Marlins vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 31

Marlins vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 31

Updated Aug. 31, 2023 6:05 p.m. ET

Lane Thomas and the Washington Nationals match up with Jorge Soler and the Miami Marlins on Thursday at 7:05 PM ET at Nationals Park. The Marlins are the favorite in this one, at -156, while the underdog Nationals have +131 odds to win. Miami is a 1.5-run favorite (at +108 odds). The contest's over/under has been set at 8.5 runs.

The Miami Marlins will hand the ball to Braxton Garrett (7-5, 3.96 ERA), who is looking for win No. 8 on the season, and the Nationals will counter with Joan Adon (2-0, 5.25 ERA).

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Marlins-Nationals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Marlins vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Thursday, August 31, 2023 at 7:05 PM ET
  • Where: Nationals Park in Washington D.C.
  • How to Watch on TV: MASN
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Marlins -156 +131 8.5 -110 -110 -1.5 +108 -129

Marlins vs. Nationals Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Nationals 5, Marlins 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Marlins 52%, Nationals 48%

Marlins vs. Nationals Betting Insights

  • This season, the Marlins have been favored 63 times and won 36, or 57.1%, of those games.
  • This season Miami has won 20 of its 27 games, or 74.1%, when favored by at least -156 on the moneyline.
  • The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 60.9% chance of a victory for the Marlins.
  • The Nationals have been victorious in 53, or 43.4%, of the 122 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Washington has come away with a win 43 times in 91 chances when named as an underdog of at least +131 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 43.3% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

  • The Marlins were the moneyline favorite for four of their last 10 games, and they finished 1-3 in those matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Marlins and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total two times.
  • The Marlins' record against the spread is 1-9-0 over their past 10 games.

Marlins Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 2-8
Runs Per Game 1.7
HR 7
ERA 3.93
K/9 8.9

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Marlins Player Insights

  • The Marlins best hitter so far this season is Luis Arraez, who's hitting at a team-leading .349 clip along with five homers and 58 RBI.
  • Of all hitters in baseball, Arraez is 283rd in homers and 89th in RBI.
  • Arraez carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .200 with .
  • Soler's 35 home runs and 71 RBI both lead his team.
  • Of all major league hitters, Soler ranks sixth in homers and 41st in RBI.
  • Soler carries a three-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is batting .211 with a double, two home runs and three RBI.
  • Josh Bell is hitting .240 with 22 doubles, 19 home runs and 53 walks.
  • Bryan De La Cruz is batting .256 with 29 doubles, 16 home runs and 36 walks.
  • De La Cruz is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .294 with a double and a walk.

Marlins Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Bryan De La Cruz 1.5 (+185) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+135)
Jazz Chisholm 0.5 (-204) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+360) 0.5 (+170)
Jake Burger 0.5 (-256) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+390) 0.5 (+160)
Luis Arraez 1.5 (+140) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+1000) 0.5 (+195)
Josh Bell 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+170)

Learn more about this Marlins vs. Nationals matchup on Fox Sports.

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

  • The Nationals have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 10 games and won six of those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Nationals and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times.
  • The Nationals have won seven of their last 10 games against the spread.

Nationals Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 3.2
HR 8
ERA 4.08
K/9 7.3

Nationals Player Insights

  • Thomas has swatted a team-high 20 home runs.
  • Among all hitters in MLB, Thomas ranks 55th in homers and 47th in RBI.
  • Joey Meneses' 76 runs batted in and .285 batting average are both team-highs.
  • Meneses ranks 172nd in homers and 37th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
  • Keibert Ruiz has 19 doubles, 16 home runs and 29 walks while batting .262.
  • C.J. Abrams is hitting .251 with 22 doubles, four triples, 14 home runs and 20 walks.

Nationals Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Joey Meneses 1.5 (+200) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+165)
Keibert Ruiz 0.5 (-286) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+850) 0.5 (+195)
Lane Thomas 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+195)
Ildemaro Vargas 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+210)
C.J. Abrams 0.5 (-204) 0.5 (-204) 0.5 (+900) 0.5 (+270)

FOX Bet has the props and odds you need to get your betting on for Marlins vs Nationals!

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