Marlins vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 26

Updated Sep. 26, 2023 7:06 p.m. ET

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Luis Arraez and the Miami Marlins will play Francisco Lindor and the New York Mets on Tuesday at Citi Field, at 7:10 PM ET. The favored Marlins have -130 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Mets, who are listed at +110. Miami (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The over/under for the matchup is set at 7.5 runs.

The Marlins will give the ball to Braxton Garrett (9-6) against the Mets and Joey Lucchesi (3-0).

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Marlins-Mets game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Marlins vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

• When: Tuesday, September 26, 2023 at 7:10 PM ET
• Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
• How to Watch on TV: SNY

Marlins vs. Mets Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 5, Marlins 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Marlins 53%, Mets 47%

Marlins vs. Mets Betting Insights

• This season, the Marlins have been favored 71 times and won 41, or 57.7%, of those games.
• Miami has a record of 31-17 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -130 on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 56.5% chance of a victory for the Marlins.
• The Mets have been victorious in 21, or 31.3%, of the 67 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• New York has a mark of 10-33 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +110 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Mets have an implied victory probability of 47.6% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

• The Marlins went 1-3 over the four games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups, the Marlins and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Marlins have put together a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Marlins Recent Stats

Marlins Player Insights

• Arraez's .353 average leads the Marlins this year. His resume also includes 10 homers and driven in 69 RBI.
• Among all batters in baseball, Arraez ranks 211th in home runs and 87th in RBI.
• Jorge Soler has hit 36 home runs to lead his team.
• Soler is 10th in homers and 71st in RBI in the majors.
• Soler has five games in a row with at least one hit. In his last five games he is hitting .471 with a double and four walks.
• Jake Burger paces the Marlins with 79 runs batted in.
• Burger has at least one base hit in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .417 with a home run, a walk and four RBI.
• Bryan De La Cruz has 32 doubles, 19 home runs and 39 walks while batting .258.
• De La Cruz takes a six-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last 10 games he is batting .265 with two doubles, a walk and three RBI.

Marlins Team Props

Learn more about this Marlins vs. Mets matchup on Fox Sports.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Mets and their opponents have failed to hit the over six times.
• The Mets are 7-3-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Lindor has 33 doubles, two triples, 27 home runs and 62 walks while batting .250.
• Among all batters in MLB, Lindor ranks 32nd in home runs and 36th in RBI.
• Pete Alonso has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 45 home runs and 115 RBI.
• Alonso is second overall in home runs and second in RBI this year.
• Brandon Nimmo has put up a team-best batting average of .271.
• Jeff McNeil is batting .270 with 25 doubles, four triples, 10 home runs and 39 walks.

Mets Team Props

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