Mets vs. Blue Jays Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 11

Updated Sep. 11, 2024 3:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Toronto Blue Jays and Spencer Horwitz take the field at Rogers Centre against Pete Alonso and the New York Mets on Wednesday. The Mets have been listed as -130 moneyline favorites for this matchup with the Blue Jays (+111). New York is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +132 odds). The over/under for the matchup is listed at 7.5 runs.

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Mets-Blue Jays game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Reds vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments between the Cincinnati Reds and the New York Mets.

Mets vs. Blue Jays Game Information & Odds

When: Wednesday, September 11, 2024 at 3:07 p.m. ET
Where: Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario
How to Watch on TV: MLB Network

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Mets	-130	+111	7.5	-111	-109	-1.5	+132	-158

Mets vs. Blue Jays Prediction

Score Prediction: Blue Jays 5, Mets 4
Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Mets 50%, Blue Jays 50%

Mets vs. Blue Jays Betting Insights

The Mets have won 50, or 58.8%, of the 85 games they've played as favorites this season.
This season New York has won 33 of its 54 games, or 61.1%, when favored by at least -130 on the moneyline.
Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 56.5% chance to win.
The Blue Jays have come away with 26 wins in the 73 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
Toronto has a win-loss record of 18-27 when favored by +111 or worse by bookmakers this year.
Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Blue Jays have a 47.4% chance of pulling out a win.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

The Mets were the moneyline favorite in each of their last 10 games, and went 8-2 in those matchups.
Over their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Mets and their opponents combined to go over the run total three times.
The Mets' ATS record is 7-3-0 over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	8-2
Runs Per Game	4.2
HR	10
ERA	2.20
K/9	10.3

Mets Player Insights

Francisco Lindor comes into Wednesday's game as the Mets top run producer, delivering 84 RBI while connecting on 30 round-trippers in 2024. His .269 average is also best on the squad.
Lindor is 12th in homers and 22nd in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
Alonso has hit 31 home runs to pace his team.
Alonso is 11th in homers and 34th in RBI in the major leagues.
Brandon Nimmo is hitting .227 with 24 doubles, three triples, 18 home runs and 73 walks.
Jesse Winker is batting .263 with 23 doubles, 14 home runs and 59 walks.

Mets Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Mark Vientos	0.5 (-200)	1.5 (+120)	-	0.5 (+140)
Brandon Nimmo	0.5 (-230)	1.5 (+110)	-	0.5 (+155)
Francisco Lindor	0.5 (-275)	1.5 (-110)	-	0.5 (+160)
Francisco Álvarez	0.5 (-165)	0.5 (-165)	-	0.5 (+205)
José Iglesias	0.5 (-220)	0.5 (-210)	-	0.5 (+220)

Learn more about this Mets vs. Blue Jays matchup on Fox Sports.

Blue Jays Recent Betting Performance

In nine games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Blue Jays have a record of 3-6.
The Blue Jays and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times in their last 10 games with a total.
The Blue Jays have seven wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Blue Jays Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	5.0
HR	12
ERA	3.27
K/9	8.3

Blue Jays Player Insights

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. leads the squad with a batting average of .321, and paces the Blue Jays in home runs, with 28 and runs batted in with 94.
In all of the majors, Guerrero ranks 20th in home runs and 13th in RBI.
George Springer is hitting .221 with 18 doubles, two triples, 19 home runs and 55 walks.
Springer is 66th among all hitters in the majors in home runs, and 100th in RBI.
Daulton Varsho has 21 doubles, seven triples, 18 home runs and 47 walks while batting .214.
Ernie Clement has 20 doubles, three triples, 11 home runs and nine walks while hitting .265.

Blue Jays Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Ernie Clement	0.5 (-260)	1.5 (+125)	-	0.5 (+165)
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.	0.5 (-280)	1.5 (+110)	-	0.5 (+170)
George Springer	0.5 (-215)	1.5 (+135)	-	0.5 (+225)
Alejandro Kirk	0.5 (-225)	1.5 (+130)	-	0.5 (+165)
Will Wagner	0.5 (-135)	0.5 (-135)	-	0.5 (+255)