Marlins vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 30

Updated Sep. 30, 2023 6:11 p.m. ET

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Quinn Priester will be on the hill for the Pittsburgh Pirates when they take on Luis Arraez and the Miami Marlins on Saturday at 6:35 PM ET. The Marlins are favored in this one, at -134, while the underdog Pirates have +113 odds to play spoiler. Miami is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The total for the contest has been listed at 9 runs.

The starting pitchers are JT Chargois (2-0) for the Miami Marlins, and Priester (3-2) for the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Marlins-Pirates game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Marlins vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, September 30, 2023 at 6:35 PM ET
• Where: PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania
• How to Watch on TV: SportsNet PT

Marlins vs. Pirates Prediction

• Score Prediction: Pirates 6, Marlins 5
• Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Marlins 51%, Pirates 49%

Marlins vs. Pirates Betting Insights

• This season, the Marlins have been favored 73 times and won 42, or 57.5%, of those games.
• Miami has a record of 32-13, a 71.1% win rate, when favored by -134 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 57.3% chance to win.
• The Pirates have come away with 56 wins in the 129 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Pittsburgh has a win-loss record of 47-50 when favored by +113 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Pirates have a 46.9% chance of pulling out a win.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

• The Marlins played as the moneyline favorite for five of their last 10 games, and finished 2-3 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings, the Marlins and their opponents combined to hit the over five times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Marlins have gone 4-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Marlins Recent Stats

Marlins Player Insights

• Arraez leads the Marlins with a team-high batting average of .354.
• In all of Major League Baseball, Arraez ranks 217th in home runs and 89th in RBI.
• Arraez carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .438 with two RBI.
• Jorge Soler's 36 home runs lead his team.
• Soler ranks 12th in home runs in baseball, and 73rd in RBI.
• Jake Burger has accumulated a team-high 80 runs batted in.
• Josh Bell has 27 doubles, 22 home runs and 63 walks while hitting .247.
• Bell has recorded at least one hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .389 with a double, a home run, four walks and three RBI.

Marlins Team Props

Learn more about this Marlins vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

• In 10 games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Pirates have a record of 5-5.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Pirates and their opponents have failed to hit the over four times.
• Over their last 10 games, the Pirates are 8-2-0 against the spread.

Pirates Recent Stats

Pirates Player Insights

• Bryan Reynolds has recorded a team-leading 83 runs batted in.
• Reynolds' home run total places him 51st in MLB, and he ranks 45th in RBI.
• Ke'Bryan Hayes has a club-best .272 batting average.
• Hayes is 142nd among all hitters in MLB in home runs, and 113th in RBI.
• Jack Suwinski leads the Pirates with 26 long balls.
• Connor Joe is batting .244 with 30 doubles, four triples, 11 home runs and 49 walks.

Pirates Team Props

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MLB - Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates - 09/30/2023

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