Marlins vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - March 28

Marlins vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - March 28

Updated Mar. 28, 2024 4:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The Miami Marlins and Pittsburgh Pirates will send Jesus Luzardo and Mitch Keller to the hill, respectively, on Opening Day at LoanDepot park. First pitch is at 4:10 PM ET. The Pirates are +110 moneyline underdogs in this matchup with the favorite Marlins (-129). Miami is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The over/under is 7.5 runs for the game (with -107 odds on the over and -113 odds on the under).

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Marlins-Pirates game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Marlins vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

  • When: Thursday, March 28, 2024 at 4:10 PM ET
  • Where: LoanDepot park in Miami, Florida
  • How to Watch on TV: Sportsnet PT
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Marlins -129 +110 7.5 -107 -113 -1.5 +169 -206

Marlins vs. Pirates Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Marlins 5, Pirates 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Marlins 58%, Pirates 42%

Marlins vs. Pirates Betting Insights

  • The Marlins were the moneyline favorite 75 total times last season. They finished 43-32 in those games.
  • Miami had a record of 34-18 in games it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -129 or shorter last year (65.4%).
  • Based on this game's moneyline, the Marlins have an implied win probability of 56.3%.
  • The Pirates were underdogs in 130 games last season and won 56 (43.1%) of those contests.
FINAL (12)
PIT 6 · MIA 5
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Pittsburgh Pirates
PIT
Miami Marlins
MIA

Marlins Player Insights

  • Luis Arraez hit .354 last season with 10 home runs and 69 RBI.
  • Jake Burger batted .250 last season with a team-high 34 home runs and 80 RBI.
  • Josh Bell finished with a .247 average, 22 home runs and 74 RBI last season.
  • Bryan De La Cruz collected 149 hits, posted an OBP of .304 and a .411 SLG.

Marlins Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Tim Anderson 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+160) 0.5 (+1200) 0.5 (+245)
Josh Bell 0.5 (-208) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+200)
Bryan De La Cruz 0.5 (-294) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+170)
Jake Burger 0.5 (-200) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+165)
Luis Arraez 1.5 (+150) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+1200) 0.5 (+230)

Learn more about this Marlins vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Player Insights

  • Bryan Reynolds drove in 84 runs last season while batting .263.
  • Ke'Bryan Hayes hit .271 a season ago with 134 hits.
  • Jack Suwinski launched 26 home runs while slugging .454 last season.
  • Andrew McCutchen had 19 doubles, 12 home runs and 75 walks while batting .256.

Pirates Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Ke'Bryan Hayes 0.5 (-244) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+185)
Bryan Reynolds 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+230)
Oneil Cruz 0.5 (-120) 0.5 (-120) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+245)
Henry Davis 0.5 (-179) 0.5 (-179) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+185)
Rowdy Tellez 0.5 (+105) 0.5 (+105) 0.5 (+900) 0.5 (+320)

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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