Mets vs. Astros Prediction, Odds, Picks - June 30

Updated Jun. 30, 2024 1:01 p.m. ET

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The New York Mets versus Houston Astros game on Sunday at 1:40 PM ET will feature a pair of hot hitters in Brandon Nimmo and Yordan Alvarez. The Mets are listed as -125 moneyline favorites in this matchup against the Astros (+105). New York is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +152 odds). The over/under is 9 runs for this game (with -104 odds to hit the over and -116 odds on the under).

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Astros game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Astros vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Houston Astros and the New York Mets on Saturday, June 29.

Mets vs. Astros Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, June 30, 2024 at 1:40 PM ET
• Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
• How to Watch on TV: WPIX

Mets vs. Astros Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 5, Astros 4
• Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 53%, Astros 47%

Mets vs. Astros Betting Insights

• The Mets have been favorites in 37 games this season and won 19 (51.4%) of those contests.
• This season New York has won 10 of its 21 games, or 47.6%, when favored by at least -125 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Mets, based on the moneyline, is 55.6%.
• The Astros have been underdogs in 20 games this season and have come away with the win 10 times (50%) in those contests.
• This season, Houston has come away with a win five times in 10 chances when named as an underdog of at least +105 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Astros have an implied victory probability of 48.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

FINAL (11)

HOU 10 · NYM 5

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Houston Astros

HOU

+1.5

+108

o9

New York Mets

NYM

-1.5

-128

u9

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets were the moneyline favorite for five of their last 10 games, and they went 2-3 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Mets and their opponents combined to go over the total seven times.
• The Mets' ATS record is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Francisco Lindor is hitting .252 with 24 doubles, 13 home runs and 25 walks.
• In all of MLB, Lindor is 36th in home runs and 55th in RBI.
• Lindor takes a hitting streak of five games into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .391 with four doubles, a home run, a walk and three RBI.
• Pete Alonso has hit 17 home runs to lead his team.
• Alonso ranks 13th in homers and 32nd in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
• Alonso has three games in a row with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .250 with a home run, four walks and four RBI.
• Nimmo paces the Mets with 47 runs batted in.
• Harrison Bader is batting .270 with 14 doubles, six home runs and 13 walks.

Mets Team Props

Learn more about this Mets vs. Astros matchup on Fox Sports.

Astros Recent Betting Performance

• The Astros have played as underdogs in four of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Astros and their opponents have failed to hit the over six times.
• Over their last 10 games, the Astros are 8-2-0 against the spread.

Astros Recent Stats

Astros Player Insights

• Alvarez has a team-leading 41 runs batted in.
• In all of the big leagues, Alvarez is 18th in home runs and 47th in RBI.
• Alvarez carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .368 with three doubles and three walks.
• Jose Altuve is batting .301 to lead the lineup.
• Altuve is 36th among all batters in the big leagues in homers, and 81st in RBI.
• Alex Bregman is batting .248 with 15 doubles, two triples, nine home runs and 26 walks.
• Jeremy Pena is hitting .281 with 14 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 16 walks.

Astros Team Props

Astros vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Houston Astros and the New York Mets on Saturday, June 29.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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MLB - Houston Astros vs. New York Mets - 06/30/2024