Marlins vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 29

Updated Sep. 29, 2023 6:11 p.m. ET

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Jorge Soler and the Miami Marlins take the field against Ke'Bryan Hayes and the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park on Friday, at 6:35 PM ET. Bookmakers list the Marlins as -125 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Pirates +105 moneyline odds to win. Miami is a 1.5-run favorite (at +136 odds). The total for the contest is set at 8.5 runs.

The Marlins will start Edward Cabrera (7-7) against the Pirates and Osvaldo Bido (2-5).

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Marlins-Pirates game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Marlins vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, September 29, 2023 at 6:35 PM ET
• Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
• How to Watch on TV: SportsNet PT

Marlins vs. Pirates Prediction

• Score Prediction: Pirates 5, Marlins 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Marlins 52%, Pirates 48%

Marlins vs. Pirates Betting Insights

• The Marlins have entered the game as favorites 72 times this season and won 41, or 56.9%, of those games.
• This season Miami has won 34 of its 51 games, or 66.7%, when favored by at least -125 on the moneyline.
• The Marlins have a 55.6% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Pirates have won in 56, or 43.8%, of the 128 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• Pittsburgh has a win-loss record of 49-62 when favored by +105 or worse by bookmakers this year.
• The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 48.8% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

• The Marlins have a 1-3 record from the four games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Marlins and their opponents combined to go over the total six times.
• The Marlins' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Marlins Recent Stats

Marlins Player Insights

• Luis Arraez has a team-best batting average of .353.
• Arraez is 215th in home runs and 87th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Soler has put his power on display as he paces his team with 36 home runs.
• Including all MLB hitters, Soler is 12th in homers and 72nd in RBI.
• Jake Burger has driven in a team-best 79 runs batted in.
• Josh Bell is batting .247 with 26 doubles, 22 home runs and 63 walks.

Marlins Team Props

Learn more about this Marlins vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

• The Pirates have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 10 games and won six of those contests.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Pirates and their opponents are 6-4-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Pirates have a record of 8-2-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Pirates Recent Stats

Pirates Player Insights

• Bryan Reynolds has sent home a team-best 83 runs batted in.
• Reynolds' home run total puts him 51st in the big leagues, and he ranks 44th in RBI.
• Reynolds takes a hitting streak of three games into this game. In his last five games he is batting .182 with two home runs, two walks and four RBI.
• Hayes has a club-best .275 batting average.
• Hayes is 143rd in homers and 116th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
• Jack Suwinski has 26 home runs, best in the lineup.
• Connor Joe has 29 doubles, four triples, 11 home runs and 47 walks while hitting .241.

Pirates Team Props

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