Mariners vs. Twins Prediction, Odds, Picks - June 28
Logan Gilbert and the Seattle Mariners will take the field against the Minnesota Twins and projected starter Bailey Ober on Friday at T-Mobile Park. The Mariners are favored in this one, at -129, while the underdog Twins have +109 odds to upset. Seattle is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +168 odds). The total is 7 runs for this contest.
Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mariners-Twins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
Mariners vs. Twins Game Information & Odds
- When: Friday, June 28, 2024 at 9:40 PM ET
- Where: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, Washington
- How to Watch on TV: ROOT Sports NW
Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mariners | -129 | +109 | 7 | -113 | -107 | -1.5 | +168 | -203 |
Mariners vs. Twins Prediction
- Score Prediction: Mariners 4, Twins 3
- Total Prediction: Over 7 runs
- Win Probabilities: Mariners 52%, Twins 48%
Mariners vs. Twins Betting Insights
- The Mariners have been favorites in 51 games this season and won 31 (60.8%) of those contests.
- This season Seattle has won 25 of its 39 games, or 64.1%, when favored by at least -129 on the moneyline.
- The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 56.3% chance of a victory for the Mariners.
- The Twins have won in 10, or 38.5%, of the 26 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- Minnesota has a mark of 4-9 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +109 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Twins have an implied victory probability of 47.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
Mariners Recent Betting Performance
- The Mariners went 3-3 across the six games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
- In their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Mariners combined with their opponents to go over the run total six times.
- The Mariners' ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.
Mariners Recent Stats
Stat | Avg/Total |
---|---|
Record | 4-6 |
Runs Per Game | 4.2 |
HR | 12 |
ERA | 4.34 |
K/9 | 8.4 |
Mariners Player Insights
- The Mariners' best power option comes in the form of Caleb Raleigh and his 14-home-run 49-RBI season, both team highs.
- In all of MLB, Raleigh is 25th in homers and 21st in RBI.
- Raleigh brings a hitting streak of three games into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .308 with two home runs, five walks and five RBI.
- J.P. Crawford is hitting .217 with 11 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 31 walks.
- Crawford carries a seven-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last 10 outings he is batting .278 with three doubles, a home run, seven walks and seven RBI.
- Julio Rodriguez has racked up a team-high batting average of .252.
- Dylan Moore has 14 doubles, two triples, eight home runs and 25 walks while hitting .209.
Mariners Team Props
Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Julio Rodríguez | - | 1.5 (+100) | 0.5 (+310) | 0.5 (+155) |
Josh Rojas | 0.5 (-130) | 0.5 (-130) | 0.5 (+800) | 0.5 (+310) |
Dominic Canzone | 0.5 (-175) | 0.5 (-175) | 0.5 (+380) | 0.5 (+190) |
Luke Raley | 0.5 (-120) | 0.5 (-120) | 0.5 (+475) | 0.5 (+255) |
J.P. Crawford | 0.5 (-160) | 0.5 (-160) | 0.5 (+500) | 0.5 (+240) |
Learn more about this Mariners vs. Twins matchup on Fox Sports.
Twins Recent Betting Performance
- Sportsbooks have not installed the Twins as underdogs in any of their last 10 games.
- In their last 10 games with a total, the Twins and their opponents are 8-2-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
- The Twins have four wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.
Twins Recent Stats
Stat | Avg/Total |
---|---|
Record | 6-4 |
Runs Per Game | 6.6 |
HR | 16 |
ERA | 4.30 |
K/9 | 9.0 |
Twins Player Insights
- Carlos Correa paces the Twins with a team-high batting average of .309.
- Among all hitters in the majors, Correa's home run total ranks 104th and his RBI tally is 66th.
- Carlos Santana is hitting .254 with 14 doubles, 12 home runs and 27 walks.
- Among all MLB hitters, Santana is 41st in home runs and 59th in RBI.
- Willi Castro is batting .277 with 21 doubles, five triples, seven home runs and 26 walks.
- Ryan Jeffers paces the Twins in home runs (13) and runs batted in (41).
Twins Team Props
Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Royce Lewis | 0.5 (-220) | 1.5 (+120) | 0.5 (+320) | 0.5 (+150) |
Carlos Correa | 1.5 (+200) | 1.5 (+115) | 0.5 (+500) | 0.5 (+190) |
Max Kepler | 0.5 (-200) | 1.5 (+135) | 0.5 (+450) | 0.5 (+195) |
Carlos Santana | 0.5 (-170) | 0.5 (-170) | 0.5 (+500) | 0.5 (+205) |
Christian Vázquez | 0.5 (-150) | 0.5 (-150) | 0.5 (+1000) | 0.5 (+275) |
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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