Marlins vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 19

Updated Sep. 19, 2023 6:11 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Pete Alonso will lead the New York Mets into a matchup with Luis Arraez and the Miami Marlins on Tuesday at 6:40 PM ET, in the second game of a three-game series at LoanDepot park. The Marlins are listed as -153 moneyline favorites for this matchup against the Mets (+129). Miami is a 1.5-run favorite (at +136 odds). The over/under for the contest has been listed at 8 runs.

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Miami Marlins looking to Braxton Garrett (9-6), and Joey Lucchesi (3-0) answering the bell for the New York Mets.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Marlins-Mets game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Marlins vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

When: Tuesday, September 19, 2023 at 6:40 PM ET
Where: LoanDepot park in Miami, Florida
How to Watch on TV: BSFL

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Marlins	-153	+129	8	-109	-111	-1.5	+136	-161

Marlins vs. Mets Prediction

Score Prediction: Marlins 5, Mets 4
Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
Win Probabilities: Marlins 53%, Mets 47%

Marlins vs. Mets Betting Insights

This season, the Marlins have been favored 69 times and won 40, or 58%, of those games.
Miami has a record of 26-8 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -153 on the moneyline.
The implied probability of a win from the Marlins, based on the moneyline, is 60.5%.
The Mets have been chosen as underdogs in 61 games this year and have walked away with the win 20 times (32.8%) in those games.
This season, New York has come away with a win six times in 20 chances when named as an underdog of at least +129 or worse on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mets have a 43.7% chance of walking away with the win.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

The Marlins were named the moneyline favorite by oddsmakers just twice over the last 10 games, and lost both matchups.
Over their last 10 outings, the Marlins and their opponents combined to hit the over five times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
The Marlins' record against the spread is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Marlins Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	5.1
HR	13
ERA	4.71
K/9	8.9

Marlins Player Insights

Arraez has accumulated a team-high batting average of .354.
In all of MLB, Arraez ranks 206th in homers and 76th in RBI.
Arraez has collected a hit in nine straight games. In his last 10 games he is batting .372 with a double, four home runs and six RBI.
Jorge Soler has hit 36 home runs to pace his team.
Soler is seventh in home runs and 63rd in RBI in the major leagues.
Jake Burger has a team-high 75 runs batted in.
Burger has at least one base hit in five games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .455 with three doubles, two home runs, two walks and six RBI.
Bryan De La Cruz has capitalized on opportunities as he paces his team with 75 runs batted in.

Learn more about this Marlins vs. Mets matchup on Fox Sports.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

The Mets have played as underdogs in four of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Mets and their opponents have failed to hit the over six times.
Over their last 10 games, the Mets are 7-3-0 against the spread.

Mets Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	4.9
HR	12
ERA	2.83
K/9	8.5

Mets Player Insights

Alonso has put up a team-high 45 home runs and has driven in 112 runs.
Alonso's home run total places him second in the big leagues, and he is second in RBI.
Francisco Lindor is batting .250 with 33 doubles, two triples, 26 home runs and 61 walks.
Lindor ranks 32nd in home runs and 33rd in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
Brandon Nimmo has racked up a team-best batting average of .266.
Jeff McNeil leads the Mets with a .266 batting average.