Marlins vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 3
Sandy Alcantara gets the start for the Miami Marlins on Sunday at Nationals Park against Carter Kieboom and the Washington Nationals. First pitch is at 1:35 PM ET. The Marlins are -186 moneyline favorites in this matchup against the Nationals (+157). Miami (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The total is 9 runs for the contest (with -106 odds on the over and -113 odds on the under).
The Miami Marlins will hand the ball to Alcantara (6-12, 4.28 ERA), who is looking for win No. 7 on the season, and the Nationals will counter with Josiah Gray (7-11, 4.05 ERA).
Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Marlins-Nationals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):
Marlins vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds
- When: Sunday, September 3, 2023 at 1:35 PM ET
- Where: Nationals Park in Washington D.C.
- How to Watch on TV: MLB Network
Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Marlins | -186 | +157 | 9 | -106 | -113 | -1.5 | -115 | -105 |
Marlins vs. Nationals Prediction
- Score Prediction: Nationals 5, Marlins 4
- Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
- Win Probabilities: Marlins 51%, Nationals 49%
Marlins vs. Nationals Betting Insights
- The Marlins have been favorites in 66 games this season and won 39 (59.1%) of those contests.
- This season Miami has won five of its 10 games, or 50%, when favored by at least -186 on the moneyline.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 65% chance to win.
- The Nationals have won in 53, or 42.4%, of the 125 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This year, Washington has won 26 of 53 games when listed as at least +157 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 38.9% chance of walking away with the win.
Marlins Recent Betting Performance
- The Marlins went 4-3 over the seven games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
- In their last 10 matchups, the Marlins and their opponents combined to go over the total four times (all 10 games had set totals).
- The Marlins' ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.
Marlins Recent Stats
Stat | Avg/Total |
---|---|
Record | 5-5 |
Runs Per Game | 3.8 |
HR | 12 |
ERA | 3.42 |
K/9 | 7.8 |
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Marlins Player Insights
- Luis Arraez's .355 average leads the Marlins this year. His resume also includes five homers and driven in 60 RBI.
- Of all batters in baseball, Arraez's home run total ranks him 290th, and his RBI tally puts him 86th.
- Arraez takes a hitting streak of six games into this game. During his last 10 outings he is batting .326 with a double, a walk and two RBI.
- Jorge Soler's 35 home runs and 71 runs batted in both pace his team.
- Among all major league batters, Soler is sixth in home runs and 43rd in RBI.
- Soler has three straight games with at least one hit. In his last five games he is hitting .211 with a double, two home runs and three RBI.
- Bryan De La Cruz is hitting .261 with 30 doubles, 17 home runs and 36 walks.
- De La Cruz is on a five-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .348 with two doubles, a home run and five RBI.
- Josh Bell has 22 doubles, 19 home runs and 54 walks while batting .241.
Marlins Team Props
Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Jorge Soler | 0.5 (-263) | 1.5 (-105) | 0.5 (+255) | 0.5 (+125) |
Jake Burger | 0.5 (-263) | 1.5 (+100) | 0.5 (+310) | 0.5 (+130) |
Jon Berti | 0.5 (-238) | 1.5 (+145) | 0.5 (+1000) | 0.5 (+210) |
Luis Arraez | 1.5 (+125) | 1.5 (-120) | 0.5 (+900) | 0.5 (+160) |
Joey Wendle | 0.5 (-222) | 1.5 (+150) | 0.5 (+900) | 0.5 (+175) |
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Nationals Recent Betting Performance
- In 10 games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Nationals have a record of 4-6.
- In their last 10 games with a total, the Nationals and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times.
- The Nationals have a record of 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.
Nationals Recent Stats
Stat | Avg/Total |
---|---|
Record | 4-6 |
Runs Per Game | 3.6 |
HR | 10 |
ERA | 5.26 |
K/9 | 6.7 |
Nationals Player Insights
- Lane Thomas has recorded a team- leading batting average of .282, and paces the Nationals in long balls with 22.
- Among all batters in the big leagues, Thomas is 39th in homers and 40th in RBI.
- Joey Meneses has made the most of his opportunities as he leads his team with 76 RBI.
- Meneses ranks 175th in home runs and 39th in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
- C.J. Abrams has 22 doubles, four triples, 15 home runs and 20 walks while batting .247.
- Keibert Ruiz is hitting .257 with 19 doubles, 16 home runs and 30 walks.
Nationals Team Props
Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
---|---|---|---|---|
C.J. Abrams | 1.5 (+195) | 1.5 (+105) | 0.5 (+550) | 0.5 (+205) |
Lane Thomas | 0.5 (-233) | 1.5 (+150) | 0.5 (+600) | 0.5 (+200) |
Keibert Ruiz | 0.5 (-233) | 1.5 (+135) | 0.5 (+600) | 0.5 (+175) |
Joey Meneses | 0.5 (-270) | 1.5 (+130) | 0.5 (+700) | 0.5 (+170) |
Carter Kieboom | 0.5 (-164) | 0.5 (-164) | 0.5 (+950) | 0.5 (+280) |
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