and 47 walks while hitting .227.

Padres Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Jackson Merrill 0.5 (-275) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+160)
Luis Arraez 1.5 (+145) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+950) 0.5 (+200)
Jake Cronenworth 0.5 (-260) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+170)
Jurickson Profar 0.5 (-205) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+210)
Manny Machado 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+150)

Mariners vs. Padres Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Seattle Mariners and the San Diego Padres on Tuesday, July 9.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

Want great stories delivered right to your inbox? Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily.

FOLLOW Follow your favorites to personalize your FOX Sports experience
San Diego Padres
Seattle Mariners
share