Marlins vs. Tigers Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 30

Updated Jul. 30, 2023 1:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Luis Arraez and the Miami Marlins face Spencer Torkelson and the Detroit Tigers at LoanDepot park on Sunday. First pitch is at 1:40 PM ET. The favored Marlins have -158 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Tigers, who are listed at +136. Miami is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +142 odds). The total for the game has been set at 7 runs.

The Marlins will start Jesus Luzardo (8-5) against the Tigers and Tarik Skubal (1-1).

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Marlins-Tigers game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Marlins vs. Tigers Game Information & Odds

When: Sunday, July 30, 2023 at 1:40 PM ET
Where: LoanDepot park in Miami, Florida
How to Watch on TV: BSFL

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Marlins	-158	+136	7	-111	-109	-1.5	+142	-168

Marlins vs. Tigers Prediction

Score Prediction: Marlins 4, Tigers 3
Total Prediction: Over 7 runs
Win Probabilities: Marlins 56%, Tigers 44%

Marlins vs. Tigers Betting Insights

The Marlins have entered the game as favorites 52 times this season and won 32, or 61.5%, of those games.
Miami is 15-4 this season when entering a game favored by -158 or more on the moneyline.
The implied probability of a win from the Marlins, based on the moneyline, is 61.2%.
The Tigers have been victorious in 36, or 41.9%, of the 86 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
This season, Detroit has come away with a win 21 times in 48 chances when named as an underdog of at least +136 or worse on the moneyline.
The Tigers have an implied victory probability of 42.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

The Marlins went 2-5 over the seven games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Marlins and their opponents combined to go over the total four times.
The Marlins' ATS record is 1-9-0 over their past 10 games.

Marlins Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	3.1
HR	5
ERA	4.18
K/9	10.3

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Marlins Player Insights

Arraez has racked up a team-high batting average of .381.
Among all hitters in MLB, Arraez's home run total places him 310th, and his RBI tally puts him 70th.
Arraez has collected a hit in three straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .500 with three doubles, a walk and four RBI.
Jorge Soler has hit 24 home runs to pace his team.
Of all MLB hitters, Soler ranks 12th in homers and 58th in RBI.
Soler heads into this game looking for his third game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .150 with a walk.
Bryan De La Cruz paces the Marlins with 58 runs batted in.
Jon Berti has 12 doubles, two triples, two home runs and 17 walks while hitting .295.

Marlins Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Bryan De La Cruz	0.5 (-227)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+220)
Yuli Gurriel	0.5 (-227)	1.5 (+150)	0.5 (+900)	0.5 (+195)
Luis Arraez	1.5 (+150)	1.5 (+110)	-	0.5 (+215)
Garrett Cooper	0.5 (-213)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+200)
Nick Fortes	0.5 (-169)	0.5 (-169)	0.5 (+800)	0.5 (+210)

Learn more about this Marlins vs. Tigers matchup on Fox Sports.

Tigers Recent Betting Performance

The Tigers have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and have gone 2-5 in those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Tigers and their opponents are 4-5-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
Over their last 10 games, the Tigers are 6-4-0 against the spread.

Tigers Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	3.8
HR	8
ERA	5.00
K/9	7.7

Tigers Player Insights

Torkelson paces the Tigers with 15 home runs and runs batted in, driving in 58.
Among all batters in MLB, Torkelson is 63rd in homers and 38th in RBI.
Javier Baez is batting .223 with 12 doubles, four triples, seven home runs and 17 walks.
Baez ranks 200th in home runs and 81st in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
Zach McKinstry has put up a team-high batting average of .239.
Matt Vierling is hitting .269 with 10 doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 24 walks.

Tigers Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Matt Vierling	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+250)
Kerry Carpenter	0.5 (-135)	0.5 (-135)	0.5 (+850)	0.5 (+280)
Riley Greene	0.5 (-169)	0.5 (-169)	0.5 (+850)	0.5 (+255)
Miguel Cabrera	0.5 (-141)	0.5 (-141)	0.5 (+950)	0.5 (+320)
Javier Báez	0.5 (-189)	0.5 (-189)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+230)

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