Marlins vs. Reds Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 8

Updated Aug. 8, 2023 6:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Jazz Chisholm and the Miami Marlins will square off against TJ Friedl and the Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park in the second of a three-game series, on Tuesday at 6:40 PM ET. Oddsmakers list the Marlins as -147 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Reds +125 moneyline odds. Miami (-1.5) is favored on the run line. A 10-run over/under has been set in the matchup.

The starting pitchers are Braxton Garrett (5-3) for the Miami Marlins, and Luke Weaver (2-4) for the Cincinnati Reds.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Marlins-Reds game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Marlins vs. Reds Game Information & Odds

When: Tuesday, August 8, 2023 at 6:40 PM ET
Where: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio
How to Watch on TV: BSOH

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Marlins	-147	+125	10	-111	-109	-1.5	+107	-127

Marlins vs. Reds Prediction

Score Prediction: Reds 6, Marlins 5
Total Prediction: Over 10 runs
Win Probabilities: Marlins 53%, Reds 47%

Marlins vs. Reds Betting Insights

The Marlins have been favorites in 56 games this season and won 33 (58.9%) of those contests.
This season Miami has won 22 of its 27 games, or 81.5%, when favored by at least -147 on the moneyline.
Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 59.5% chance to win.
The Reds have been victorious in 41, or 49.4%, of the 83 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
Cincinnati has a mark of 23-25 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +125 or worse on the moneyline.
The Reds have an implied victory probability of 44.4% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

The Marlins have a 1-4 record across the five games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Marlins and their opponents combined to hit the over three times.
The Marlins' ATS record is 3-7-0 over their past 10 games.

Marlins Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	2-8
Runs Per Game	3.4
HR	12
ERA	5.26
K/9	10.1

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Marlins Player Insights

Luis Arraez leads the Marlins with a .374 batting average.
Among all MLB hitters, Arraez is first in batting average, third in on-base percentage, and 45th in slugging.
Jorge Soler's 27 home runs and 60 RBI both pace his team.
Soler is eighth in home runs and 47th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
Bryan De La Cruz is hitting .267 with 24 doubles, 15 home runs and 31 walks.
De La Cruz has at least one base hit in two games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .250 with two doubles, a home run, a walk and an RBI.
Josh Bell is batting .238 with 20 doubles, 12 home runs and 47 walks.
Bell is riding a two-game hitting streak into this one. In his last five games he is batting .167 with a double, three walks and an RBI.

Marlins Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Josh Bell	1.5 (+200)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+370)	0.5 (+140)
Joey Wendle	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+150)	0.5 (+950)	0.5 (+230)
Luis Arraez	1.5 (+115)	1.5 (-115)	0.5 (+850)	0.5 (+185)
Jake Burger	0.5 (-204)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+300)	0.5 (+135)
Jazz Chisholm	0.5 (-227)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+340)	0.5 (+135)

Learn more about this Marlins vs. Reds matchup on Fox Sports.

Reds Recent Betting Performance

The Reds have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and have gone 3-4 in those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Reds and their opponents have failed to hit the over seven times.
The Reds have four wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Reds Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	4.9
HR	18
ERA	6.52
K/9	9

Reds Player Insights

Spencer Steer leads the Reds with 17 home runs and runs batted in, driving in 63.
Among all hitters in MLB, Steer ranks 56th in homers and 39th in RBI.
Friedl has a club-high .282 batting average.
Friedl is 156th in home runs and 113th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
Matt McLain is batting .302 with 21 doubles, four triples, 12 home runs and 25 walks.
Tyler Stephenson is hitting .248 with 14 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 41 walks.

Reds Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Nick Senzel	0.5 (-270)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+200)
Spencer Steer	0.5 (-238)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+390)	0.5 (+140)
Kevin Newman	0.5 (-238)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+800)	0.5 (+185)
TJ Friedl	0.5 (-149)	0.5 (-149)	0.5 (+1000)	0.5 (+250)
Luke Maile	0.5 (-145)	0.5 (-145)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+230)

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