Mariners vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 31

Updated Jul. 31, 2023 9:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Boston Red Sox and Justin Turner hit the field at T-Mobile Park against J.P. Crawford and the Seattle Mariners on Monday. The Mariners are listed as -127 moneyline favorites for this matchup with the Red Sox (+107). Seattle is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The over/under is 7.5 runs for the matchup.

The starting pitchers are George Kirby (9-8) for the Seattle Mariners, and Nick Pivetta (7-5) for the Boston Red Sox.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mariners-Red Sox game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Mariners vs. Red Sox Game Information & Odds

When: Monday, July 31, 2023 at 9:40 PM ET
Where: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington
How to Watch on TV: ROOT Sports NW

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Mariners	-127	+107	7.5	-109	-111	-1.5	+166	-202

Mariners vs. Red Sox Prediction

Score Prediction: Mariners 5, Red Sox 4
Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Mariners 52%, Red Sox 48%

Mariners vs. Red Sox Betting Insights

This season, the Mariners have been favored 67 times and won 36, or 53.7%, of those games.
Seattle is 29-24 this season when entering a game favored by -127 or more on the moneyline.
Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mariners have a 55.9% chance to win.
The Red Sox have been victorious in 30, or 53.6%, of the 56 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
Boston has a mark of 23-18 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +107 or worse on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Red Sox have a 48.3% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Mariners Recent Betting Performance

The Mariners were the moneyline favorite for five of their last 10 games, and went 3-2 in those matchups.
Over their last 10 outings, the Mariners and their opponents combined to hit the over on the run total three times (all 10 games had set totals).
The Mariners' record against the spread is 7-3-0 over their past 10 games.

Mariners Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	7-3
Runs Per Game	5.2
HR	17
ERA	3.74
K/9	10.2

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Mariners Player Insights

Julio Rodriguez has homered 17 times this season, the highest mark on the Mariners, while hitting .251 with 55 RBI.
Including all MLB hitters, Rodriguez ranks 91st in batting average, 102nd in on-base percentage, and 81st in slugging.
Rodriguez takes a hitting streak of eight games into this game. In his last 10 outings he is batting .295 with three doubles, four home runs, two walks and five RBI.
Crawford has a club-leading .265 batting average.
Crawford is 160th in homers in MLB, and 149th in RBI.
Crawford has five games in a row with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is batting .389 with four doubles, a home run, six walks and an RBI.
Ty France is hitting .253 with 24 doubles, seven home runs and 23 walks.
France has at least one base hit in three straight games. In his last five games he is batting .368 with a walk and an RBI.
Eugenio Suarez has racked up 64 runs batted in to lead his team.

Mariners Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Teoscar Hernández	0.5 (-200)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+340)	0.5 (+175)
Julio Rodríguez	0.5 (-256)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+340)	0.5 (+155)
Kolten Wong	0.5 (-115)	0.5 (-115)	0.5 (+800)	0.5 (+285)
Mike Ford	0.5 (-110)	0.5 (-110)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+255)
Eugenio Suárez	0.5 (-145)	0.5 (-145)	0.5 (+370)	0.5 (+170)

Learn more about this Mariners vs. Red Sox matchup on Fox Sports.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

In three games as an underdog over the last 10 matchups, Boston has a perfect record of 3-0.
The Red Sox and their opponents have combined to hit the over two times in their last 10 games with a total.
The Red Sox are 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	4.3
HR	14
ERA	3.17
K/9	8.8

Red Sox Player Insights

Turner is hitting .287 with 25 doubles, 17 home runs and 38 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .356.
Among all hitters in the majors, Turner is 41st in home runs and 11th in RBI.
Rafael Devers has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 25 home runs and 76 runs batted in.
Devers is currently eighth in homers and sixth in RBI in the major leagues.
Masataka Yoshida paces the Red Sox's lineup with a .308 batting average.
Alex Verdugo is hitting .272 with 27 doubles, four triples, seven home runs and 36 walks.

Red Sox Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Jarren Duran	1.5 (+185)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+220)
Rafael Devers	0.5 (-256)	1.5 (-105)	0.5 (+290)	0.5 (+125)
Alex Verdugo	0.5 (-213)	1.5 (+150)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+235)
Triston Casas	0.5 (-185)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+340)	0.5 (+185)
Justin Turner	1.5 (+195)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+185)

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