Mariners vs. Twins Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 19

Updated Jul. 19, 2023 9:12 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Mike Ford and the Seattle Mariners will play Carlos Correa and the Minnesota Twins at T-Mobile Park in the third of a four-game series, Wednesday at 9:40 PM ET. The Mariners are favored in this one, at -150, while the underdog Twins have +128 odds to upset. Seattle is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The over/under for the matchup has been set at 7.5 runs.

The Seattle Mariners will hand the ball to Luis Castillo (6-7, 3.04 ERA), who is looking for win No. 7 on the season, and the Twins will turn to Kenta Maeda (2-5, 5.50 ERA).

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mariners-Twins game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Mariners vs. Twins Game Information & Odds

When: Wednesday, July 19, 2023 at 9:40 PM ET
Where: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington
How to Watch on TV: ROOT Sports NW

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Mariners	-150	+128	7.5	-110	-110	-1.5	+141	-167

Mariners vs. Twins Prediction

Score Prediction: Mariners 5, Twins 4
Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
Win Probabilities:

Mariners vs. Twins Betting Insights

The Mariners have entered the game as favorites 61 times this season and won 33, or 54.1%, of those games.
Seattle has a record of 18-14, a 56.2% win rate, when favored by -150 or more by sportsbooks this season.
The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 60% chance of a victory for the Mariners.
The Twins have been underdogs in 35 games this season and have come away with the win 12 times (34.3%) in those contests.
Minnesota has a win-loss record of 3-7 when favored by +128 or worse by bookmakers this year.
The Twins have an implied victory probability of 43.9% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Mariners Recent Betting Performance

The Mariners played as the moneyline favorite in seven of their last 10 games, and finished 4-3 in those matchups.
Over their last 10 matchups, the Mariners and their opponents combined to go over the total four times (all 10 games had set totals).
The Mariners have put together a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mariners Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	3.6
HR	8
ERA	3.07
K/9	8.7

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Mariners Player Insights

Julio Rodriguez is batting .248 with 18 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 31 walks.
Rodriguez ranks 70th in homers and 51st in RBI among all batters in MLB.
J.P. Crawford has a club-leading .256 batting average.
Crawford is 161st in home runs in MLB, and 149th in RBI.
Ty France has 23 doubles, seven home runs and 20 walks while hitting .251.
Jarred Kelenic is hitting .252 with 24 doubles, two triples, 11 home runs and 33 walks.
Kelenic has recorded at least one hit in six games in a row. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .294 with four doubles, two walks and seven RBI.

Mariners Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Julio Rodríguez	0.5 (-294)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+370)	0.5 (+170)
Jarred Kelenic	0.5 (-200)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+400)	0.5 (+160)
Cal Raleigh	0.5 (-164)	0.5 (-164)	0.5 (+360)	0.5 (+170)
Kolten Wong	0.5 (-130)	0.5 (-130)	0.5 (+850)	0.5 (+300)
Tom Murphy	0.5 (-135)	0.5 (-135)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+230)

Learn more about this Mariners vs. Twins matchup on Fox Sports.

Twins Recent Betting Performance

Over the past 10 games, the Twins have been underdogs twice and split those games 1-1.
The Twins and their opponents have combined to hit the over seven times in their last 10 games with a total.
The Twins have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Twins Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	5.5
HR	17
ERA	5.00
K/9	9.9

Twins Player Insights

Correa has put up a team-best batting average of .234 and leads the Twins in runs batted in with a mark of 42.
Among all hitters in the majors, Correa's home run total ranks 86th and his RBI tally ranks 90th.
Byron Buxton is batting .196 with 12 doubles, a triple, 15 home runs and 33 walks.
Buxton ranks 44th in homers and 123rd in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
Max Kepler is batting .220 with seven doubles, 13 home runs and 20 walks.
Donovan Solano is hitting .275 with 20 doubles, four home runs and 32 walks.

Twins Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Carlos Correa	0.5 (-222)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+260)
Alex Kirilloff	0.5 (-213)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+230)
Max Kepler	0.5 (-196)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+170)
Byron Buxton	0.5 (-141)	0.5 (-141)	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+225)
Matt Wallner	0.5 (-141)	0.5 (-141)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+210)

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