Mariners vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 30

Updated Jul. 30, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET

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The Seattle Mariners and Boston Red Sox will play on Tuesday at Fenway Park, at 7:10 PM ET, with Randy Arozarena and Jarren Duran among those expected to step up at the plate. The Mariners are favored in this one, at -120, while the underdog Red Sox have +100 odds to win. Seattle is a 1.5-run favorite (at +128 odds). The over/under for the game has been listed at 10.5 runs.

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Mariners-Red Sox game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Mariners vs. Red Sox Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments from this game between the Seattle Mariners and the Boston Red Sox!

Mariners vs. Red Sox Game Information & Odds

• When: Tuesday, July 30, 2024 at 7:10 PM ET
• Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
• How to Watch on TV: NESN

Mariners vs. Red Sox Prediction

• Score Prediction: Red Sox 5, Mariners 4
• Total Prediction: Under 10.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mariners 54%, Red Sox 46%

Mariners vs. Red Sox Betting Insights

• The Mariners have won 39, or 56.5%, of the 69 games they've played as favorites this season.
• Seattle has a record of 35-26, a 57.4% win rate, when favored by -120 or more by bookmakers this season.
• The Mariners have a 54.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Red Sox have won in 25, or 51%, of the 49 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• This year, Boston has won 18 of 36 games when listed as at least +100 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Red Sox have a 50% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

FINAL

SEA 10 · BOS 6

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Seattle Mariners

SEA

-1.5

-120

O 10.5

Boston Red Sox

BOS

+1.5

+100

U 10.5

Mariners Recent Betting Performance

• The Mariners were the moneyline favorite in nine of their last 10 games, and they finished 4-5 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Mariners and their opponents combined to go over the total five times.
• The Mariners' ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Mariners Recent Stats

Mariners Player Insights

• Arozarena is hitting .219 with 20 doubles, 16 home runs and 47 walks.
• Arozarena ranks 46th in home runs and 128th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
• Arozarena takes a hitting streak of three games into this game. During his last five outings he is batting .412 with two doubles, a home run, three walks and three RBI.
• Cal Raleigh has hit 23 home runs with 67 RBI. Both lead his team.
• Raleigh ranks 11th in home runs and 17th in RBI in the majors.
• Raleigh has five straight games with at least one hit. In his last five games he is batting .348 with a double, three home runs, a walk and five RBI.
• Justin Turner is batting .257 with 17 doubles, six home runs and 39 walks.
• Turner has at least one base hit in four games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .500 with two doubles and two walks.
• Dylan Moore is hitting .207 with 16 doubles, four triples, nine home runs and 31 walks.
• Moore is riding a four-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is batting .222 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and four RBI.

Mariners Team Props

Learn more about this Mariners vs. Red Sox matchup on Fox Sports.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• In five games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Red Sox have a record of 1-4.
• The Red Sox and their opponents have combined to hit the over eight times in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Red Sox have won four of their last 10 games against the spread.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Duran is hitting .291 with 33 doubles, 12 triples, 13 home runs and 38 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .350.
• In all of the majors, Duran ranks 78th in home runs and 48th in RBI.
• Rafael Devers has hit 23 home runs with 64 runs batted in while hitting .297. Those numbers are pace the clubhouse.
• Devers is currently 11th in homers and 23rd in RBI in the major leagues.
• Tyler O'Neill has 16 doubles, 22 home runs and 36 walks while hitting .270.
• Ceddanne Rafaela is hitting .253 with 16 doubles, four triples, 12 home runs and 12 walks.

Red Sox Team Props

Mariners vs. Red Sox Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments from this game between the Seattle Mariners and the Boston Red Sox!

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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