Marlins vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 20

Updated Sep. 20, 2023 6:00 p.m. ET

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Luis Arraez and the Miami Marlins will play Francisco Lindor and the New York Mets on Wednesday at LoanDepot park, at 6:40 PM ET. The favored Marlins have -121 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Mets, who are listed at +102. Miami is a 1.5-run favorite (at +177 odds). The over/under is 7.5 runs for this matchup.

The Miami Marlins will hand the ball to Eury Perez (5-5, 3.06 ERA), who is looking for win No. 6 on the season, and the Mets will counter with Kodai Senga (11-7, 2.95 ERA).

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Marlins-Mets game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Marlins vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

• When: Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 6:40 PM ET
• Where: LoanDepot park in Miami, Florida
• How to Watch on TV: Fox Sports 1

Marlins vs. Mets Prediction

• Score Prediction: Marlins 5, Mets 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Marlins 54%, Mets 46%

Marlins vs. Mets Betting Insights

• This season, the Marlins have won 41 out of the 70 games, or 58.6%, in which they've been favored.
• This season Miami has won 37 of its 56 games, or 66.1%, when favored by at least -121 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 54.8% chance of a victory for the Marlins.
• The Mets have been chosen as underdogs in 62 games this year and have walked away with the win 20 times (32.3%) in those games.
• New York has a mark of 10-33 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +102 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Mets have an implied victory probability of 49.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

• The Marlins were favored on the moneyline for three of their last 10 games, and they went 1-2 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Marlins and their opponents combined to hit the over four times.
• The Marlins are 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Marlins Recent Stats

Marlins Player Insights

• Arraez leads the Marlins with a team-best batting average of .354.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Arraez ranks 209th in homers and 79th in RBI.
• Arraez carries a nine-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last 10 outings he is batting .372 with a double, four home runs and six RBI.
• Jorge Soler has hit 36 home runs to lead his team.
• Of all major league batters, Soler ranks eighth in home runs and 64th in RBI.
• Jake Burger paces the Marlins with 76 runs batted in.
• Burger is on a six-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last 10 games he is batting .325 with three doubles, two home runs, three walks and seven RBI.
• Bryan De La Cruz is hitting .254 with 31 doubles, 19 home runs and 38 walks.
• De La Cruz takes a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .176 with a double and an RBI.

Learn more about this Marlins vs. Mets matchup on Fox Sports.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• In four games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by sportsbooks, the Mets had a record of 3-1.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Mets and their opponents are 3-5-2 in their last 10 games with a total.
• Over their last 10 games, the Mets are 8-2-0 against the spread.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Pete Alonso paces the Mets with 45 long balls and runs batted in, driving in 112.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Alonso's home run total is second and his RBI tally ranks second.
• Lindor is hitting .250 with 33 doubles, two triples, 26 home runs and 61 walks.
• Lindor is 33rd overall in home runs and 33rd in RBI this year.
• Brandon Nimmo leads the Mets with a team-high batting average of .269.
• Jeff McNeil leads the team in batting average with a mark of .269.

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