Mets vs. Braves Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 26

Mets vs. Braves Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 26

Updated Jul. 26, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET

Charlie Morton will take the mound for the Atlanta Braves against Pete Alonso and the New York Mets on Friday at 7:10 PM ET. The favored Mets have -133 moneyline odds against the underdog Braves, who are listed at +114. New York (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The matchup's total has been set at 7.5 runs.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Braves game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Braves vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest plays and moments in this matchup between the Atlanta Braves and the New York Mets.
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Mets vs. Braves Game Information & Odds

  • When: Friday, July 26, 2024 at 7:10 PM ET
  • Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
  • How to Watch on TV: SNY
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Mets -133 +114 7.5 -115 -105 -1.5 +157 -189

Mets vs. Braves Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Mets 5, Braves 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Mets 56%, Braves 44%

Mets vs. Braves Betting Insights

  • The Mets have been favorites in 54 games this season and won 30 (55.6%) of those contests.
  • New York has entered 27 games this season favored by -133 or more and is 16-11 in those contests.
  • The Mets have a 57.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • The Braves have been victorious in four, or 33.3%, of the 12 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Atlanta has played as an underdog of +114 or more just one time this year and came away with a loss in that game.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Braves have a 46.7% chance of walking away with the win.
FINAL
ATL 4 · NYM 8
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Atlanta Braves
ATL
New York Mets
NYM

Mets Recent Betting Performance

  • The Mets went 4-3 across the seven games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups, the Mets and their opponents combined to hit the over six times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
  • The Mets' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5
HR 19
ERA 3.84
K/9 10.2

Mets Player Insights

  • Francisco Lindor leads the Mets with 22 home runs and has a team-high batting average of .259.
  • In all of the majors, Lindor is 12th in homers and 23rd in RBI.
  • Lindor carries a 10-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last 10 outings he is batting .359 with a double, six home runs, 10 walks and 14 RBI.
  • Pete Alonso is batting .243 with 23 doubles, 20 home runs and 42 walks.
  • Alonso ranks 16th in home runs and 39th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
  • Brandon Nimmo has put up a team-best 63 runs batted in.
  • Jeff McNeil has 16 doubles, nine home runs and 23 walks while batting .231.
  • McNeil has recorded at least one hit in four games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .438 with two doubles, two home runs, a walk and six RBI.

Mets Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
J.D. Martínez 0.5 (-205) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+170)
Brandon Nimmo 0.5 (-210) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+190)
José Iglesias 0.5 (-240) 1.5 (+155) 0.5 (+1000) 0.5 (+230)
Francisco Lindor 0.5 (-210) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+390) 0.5 (+185)
Jeff McNeil 0.5 (-200) 0.5 (-200) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+215)

Learn more about this Mets vs. Braves matchup on Fox Sports.

Braves Recent Betting Performance

  • The Braves have played as underdogs in three of their past 10 games and have gone 1-2 in those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Braves and their opponents are 3-7-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • The Braves have a record of 2-8-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Braves Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 2.9
HR 11
ERA 4.04
K/9 9.5

Braves Player Insights

  • Marcell Ozuna leads the Braves in home runs (28), runs batted in (80) and has recorded a team-best batting average of .305.
  • Ozuna's home run total places him third in the big leagues, and he is third in RBI.
  • Austin Riley is batting .258 with 22 doubles, two triples, 13 home runs and 32 walks.
  • Among all major league hitters, Riley is 72nd in homers and 104th in RBI.
  • Matt Olson has 21 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 36 walks while hitting .225.
  • Jarred Kelenic has 13 doubles, two triples, 11 home runs and 21 walks while batting .244.

Braves Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Marcell Ozuna 0.5 (-195) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+285) 0.5 (+155)
Matt Olson 0.5 (-185) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+400) 0.5 (+170)
Sean Murphy 0.5 (-130) 0.5 (-130) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+245)
Orlando Arcia 0.5 (-120) 0.5 (-120) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+280)
Austin Riley 0.5 (-180) 0.5 () 0.5 (+390) 0.5 (+195)

Braves vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest plays and moments in this matchup between the Atlanta Braves and the New York Mets.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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New York Mets
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