Mariners vs. Twins Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 17

Updated Jul. 17, 2023 9:01 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Logan Gilbert and the Seattle Mariners will take the field against the Minnesota Twins and starting pitcher Sonny Gray on Monday at T-Mobile Park. The favored Mariners have -144 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Twins, who are listed at +123. Seattle (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The total is 7.5 runs for this matchup.

The scheduled starters are Gilbert (7-5) for the Seattle Mariners, and Gray (4-3) for the Minnesota Twins.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mariners-Twins game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Mariners vs. Twins Game Information & Odds

When: Monday, July 17, 2023 at 9:40 PM ET
Where: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington
How to Watch on TV: Fox Sports 1

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Mariners	-144	+123	7.5	+100	-121	-1.5	+146	-173

Mariners vs. Twins Prediction

Score Prediction: Mariners 5, Twins 4
Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
Win Probabilities:

Mariners vs. Twins Betting Insights

This season, the Mariners have been favored 59 times and won 32, or 54.2%, of those games.
This season Seattle has won 19 of its 34 games, or 55.9%, when favored by at least -144 on the moneyline.
Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mariners have a 59% chance to win.
The Twins have won in 11, or 33.3%, of the 33 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
This season, Minnesota has been victorious four times in 13 chances when named as an underdog of at least +123 or longer on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Twins have a 44.8% chance of walking away with the win.

Mariners Recent Betting Performance

The Mariners have a 3-2 record across the five games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Mariners and their opponents combined to hit the over three times.
The Mariners are 7-3-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mariners Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	3.8
HR	8
ERA	2.05
K/9	7.9

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Mariners Player Insights

Julio Rodriguez has 18 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 30 walks while hitting .250.
Rodriguez ranks 63rd in homers and 50th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
J.P. Crawford is batting .258 to lead his team.
Crawford is 158th in home runs and 142nd in RBI on the year.
Crawford heads into this game looking for his third game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .333 with two doubles, four walks and an RBI.
Ty France is hitting .254 with 22 doubles, seven home runs and 19 walks.
Jarred Kelenic is hitting .248 with 24 doubles, two triples, 11 home runs and 33 walks.
Kelenic takes a four-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .286 with three doubles, a walk and four RBI.

Mariners Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Julio Rodríguez	0.5 (-244)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+180)
Eugenio Suárez	0.5 (-159)	0.5 (-159)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+180)
J.P. Crawford	0.5 (-189)	0.5 (-189)	0.5 (+800)	0.5 (+265)
Jarred Kelenic	0.5 (-200)	0.5 (-189)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+180)
Teoscar Hernández	0.5 (-169)	0.5 (-169)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+205)

Learn more about this Mariners vs. Twins matchup on Fox Sports.

Twins Recent Betting Performance

The Twins are not favored for the first time in a while, as they have not been underdogs in their last 10 games.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Twins and their opponents are 6-3-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
Over their last 10 games, the Twins are 4-6-0 against the spread.

Twins Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	4.8
HR	12
ERA	4.60
K/9	10.8

Twins Player Insights

Carlos Correa leads the Twins with 40 runs batted in while accumulating a team-best batting average of .232.
Correa's home run total places him 97th in the majors, and he is 93rd in RBI.
Byron Buxton is hitting .199 with 12 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 33 walks.
Buxton is 43rd among all batters in MLB in home runs, and 117th in RBI.
Donovan Solano has 20 doubles, four home runs and 31 walks while batting .278.
Max Kepler has five doubles, 12 home runs and 19 walks while batting .209.

Twins Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Carlos Correa	0.5 (-244)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+205)
Alex Kirilloff	0.5 (-200)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+210)
Dónovan Solano	0.5 (-196)	1.5 (+155)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+220)
Willi Castro	0.5 (-179)	0.5 (-179)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+240)
Michael A. Taylor	0.5 (-110)	0.5 (-110)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+350)

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