Marlins vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 25

Marlins vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 25

Updated Aug. 25, 2023 6:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The Washington Nationals will look to Keibert Ruiz for continued success at the plate when they take on Jorge Soler and the Miami Marlins on Friday, in the first game of a three-game series at LoanDepot park. The Nationals have been listed as +179 moneyline underdogs in this matchup against the Marlins (-217). Miami is a 1.5-run favorite (at -101 odds). The over/under is 8.5 runs for the game (with -114 odds to hit the over and -106 odds on the under).

The starting pitchers are Braxton Garrett (7-4) for the Miami Marlins, and Joan Adon (1-0) for the Washington Nationals.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Marlins-Nationals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Marlins vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Friday, August 25, 2023 at 6:40 PM ET
  • Where: LoanDepot park in Miami, Florida
  • How to Watch on TV: BSFL
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Marlins -217 +179 8.5 -114 -106 -1.5 -101 -119

Marlins vs. Nationals Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Marlins 5, Nationals 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Marlins 54%, Nationals 46%

Marlins vs. Nationals Betting Insights

  • The Marlins have entered the game as favorites 59 times this season and won 35, or 59.3%, of those games.
  • Miami has a record of 3-3 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -217 on the moneyline.
  • The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 68.5% chance of a victory for the Marlins.
  • The Nationals have been chosen as underdogs in 116 games this year and have walked away with the win 50 times (43.1%) in those games.
  • This season, Washington has come away with a win 13 times in 30 chances when named as an underdog of at least +179 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 35.8% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

  • The Marlins have not been the moneyline favorite over the last 10 games.
  • Over their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Marlins and their opponents combined to go over the total four times.
  • The Marlins have put together a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Marlins Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.1
HR 12
ERA 4.50
K/9 8.4

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Marlins Player Insights

  • Luis Arraez has a team-high batting average of .355.
  • Arraez's home runs place him 282nd in MLB, and he ranks 80th in RBI.
  • Arraez has collected a hit in three games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .211 with .
  • Soler's 33 home runs and 68 runs batted in are both team-highs.
  • Soler ranks seventh in home runs and 41st in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
  • Josh Bell has 22 doubles, 18 home runs and 52 walks while hitting .246.
  • Bell has at least one base hit in five straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .333 with two home runs, two walks and two RBI.
  • Bryan De La Cruz has 28 doubles, 16 home runs and 35 walks while batting .255.

Marlins Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Jorge Soler 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+370) 0.5 (+135)
Bryan De La Cruz 1.5 (+210) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+165)
Luis Arraez 1.5 (+155) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+1200) 0.5 (+155)
Jazz Chisholm 0.5 (-222) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+160)
Jake Burger 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+155)

Learn more about this Marlins vs. Nationals matchup on Fox Sports.

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

  • The Nationals have played as underdogs in nine of their past 10 games and won six of those contests.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Nationals and their opponents are 6-4-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Nationals have a record of 7-3-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Nationals Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.2
HR 10
ERA 5.46
K/9 9.4

Nationals Player Insights

  • Lane Thomas has a team-best batting average of .284, while leading the Nationals in long balls with 20.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Thomas ranks 44th in homers and 36th in RBI.
  • Joey Meneses has been productive as he leads his team with 70 runs batted in.
  • Among all major league hitters, Meneses is 158th in homers and 33rd in RBI.
  • Ruiz has 19 doubles, 15 home runs and 28 walks while hitting .261.
  • C.J. Abrams is batting .252 with 22 doubles, four triples, 14 home runs and 20 walks.

Nationals Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Keibert Ruiz 0.5 (-244) 1.5 (+145) 0.5 (+1000) 0.5 (+190)
Lane Thomas 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+195)
Joey Meneses 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+175)
Ildemaro Vargas 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+150) 0.5 (+850) 0.5 (+215)
Dominic Smith 0.5 (-185) 0.5 (-185) 0.5 (+1100) 0.5 (+230)

FOX Bet has the props and odds you need to get your betting on for Marlins vs Nationals!

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