Marlins vs. Phillies Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 31

Updated Jul. 31, 2023 6:01 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Kyle Schwarber and Luis Arraez will hit the field when the Philadelphia Phillies and Miami Marlins meet on Monday at LoanDepot park. Bookmakers list the Marlins as -115 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Phillies -104 moneyline odds to win. Philadelphia is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +156 odds). The total for the contest is set at 8.5 runs.

The Miami Marlins will give the start to Edward Cabrera (5-6, 4.74 ERA), who is looking for win No. 6 on the season, and the Phillies will turn to Taijuan Walker (11-4, 4.06 ERA).

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Marlins-Phillies game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Marlins vs. Phillies Game Information & Odds

When: Monday, July 31, 2023 at 6:40 PM ET
Where: LoanDepot park in Miami, Florida
How to Watch on TV: BSFL

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Marlins	-115	-104	8.5	-109	-111	-1.5	-187	+156

Marlins vs. Phillies Prediction

Score Prediction: Marlins 5, Phillies 4
Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Marlins 52%, Phillies 48%

Marlins vs. Phillies Betting Insights

The Marlins have entered the game as favorites 53 times this season and won 33, or 62.3%, of those games.
Miami has a record of 30-15, a 66.7% win rate, when favored by -115 or more by bookmakers this season.
The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 53.5% chance of a victory for the Marlins.
The Phillies have come away with 15 wins in the 35 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
Philadelphia has a mark of 13-19 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by -104 or worse on the moneyline.
The Phillies have an implied victory probability of 51% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

The Marlins were the moneyline favorite for seven of their last 10 games, and they went 3-4 in those matchups.
Over their last 10 matchups, the Marlins and their opponents combined to go over the run total four times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
The Marlins have gone 2-8-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Marlins Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	3.5
HR	5
ERA	4.24
K/9	10.4

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Marlins Player Insights

Arraez's .377 average leads the Marlins this year. His resume also includes three homers and driven in 51 RBI.
In all of the majors, Arraez ranks 311th in home runs and 70th in RBI.
Jorge Soler's 24 home runs are a team-high mark.
Soler is 12th in homers in baseball, and 59th in RBI.
Soler carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .150 with a walk.
Bryan De La Cruz paces the Marlins with 58 runs batted in.
Jon Berti is batting .299 with 12 doubles, two triples, two home runs and 17 walks.

Marlins Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Jon Berti	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+1200)	0.5 (+190)
Luis Arraez	1.5 (+145)	1.5 (-110)	0.5 (+1100)	0.5 (+190)
Bryan De La Cruz	1.5 (+180)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+160)
Joey Wendle	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+150)	0.5 (+1100)	0.5 (+190)
Garrett Cooper	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+145)

Learn more about this Marlins vs. Phillies matchup on Fox Sports.

Phillies Recent Betting Performance

Over the past 10 games, bookmakers have not installed the Phillies as underdogs once.
When it comes to hitting the over, the Phillies and their opponents are 5-5-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
The Phillies have a record of 2-8-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Phillies Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	3.7
HR	6
ERA	3.58
K/9	9.3

Phillies Player Insights

Bryson Stott leads the Phillies with a team-leading batting average of .306.
Among all hitters in the majors, Stott ranks 160th in homers and 139th in RBI.
Stott takes a hitting streak of four games into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .333 with three doubles and an RBI.
Schwarber has hit 27 home runs with 65 RBI, leading the team in both categories.
Schwarber ranks fifth in home runs and 21st in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
Alec Bohm has a team-best 65 runs batted in.
Nicholas Castellanos has 26 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 25 walks while hitting .273.

Phillies Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Alec Bohm	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+195)
Bryce Harper	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+195)
J.T. Realmuto	0.5 (-196)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+160)
Nicholas Castellanos	0.5 (-196)	0.5 (-196)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+200)
Trea Turner	0.5 (-200)	0.5 (-200)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+165)

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