Mets vs. Astros Prediction, Odds, Picks - June 28

Updated Jun. 28, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET

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The Houston Astros and Jose Altuve take on Pete Alonso and the New York Mets on Friday, in the first game of a three-game series at Citi Field. The Mets are favored in this one, at -112, while the underdog Astros have -107 odds to upset. Houston (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The total is 8 runs for the matchup (with -116 odds on the over and -104 odds on the under).

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Astros game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Yankees vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the New York Yankees and the New York Mets on Wednesday, June 26.

Mets vs. Astros Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, June 28, 2024 at 7:10 PM ET
• Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
• How to Watch on TV: Apple TV+

Mets vs. Astros Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 5, Astros 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 53%, Astros 47%

Mets vs. Astros Betting Insights

• The Mets have entered the game as favorites 35 times this season and won 18, or 51.4%, of those games.
• This season New York has won 17 of its 34 games, or 50%, when favored by at least -112 on the moneyline.
• The Mets have a 52.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Astros have come away with nine wins in the 18 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• This season, Houston has been victorious eight times in 16 chances when named as an underdog of at least -107 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Astros have a 51.7% chance of walking away with the win.

FINAL

HOU 2 · NYM 7

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Houston Astros

HOU

-1.5

-108

o8

New York Mets

NYM

+1.5

-112

u8

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets were the moneyline favorite for four of their last 10 games, and they went 2-2 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups, the Mets and their opponents combined to hit the over six times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Mets' record against the spread is 7-3-0 over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Francisco Lindor has 23 doubles, 13 home runs and 24 walks while batting .246.
• Of all hitters in baseball, Lindor's home run total ranks him 36th, and his RBI tally ranks him 59th.
• Lindor carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .348 with five doubles, a home run and two RBI.
• Alonso has put his power on display as he leads his team with 16 home runs.
• Alonso is 16th in homers in the majors, and 35th in RBI.
• Brandon Nimmo has accumulated a team-high 46 runs batted in.
• Harrison Bader is hitting .275 with 14 doubles, six home runs and 13 walks.
• Bader has recorded at least one hit in three games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .316 with three doubles, two home runs, a walk and three RBI.

Mets Team Props

Learn more about this Mets vs. Astros matchup on Fox Sports.

Astros Recent Betting Performance

• Over the past 10 games, the Astros have been underdogs twice and won both contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Astros and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times.
• The Astros are 8-2-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Astros Recent Stats

Astros Player Insights

• Yordan Alvarez has driven in the most runs for the Astros with 41 runs batted in.
• Alvarez is 16th in homers and 41st in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Altuve has a club-best .303 batting average.
• Altuve is 41st among all hitters in the big leagues in home runs, and 82nd in RBI.
• Alex Bregman is batting .253 with 15 doubles, two triples, nine home runs and 26 walks.
• Yainer Diaz has 12 doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 11 walks while hitting .271.

Astros Team Props

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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MLB - Houston Astros vs. New York Mets - 06/28/2024