Marlins vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 2

Marlins vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 2

Updated Sep. 2, 2023 3:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The Washington Nationals and C.J. Abrams hit the field in the third game of a four-game series against Jorge Soler and the Miami Marlins on Saturday at Nationals Park. The favored Marlins have -121 moneyline odds against the underdog Nationals, who are listed at +101. Miami is the run-line favorite (-1.5). A 9.5-run over/under is set for the matchup.

The Marlins will start Johnny Cueto (0-3) versus the Nationals and Trevor Williams (6-8).

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Marlins-Nationals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Marlins vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Saturday, September 2, 2023 at 4:05 PM ET
  • Where: Nationals Park in Washington D.C.
  • How to Watch on TV: MLB Network
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Marlins -121 +101 9.5 -104 -116 -1.5 +130 -155

Marlins vs. Nationals Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Nationals 6, Marlins 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 9.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Marlins 51%, Nationals 49%

Marlins vs. Nationals Betting Insights

  • The Marlins have won 38, or 58.5%, of the 65 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • Miami is 34-18 this season when entering a game favored by -121 or more on the moneyline.
  • The Marlins have a 54.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • The Nationals have won in 53, or 42.7%, of the 124 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • This year, Washington has won 50 of 115 games when listed as at least +101 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Nationals have a 49.8% chance of pulling out a win.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

  • The Marlins were the moneyline favorite for six of their last 10 games, and they went 3-3 in those matchups.
  • In their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Marlins combined with their opponents to hit the over on the run total three times.
  • The Marlins' record against the spread is 3-7-0 over their past 10 games.

Marlins Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 2.9
HR 9
ERA 3.56
K/9 8

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Marlins Player Insights

  • Luis Arraez leads the Marlins with a .350 batting average.
  • Of all hitters in baseball, Arraez's home run total ranks him 290th, and his RBI tally puts him 91st.
  • Arraez brings a hitting streak of five games into this game. In his last five games he is batting .333 with a double and a walk.
  • Soler's 35 home runs and 71 RBI both lead his team.
  • Soler ranks sixth in homers in baseball, and 41st in RBI.
  • Soler carries a three-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .211 with a double, two home runs and three RBI.
  • Josh Bell is batting .242 with 22 doubles, 19 home runs and 54 walks.
  • Bryan De La Cruz is hitting .255 with 30 doubles, 16 home runs and 36 walks.
  • De La Cruz is riding a four-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is batting .200 with two doubles, a walk and two RBI.

Marlins Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Josh Bell 1.5 (+185) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+370) 0.5 (+145)
Bryan De La Cruz 1.5 (+175) 1.5 (-105) 0.5 (+400) 0.5 (+130)
Jake Burger 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+320) 0.5 (+130)
Luis Arraez 1.5 (+115) 1.5 (-125) 0.5 (+950) 0.5 (+165)
Jazz Chisholm 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+320) 0.5 (+135)

Learn more about this Marlins vs. Nationals matchup on Fox Sports.

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

  • In 10 games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Nationals have a record of 4-6.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Nationals and their opponents have failed to hit the over four times.
  • The Nationals have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Nationals Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.2
HR 9
ERA 4.81
K/9 7.4

Nationals Player Insights

  • Lane Thomas has a team- leading batting average of .282, and leads the Nationals in long balls with 21.
  • Thomas ranks 49th in home runs and 41st in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
  • Joey Meneses has a club-leading 76 RBI and .282 batting average.
  • Meneses ranks 175th in homers and 38th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Abrams has 22 doubles, four triples, 15 home runs and 20 walks while hitting .248.
  • Keibert Ruiz is batting .257 with 19 doubles, 16 home runs and 30 walks.

Nationals Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Joey Meneses 1.5 (+190) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+150)
C.J. Abrams 1.5 (+170) 1.5 (-110) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+165)
Keibert Ruiz 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+145)
Lane Thomas 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+185)
Travis Blankenhorn 0.5 (-200) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+390) 0.5 (+165)

FOX Bet has the props and odds you need to get your betting on for Marlins vs Nationals!

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