Marlins vs. Yankees Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 12

Updated Aug. 12, 2023 4:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

A pair of hot hitters, Luis Arraez and Gleyber Torres, will try to keep it going when the Miami Marlins play the New York Yankees on Saturday at 4:10 PM ET, at LoanDepot park. The Marlins are favored in this one, at -152, while the underdog Yankees have +130 odds to upset. Miami is favored on the run line (-1.5). The over/under for the contest is set at 7.5 runs.

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Miami Marlins looking to Sandy Alcantara (4-10), and Michael King (3-4) answering the bell for the New York Yankees.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Marlins-Yankees game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Marlins vs. Yankees Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, August 12, 2023 at 4:10 PM ET
Where: LoanDepot park in Miami, Florida
How to Watch on TV: MLB Network

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Marlins	-152	+130	7.5	+100	-120	-1.5	+140	-166

Marlins vs. Yankees Prediction

Score Prediction: Marlins 5, Yankees 4
Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Marlins 52%, Yankees 48%

Marlins vs. Yankees Betting Insights

The Marlins have entered the game as favorites 58 times this season and won 34, or 58.6%, of those games.
This season Miami has won 22 of its 27 games, or 81.5%, when favored by at least -152 on the moneyline.
The moneyline for this contest implies a 60.3% chance of a victory for the Marlins.
The Yankees have been victorious in 17, or 41.5%, of the 41 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
This year, New York has won five of 13 games when listed as at least +130 or worse on the moneyline.
Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Yankees have a 43.5% chance of pulling out a win.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

The Marlins went 1-3 across the four games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Marlins combined with their opponents to go over the total three times.
The Marlins have a 3-7-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Marlins Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	3.6
HR	14
ERA	5.26
K/9	10.5

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Marlins Player Insights

Arraez's .366 average leads the Marlins this year. His resume also includes three homers and driven in 52 RBI.
Among all MLB hitters, Arraez ranks first in batting average, fourth in on-base percentage, and 56th in slugging.
Jorge Soler has hit 28 home runs with 62 RBI. Both lead his team.
Soler ranks eighth in homers and 46th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
Bryan De La Cruz is hitting .265 with 25 doubles, 16 home runs and 32 walks.
De La Cruz has at least one base hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is batting .222 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and an RBI.
Josh Bell has 21 doubles, 15 home runs and 47 walks while hitting .241.
Bell is riding a five-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .300 with a double, three home runs and five RBI.

Marlins Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Jorge Soler	0.5 (-204)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+200)
Luis Arraez	1.5 (+160)	1.5 (+110)	-	0.5 (+165)
Bryan De La Cruz	0.5 (-256)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+160)
Josh Bell	0.5 (-208)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+200)
Jazz Chisholm	0.5 (-213)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+200)

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Yankees Recent Betting Performance

In five games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Yankees have a record of 3-2.
When it comes to hitting the over, the Yankees and their opponents are 5-5-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
The Yankees have a record of 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Yankees Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	4.5
HR	15
ERA	4.60
K/9	9.7

Yankees Player Insights

The Yankees are led in runs batted in by Torres with a mark of 49, he also leads the team in hitting, posting an average of .271.
In all of the majors, Torres ranks 47th in homers and 98th in RBI.
Torres takes a hitting streak of 10 games into this game. In his last 10 outings he is batting .436 with four doubles, two home runs, six walks and five RBI.
Aaron Judge's 22 home runs lead his team.
Judge is 24th in homers and 118th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
Anthony Volpe is hitting .212 with 13 doubles, three triples, 15 home runs and 42 walks.
Harrison Bader is hitting .268 with 10 doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 10 walks.

Yankees Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Gleyber Torres	0.5 (-303)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+195)
Aaron Judge	0.5 (-200)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+330)	0.5 (+180)
Isiah Kiner-Falefa	0.5 (-222)	0.5 (-222)	-	0.5 (+290)
Giancarlo Stanton	0.5 (-159)	0.5 (-159)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+190)
Billy McKinney	0.5 (-149)	0.5 (-149)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+250)

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