Marlins vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 3

Marlins vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 3

Updated Sep. 3, 2023 1:00 p.m. ET

Sandy Alcantara gets the start for the Miami Marlins on Sunday at Nationals Park against Carter Kieboom and the Washington Nationals. First pitch is at 1:35 PM ET. The Marlins are -186 moneyline favorites in this matchup against the Nationals (+157). Miami (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The total is 9 runs for the contest (with -106 odds on the over and -113 odds on the under).

The Miami Marlins will hand the ball to Alcantara (6-12, 4.28 ERA), who is looking for win No. 7 on the season, and the Nationals will counter with Josiah Gray (7-11, 4.05 ERA).

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Marlins-Nationals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Marlins vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Sunday, September 3, 2023 at 1:35 PM ET
  • Where: Nationals Park in Washington D.C.
  • How to Watch on TV: MLB Network
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Marlins -186 +157 9 -106 -113 -1.5 -115 -105

Marlins vs. Nationals Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Nationals 5, Marlins 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Marlins 51%, Nationals 49%

Marlins vs. Nationals Betting Insights

  • The Marlins have been favorites in 66 games this season and won 39 (59.1%) of those contests.
  • This season Miami has won five of its 10 games, or 50%, when favored by at least -186 on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 65% chance to win.
  • The Nationals have won in 53, or 42.4%, of the 125 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • This year, Washington has won 26 of 53 games when listed as at least +157 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 38.9% chance of walking away with the win.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

  • The Marlins went 4-3 over the seven games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
  • In their last 10 matchups, the Marlins and their opponents combined to go over the total four times (all 10 games had set totals).
  • The Marlins' ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Marlins Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 3.8
HR 12
ERA 3.42
K/9 7.8

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Marlins Player Insights

  • Luis Arraez's .355 average leads the Marlins this year. His resume also includes five homers and driven in 60 RBI.
  • Of all batters in baseball, Arraez's home run total ranks him 290th, and his RBI tally puts him 86th.
  • Arraez takes a hitting streak of six games into this game. During his last 10 outings he is batting .326 with a double, a walk and two RBI.
  • Jorge Soler's 35 home runs and 71 runs batted in both pace his team.
  • Among all major league batters, Soler is sixth in home runs and 43rd in RBI.
  • Soler has three straight games with at least one hit. In his last five games he is hitting .211 with a double, two home runs and three RBI.
  • Bryan De La Cruz is hitting .261 with 30 doubles, 17 home runs and 36 walks.
  • De La Cruz is on a five-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .348 with two doubles, a home run and five RBI.
  • Josh Bell has 22 doubles, 19 home runs and 54 walks while batting .241.

Marlins Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Jorge Soler 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (-105) 0.5 (+255) 0.5 (+125)
Jake Burger 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+310) 0.5 (+130)
Jon Berti 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (+145) 0.5 (+1000) 0.5 (+210)
Luis Arraez 1.5 (+125) 1.5 (-120) 0.5 (+900) 0.5 (+160)
Joey Wendle 0.5 (-222) 1.5 (+150) 0.5 (+900) 0.5 (+175)

Learn more about this Marlins vs. Nationals matchup on Fox Sports.

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

  • In 10 games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Nationals have a record of 4-6.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Nationals and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times.
  • The Nationals have a record of 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Nationals Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.6
HR 10
ERA 5.26
K/9 6.7

Nationals Player Insights

  • Lane Thomas has recorded a team- leading batting average of .282, and paces the Nationals in long balls with 22.
  • Among all batters in the big leagues, Thomas is 39th in homers and 40th in RBI.
  • Joey Meneses has made the most of his opportunities as he leads his team with 76 RBI.
  • Meneses ranks 175th in home runs and 39th in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
  • C.J. Abrams has 22 doubles, four triples, 15 home runs and 20 walks while batting .247.
  • Keibert Ruiz is hitting .257 with 19 doubles, 16 home runs and 30 walks.

Nationals Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
C.J. Abrams 1.5 (+195) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+205)
Lane Thomas 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+150) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+200)
Keibert Ruiz 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+175)
Joey Meneses 0.5 (-270) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+170)
Carter Kieboom 0.5 (-164) 0.5 (-164) 0.5 (+950) 0.5 (+280)

FOX Bet has the props and odds you need to get your betting on for Marlins vs Nationals!

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