Marlins vs. Phillies Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 1

Marlins vs. Phillies Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 1

Updated Aug. 1, 2023 6:14 p.m. ET

Sandy Alcantara will start for the Miami Marlins on Tuesday against Kyle Schwarber and the Philadelphia Phillies. First pitch is at 6:40 PM ET for this second game in a four-game series. The Phillies have been listed as +113 moneyline underdogs in this matchup with the Marlins (-133). Miami is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The over/under is 7.5 runs for the game (with -119 odds on the over and -101 odds on the under).

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Miami Marlins looking to Alcantara (4-9), and Ranger Suarez (2-5) taking the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Marlins-Phillies game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Marlins vs. Phillies Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Tuesday, August 1, 2023 at 6:40 PM ET
  • Where: LoanDepot park in Miami, Florida
  • How to Watch on TV: BSFL
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Marlins -133 +113 7.5 -119 -101 -1.5 +160 -192

Marlins vs. Phillies Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Marlins 5, Phillies 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Marlins 52%, Phillies 48%

Marlins vs. Phillies Betting Insights

  • The Marlins have been favorites in 54 games this season and won 33 (61.1%) of those contests.
  • Miami is 24-8 this season when entering a game favored by -133 or more on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 57.1% chance of a victory for the Marlins.
  • The Phillies have been chosen as underdogs in 36 games this year and have walked away with the win 16 times (44.4%) in those games.
  • Philadelphia has a win-loss record of 6-11 when favored by +113 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
  • Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 46.9% chance of pulling out a win.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

  • The Marlins have a 3-5 record over the eight games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
  • In their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Marlins and their opponents combined to go over the total four times.
  • The Marlins are 2-8-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Marlins Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.5
HR 6
ERA 4.25
K/9 9.9

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Marlins Player Insights

  • Luis Arraez is the Marlins best hitter so far this season, hitting at a team-leading .381 rate along with three homers and 51 RBI.
  • Of all hitters in the majors, Arraez's home run total ranks him 308th, and his RBI tally ranks him 70th.
  • Jorge Soler has shown off his power as he leads his team with 25 home runs.
  • Soler is eighth in home runs and 55th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
  • Soler has three games in a row with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is batting .200 with a home run, a walk and two RBI.
  • Bryan De La Cruz has put up a team-best 58 runs batted in.
  • Jon Berti is batting .294 with 12 doubles, two triples, two home runs and 17 walks.

Marlins Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Bryan De La Cruz 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+800) 0.5 (+180)
Jean Segura 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+150) 0.5 (+1100) 0.5 (+175)
Jon Berti 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+160) 0.5 (+1200) 0.5 (+230)
Avisaíl García 0.5 (-213) 1.5 (+150) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+180)
Yuli Gurriel 0.5 (-208) 1.5 (+155) 0.5 (+1000) 0.5 (+190)

Learn more about this Marlins vs. Phillies matchup on Fox Sports.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

  • Over the past 10 games, the Phillies have been underdogs just once and won that contest.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Phillies and their opponents are 5-5-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • The Phillies have a record of 3-7-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.1
HR 6
ERA 3.38
K/9 8.9

Phillies Player Insights

  • Bryson Stott leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .303.
  • Among all hitters in MLB, Stott ranks 160th in home runs and 135th in RBI.
  • Schwarber's 27 home runs are a team-high total.
  • Schwarber is fifth in home runs and 22nd in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
  • Alec Bohm has sent home a team-best 66 runs batted in.
  • Nicholas Castellanos is batting .273 with 26 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 25 walks.

Phillies Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Bryce Harper 0.5 (-294) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+180)
Alec Bohm 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+150) 0.5 (+1000) 0.5 (+210)
Bryson Stott 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (+145) 0.5 (+1100) 0.5 (+200)
Jake Cave 0.5 (-159) 0.5 (-159) 0.5 (+900) 0.5 (+215)
J.T. Realmuto 0.5 (-200) 0.5 (-200) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+190)

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