Mets vs. Braves Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 27

Updated Jul. 27, 2024 4:00 p.m. ET

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Tylor Megill takes the mound for the New York Mets on Saturday at Citi Field against Travis d'Arnaud and the Atlanta Braves. First pitch is set for 4:10 PM ET in this third game of a four-game series. Bookmakers list the Mets as -123 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Braves +103 moneyline odds to win. New York is a 1.5-run favorite (at +167 odds). An 8-run over/under has been set for the game.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Braves game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Braves vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Highlights on Friday, July 26.

Mets vs. Braves Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, July 27, 2024 at 4:10 PM ET
• Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
• How to Watch on TV: BSSE

Mets vs. Braves Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 6, Braves 5
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 53%, Braves 47%

Mets vs. Braves Betting Insights

• This season, the Mets have been favored 55 times and won 31, or 56.4%, of those games.
• New York has a record of 23-18 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -123 on the moneyline.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 55.2% chance to win.
• The Braves have come away with four wins in the 13 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Atlanta has yet to win this season when listed as an underdog of +103 or worse on the moneyline this season.
• Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Braves have a 49.3% chance of pulling out a win.

FINAL

ATL 4 · NYM 0

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Atlanta Braves

ATL

+1.5

+101

O 7.5

New York Mets

NYM

-1.5

-121

U 7.5

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets have a 4-3 record from the seven games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Mets and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total six times.
• The Mets' ATS record is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• The Mets leader in both batting average and homers is Francisco Lindor, who comes into the contest hitting .257 and has left the yard 22 times while driving in 62 runs this season.
• Among all hitters in baseball, Lindor is 12th in homers and 24th in RBI.
• Pete Alonso is batting .241 with 23 doubles, 20 home runs and 43 walks.
• Including all major league hitters, Alonso is 16th in home runs and 41st in RBI.
• Brandon Nimmo has a team-best 63 runs batted in.
• Jeff McNeil is hitting .231 with 17 doubles, nine home runs and 23 walks.
• McNeil has recorded at least one hit in five games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .421 with three doubles, two home runs, a walk and six RBI.

Mets Team Props

Learn more about this Mets vs. Braves matchup on Fox Sports.

Braves Recent Betting Performance

• The Braves have played as underdogs in four of their past 10 games and have gone 1-3 in those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Braves and their opponents have failed to hit the over six times.
• The Braves have two wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Braves Recent Stats

Braves Player Insights

• Marcell Ozuna leads the Braves in home runs (29), runs batted in (81) and has recorded a team-best batting average of .308.
• Among all hitters in the majors, Ozuna ranks third in homers and third in RBI.
• Austin Riley has 22 doubles, two triples, 13 home runs and 32 walks while hitting .254.
• Riley is 73rd overall in homers and 108th in RBI this year.
• Matt Olson is batting .226 with 21 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 37 walks.
• Jarred Kelenic is hitting .242 with 13 doubles, two triples, 11 home runs and 22 walks.

Braves Team Props

Braves vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Highlights on Friday, July 26.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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MLB - Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets - 07/27/2024

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