Mariners vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 17

Updated Aug. 17, 2023 1:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Seattle Mariners and Ty France will hit the field against MJ Melendez and the Kansas City Royals at Kauffman Stadium on Thursday, with the first pitch at 2:10 PM ET. The Royals are +183 moneyline underdogs for this matchup against the favorite Mariners (-224). Seattle is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The over/under is 9 runs for the matchup (with -111 odds on the over and -109 odds on the under).

The Seattle Mariners will give the start to George Kirby (10-8, 3.11 ERA), who is looking for win No. 11 on the season, and the Royals will turn to Angel Zerpa (1-1, 7.71 ERA).

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Mariners-Royals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Mariners vs. Royals Game Information & Odds

When: Thursday, August 17, 2023 at 2:10 PM ET
Where: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri
How to Watch on TV: MLB Network

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Mariners	-224	+183	9	-111	-109	-1.5	-133	+111

Mariners vs. Royals Prediction

Score Prediction: Mariners 5, Royals 4
Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
Win Probabilities: Mariners 56%, Royals 44%

Mariners vs. Royals Betting Insights

This season, the Mariners have won 44 out of the 79 games, or 55.7%, in which they've been favored.
Seattle has entered nine games this season favored by -224 or more and is 7-2 in those contests.
The implied probability of a win from the Mariners, based on the moneyline, is 69.1%.
The Royals have won in 35, or 32.7%, of the 107 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
This year, Kansas City has won seven of 25 games when listed as at least +183 or worse on the moneyline.
The Royals have an implied victory probability of 35.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Mariners Recent Betting Performance

The Mariners were the moneyline favorite for eight of their last 10 games, and they finished 5-3 in those matchups.
In their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Mariners and their opponents combined to go over the run total four times.
The Mariners have a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mariners Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	7-3
Runs Per Game	4.8
HR	12
ERA	2.61
K/9	8.4

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Mariners Player Insights

Julio Rodriguez is hitting .261 with 28 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 38 walks.
Among all MLB hitters, Rodriguez is 62nd in batting average, 85th in on-base percentage, and 70th in slugging.
Rodriguez carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .308 with three doubles, a walk and seven RBI.
France has 28 doubles, 10 home runs and 33 walks while hitting .259.
Including all MLB hitters, France ranks 174th in homers and 96th in RBI.
France carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .333 with a double, a home run, six walks and four RBI.
Cal Raleigh has hit a team-best 21 homers.
Eugenio Suarez's 75 runs batted in are a team-high mark.
Suarez has recorded at least one hit in four games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .227 with a home run, three walks and three RBI.

Mariners Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Teoscar Hernández	1.5 (+145)	1.5 (-130)	0.5 (+330)	0.5 (+100)
Eugenio Suárez	1.5 (+195)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+380)	0.5 (+140)
Ty France	1.5 (+165)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+145)
Brian O'Keefe	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+140)
Dylan Moore	0.5 (-196)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+150)

Learn more about this Mariners vs. Royals matchup on Fox Sports.

Royals Recent Betting Performance

The Royals have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Royals and their opponents have failed to hit the over four times.
Over their last 10 games, the Royals are 6-4-0 against the spread.

Royals Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	5.4
HR	15
ERA	5.47
K/9	8.3

Royals Player Insights

Bobby Witt Jr. leads the lineup with a batting average of .274, while leading the Royals in home runs, with 23 and runs batted in with 76.
Among all hitters in the big leagues, Witt Jr. is 22nd in home runs and 17th in RBI.
Salvador Perez is batting .255 with 19 doubles, 19 home runs and 16 walks.
Perez is currently 45th in homers and 83rd in RBI in the major leagues.
Maikel Garcia is hitting .289 with 16 doubles, two triples, four home runs and 25 walks.
Melendez has 23 doubles, three triples, 12 home runs and 42 walks while batting .232.

Royals Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Salvador Pérez	-	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+140)
Maikel Garcia	1.5 (+160)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+1000)	0.5 (+230)
Bobby Witt Jr.	1.5 (+175)	1.5 (-115)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+160)
MJ Melendez	0.5 (-196)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+165)
Nelson Velazquez	0.5 (-227)	1.5 (+155)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+180)

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