Marlins vs. Yankees Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 11

Updated Aug. 11, 2023 6:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Josh Bell and the Miami Marlins take the field on Friday at LoanDepot park against Ian Hamilton, who is starting for the New York Yankees. First pitch is at 6:40 PM ET for the first game of a three-game series. Oddsmakers list the Marlins as -143 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Yankees +121 moneyline odds to win. Miami (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The over/under is 8 runs for the game.

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Miami Marlins looking to Jesus Luzardo (8-6), and Hamilton (2-1) taking the ball for the New York Yankees.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Marlins-Yankees game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Marlins vs. Yankees Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, August 11, 2023 at 6:40 PM ET
Where: LoanDepot park in Miami, Florida
How to Watch on TV: BSFL

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Marlins	-143	+121	8	-106	-114	-1.5	+145	-173

Marlins vs. Yankees Prediction

Score Prediction: Marlins 5, Yankees 4
Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
Win Probabilities: Marlins 52%, Yankees 48%

Marlins vs. Yankees Betting Insights

This season, the Marlins have won 34 out of the 57 games, or 59.6%, in which they've been favored.
Miami has a record of 24-5 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -143 on the moneyline.
The moneyline for this contest implies a 58.8% chance of a victory for the Marlins.
The Yankees have been victorious in 16, or 40%, of the 40 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
This season, New York has come away with a win eight times in 18 chances when named as an underdog of at least +121 or worse on the moneyline.
Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Yankees have a 45.2% chance of pulling out a win.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

The Marlins were the moneyline favorite in four of their last 10 games, and finished 1-3 in those matchups.
Over their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Marlins and their opponents combined to hit the over two times.
The Marlins have a 3-7-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Marlins Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	3.4
HR	14
ERA	4.75
K/9	10.4

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Marlins Player Insights

Luis Arraez leads the Marlins with a .369 batting average.
Arraez ranks 313th in home runs and 80th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
Jorge Soler has hit 28 home runs with 62 runs batted in. Both are team-highs.
Soler ranks eighth in homers and 43rd in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
Soler carries a three-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is batting .353 with a double, two home runs, four walks and five RBI.
Bryan De La Cruz is batting .264 with 24 doubles, 16 home runs and 31 walks.
Bell has 21 doubles, 14 home runs and 47 walks while hitting .241.
Bell has recorded at least one hit in four games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .263 with a double, two home runs, two walks and four RBI.

Marlins Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Luis Arraez	1.5 (+150)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+1200)	0.5 (+210)
Jorge Soler	0.5 (-196)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+210)
Josh Bell	0.5 (-200)	1.5 (+150)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+180)
Bryan De La Cruz	0.5 (-244)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+150)
Jazz Chisholm	0.5 (-175)	0.5 (-175)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+165)

Learn more about this Marlins vs. Yankees matchup on Fox Sports.

Yankees Recent Betting Performance

The Yankees have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
The Yankees and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times in their last 10 games with a total.
The Yankees have four wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Yankees Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	3.7
HR	14
ERA	4.70
K/9	9.8

Yankees Player Insights

The Yankees are led in runs batted in by Gleyber Torres with a mark of 48, he also leads the team in hitting, posting an average of .270.
In all of the big leagues, Torres is 43rd in homers and 98th in RBI.
Torres has collected a hit in nine games in a row. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .395 with three doubles, two home runs, six walks and four RBI.
Aaron Judge has shown off his power as he leads his team with 21 home runs.
Judge ranks 26th overall in home runs and 116th in RBI this season.
Anthony Volpe has 13 doubles, three triples, 14 home runs and 40 walks while hitting .211.
Harrison Bader is hitting .265 with 10 doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 10 walks.

Yankees Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Isiah Kiner-Falefa	0.5 (-238)	1.5 (+155)	0.5 (+1200)	0.5 (+330)
Gleyber Torres	0.5 (-200)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+175)
Harrison Bader	0.5 (-189)	0.5 (-189)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+185)
Giancarlo Stanton	0.5 (-179)	0.5 (-179)	0.5 (+340)	0.5 (+145)
Aaron Judge	0.5 (-169)	0.5 (-169)	0.5 (+275)	0.5 (+160)

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