Mets vs. Astros Prediction, Odds, Picks - June 29

Updated Jun. 29, 2024 4:00 p.m. ET

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Pete Alonso and the New York Mets will look to beat Framber Valdez, the Houston Astros' starting pitcher, on Saturday at 4:10 PM ET. The Mets have been listed as -120 moneyline favorites for this matchup against the Astros (+101). Houston (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The over/under is 8.5 runs for this contest.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Mets-Astros game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Mets' Edwin Díaz is ejected from game vs. Cubs after umpire checks him for sticky substance

The New York Mets' Edwin Díaz was ejected from game vs. the Chicago Cubs after the umpire checked him for a sticky substance.

Mets vs. Astros Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, June 29, 2024 at 4:10 PM ET
• Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
• How to Watch on TV: WPIX

Mets vs. Astros Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 6, Astros 5
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 53%, Astros 47%

Mets vs. Astros Betting Insights

• The Mets have won 19, or 52.8%, of the 36 games they've played as favorites this season.
• New York has entered 27 games this season favored by -120 or more and is 13-14 in those contests.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 54.5% chance of a victory for the Mets.
• The Astros have come away with nine wins in the 19 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Houston has a mark of 5-6 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +101 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Astros have an implied victory probability of 49.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

FINAL

HOU 9 · NYM 6

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Houston Astros

HOU

-1.5

+101

O 8.5

New York Mets

NYM

+1.5

-120

U 8.5

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets were the moneyline favorite for four of their last 10 games, and finished 2-2 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 outings, the Mets and their opponents combined to go over the total seven times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Mets have gone 7-3-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Francisco Lindor is batting .249 with 24 doubles, 13 home runs and 25 walks.
• In all of MLB, Lindor ranks 36th in homers and 52nd in RBI.
• Lindor brings a hitting streak of four games into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .318 with four doubles, a home run, a walk and three RBI.
• Pete Alonso has shown off his power as he paces his team with 17 home runs.
• Alonso ranks 13th in homers and 34th in RBI in the bigs.
• Alonso carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .188 with a home run, three walks and two RBI.
• Brandon Nimmo has sent home a team-best 46 runs batted in.
• Harrison Bader is batting .270 with 14 doubles, six home runs and 13 walks.

Mets Team Props

Learn more about this Mets vs. Astros matchup on Fox Sports.

Astros Recent Betting Performance

• The Astros have played as underdogs in three of their past 10 games and have gone 2-1 in those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Astros and their opponents have failed to hit the over seven times.
• The Astros have a record of 8-2-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Astros Recent Stats

Astros Player Insights

• Yordan Alvarez has sent home a team-best 41 runs batted in.
• Among all batters in MLB, Alvarez is 18th in home runs and 43rd in RBI.
• Alvarez takes a hitting streak of three games into this game. During his last five outings he is batting .316 with three doubles, a home run, two walks and two RBI.
• Jose Altuve's .304 batting average is a team-high mark.
• Among all MLB batters, Altuve is 36th in homers and 76th in RBI.
• Alex Bregman is batting .249 with 15 doubles, two triples, nine home runs and 26 walks.
• Yainer Diaz is hitting .278 with 12 doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 11 walks.

Astros Team Props

Mets' Edwin Díaz is ejected from game vs. Cubs after umpire checks him for sticky substance

The New York Mets' Edwin Díaz was ejected from game vs. the Chicago Cubs after the umpire checked him for a sticky substance.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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MLB - Houston Astros vs. New York Mets - 06/29/2024

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