Mariners vs. Rangers Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 28

Updated Sep. 28, 2023 9:00 p.m. ET

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J.P. Crawford and the Seattle Mariners will try to defeat Marcus Semien and the Texas Rangers at T-Mobile Park on Thursday at 9:40 PM ET. The favored Mariners have -116 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Rangers, who are listed at -103. Seattle (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. A 7.5-run over/under has been set in this matchup.

The scheduled starters are Logan Gilbert (13-7) for the Seattle Mariners, and Jordan Montgomery (10-11) for the Texas Rangers.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mariners-Rangers game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Mariners vs. Rangers Game Information & Odds

• When: Thursday, September 28, 2023 at 9:40 PM ET
• Where: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington
• How to Watch on TV: ROOT Sports NW

Mariners vs. Rangers Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mariners 5, Rangers 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mariners 52%, Rangers 48%

Mariners vs. Rangers Betting Insights

• The Mariners have won 61, or 57.5%, of the 106 games they've played as favorites this season.
• Seattle has a record of 58-38, a 60.4% win rate, when favored by -116 or more by bookmakers this season.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mariners have a 53.7% chance to win.
• The Rangers have been victorious in 23, or 50%, of the 46 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This year, Texas has won 15 of 37 games when listed as at least -103 or worse on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Rangers have a 50.7% chance of pulling out a win.

Mariners Recent Betting Performance

• The Mariners played as the moneyline favorite for six of their last 10 games, and they finished 4-2 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Mariners and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times.
• The Mariners' record against the spread is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Mariners Recent Stats

Mariners Player Insights

• Julio Rodriguez has put up a team-best batting average of .280, while leading the Mariners in home runs (31) and runs batted in (102).
• Rodriguez's home runs place him 20th in MLB, and he is 12th in RBI.
• Crawford is hitting .264 with 34 doubles, 18 home runs and 93 walks.
• Crawford ranks 107th in home runs in baseball, and 129th in RBI.
• Cal Raleigh is batting .235 with 23 doubles, a triple, 30 home runs and 54 walks.
• Raleigh will look to build on his two-game hitting in this game. In his last five games he is batting .200 with two walks and an RBI.
• Teoscar Hernandez is hitting .261 with 29 doubles, two triples, 26 home runs and 38 walks.

Mariners Team Props

Learn more about this Mariners vs. Rangers matchup on Fox Sports.

Rangers Recent Betting Performance

• Over the past 10 games, sportsbooks have not installed the Rangers as underdogs once.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Rangers and their opponents are 6-4-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Rangers have six wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Rangers Recent Stats

Rangers Player Insights

• Semien has 39 doubles, four triples, 29 home runs and 70 walks while hitting .278.
• Semien's home run total puts him 28th in the big leagues, and he ranks 15th in RBI.
• Semien has collected a hit in four games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .286 with a double, four home runs, a walk and four RBI.
• Corey Seager has a club-high .330 batting average.
• Seager ranks 16th among all hitters in the big leagues in homers, and 22nd in RBI.
• Adolis Garcia paces the Rangers in home runs (38) and runs batted in (106).
• Nate Lowe is hitting .264 with 38 doubles, two triples, 17 home runs and 92 walks.

Rangers Team Props

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