Marlins vs. Reds Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 7

Updated Aug. 7, 2023 6:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Joey Votto and the Cincinnati Reds hit the field on Monday at Great American Ball Park against Eury Perez, who is starting for the Miami Marlins. First pitch is set for 6:40 PM ET for the first game of a three-game series. The Reds are +118 moneyline underdogs in this matchup with the favorite Marlins (-140). Miami is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +112 odds). A 10.5-run total is set for this matchup.

The Marlins will start Perez versus the Reds and Brandon Williamson (3-2).

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Marlins-Reds game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Marlins vs. Reds Game Information & Odds

When: Monday, August 7, 2023 at 6:40 PM ET
Where: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio
How to Watch on TV: BSOH

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Marlins	-140	+118	10.5	-105	-115	-1.5	+112	-133

Marlins vs. Reds Prediction

Score Prediction: Reds 6, Marlins 5
Total Prediction: Over 10.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Marlins 53%, Reds 47%

Marlins vs. Reds Betting Insights

The Marlins have entered the game as favorites 55 times this season and won 33, or 60%, of those games.
This season Miami has won 23 of its 30 games, or 76.7%, when favored by at least -140 on the moneyline.
The moneyline for this contest implies a 58.3% chance of a victory for the Marlins.
The Reds have come away with 40 wins in the 82 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
Cincinnati has a win-loss record of 25-29 when favored by +118 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Reds have a 45.9% chance of pulling out a win.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

The Marlins have a 2-3 record from the five games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
In their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Marlins and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total four times.
The Marlins' ATS record is 3-7-0 over their past 10 games.

Marlins Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	3.8
HR	11
ERA	5.20
K/9	9.7

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Marlins Player Insights

Luis Arraez is the Marlins best hitter so far this season, hitting at a team-leading .375 rate along with three homers and 52 RBI.
In all of MLB, Arraez is 312th in homers and 76th in RBI.
Arraez brings a hitting streak of seven games into this matchup. During his last 10 outings he is batting .364 with three doubles, a walk and an RBI.
Jorge Soler's 26 home runs and 59 RBI both pace his team.
Among all MLB hitters, Soler is ninth in home runs and 49th in RBI.
Bryan De La Cruz has put up a team-best 59 runs batted in.
Josh Bell is hitting .238 with 20 doubles, 12 home runs and 47 walks.

Marlins Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Jorge Soler	1.5 (+200)	1.5 (-120)	0.5 (+190)	0.5 (-105)
Jon Berti	1.5 (+180)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+200)
Nick Fortes	0.5 (-213)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+185)
Josh Bell	1.5 (+185)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+140)
Yuli Gurriel	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+195)

Learn more about this Marlins vs. Reds matchup on Fox Sports.

Reds Recent Betting Performance

The Reds have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Reds and their opponents have failed to hit the over six times.
The Reds have four wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Reds Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	5
HR	18
ERA	6.83
K/9	8.2

Reds Player Insights

Spencer Steer paces the Reds with 17 home runs.
Among all hitters in MLB, Steer is 56th in home runs and 40th in RBI.
TJ Friedl is batting .280 to lead the lineup.
Friedl ranks 154th in homers and 122nd in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
Matt McLain is hitting .302 with 21 doubles, four triples, 12 home runs and 25 walks.
Tyler Stephenson is batting .250 with 14 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 40 walks.

Reds Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Spencer Steer	0.5 (-208)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+160)
Will Benson	0.5 (+100)	0.5 (+105)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+285)
Stuart Fairchild	0.5 (-115)	0.5 (-115)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+255)
Kevin Newman	0.5 (-189)	0.5 (-189)	0.5 (+950)	0.5 (+270)
TJ Friedl	0.5 (-159)	0.5 (-159)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+215)

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