Mets vs. Braves Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 28
Francisco Lindor and the New York Mets play Austin Riley and the Atlanta Braves at Citi Field on Sunday. First pitch is at 1:40 PM ET. The favored Mets have -120 moneyline odds against the underdog Braves, who are listed at +100. Atlanta (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The over/under is 8 runs for this matchup.
Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Mets-Braves game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
Braves vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX
Mets vs. Braves Game Information & Odds
- When: Sunday, July 28, 2024 at 1:40 PM ET
- Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
- How to Watch on TV: BSSE
Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mets | -120 | +100 | 8 | -110 | -111 | -1.5 | -196 | +162 |
Mets vs. Braves Prediction
- Score Prediction: Mets 5, Braves 4
- Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
- Win Probabilities: Mets 53%, Braves 47%
Mets vs. Braves Betting Insights
- This season, the Mets have been favored 56 times and won 31, or 55.4%, of those games.
- New York has a record of 25-21, a 54.3% win rate, when favored by -120 or more by sportsbooks this season.
- The implied probability of a win from the Mets, based on the moneyline, is 54.5%.
- The Braves have won in five, or 35.7%, of the 14 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, Atlanta has come away with a win one time in seven chances when named as an underdog of at least +100 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Braves have an implied victory probability of 50% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
Mets Recent Betting Performance
- The Mets have a 3-4 record over the seven games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
- In their last 10 outings, the Mets and their opponents combined to hit the over five times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
- The Mets' record against the spread is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.
Mets Recent Stats
Stat | Avg/Total |
---|---|
Record | 6-4 |
Runs Per Game | 4.4 |
HR | 16 |
ERA | 3.74 |
K/9 | 10.3 |
Mets Player Insights
- Lindor has a team-best 22 home runs.
- Lindor's home runs place him 13th in MLB, and he is 25th in RBI.
- Pete Alonso has 24 doubles, 20 home runs and 43 walks while hitting .241.
- Alonso ranks 18th in home runs in MLB, and 44th in RBI.
- Brandon Nimmo has accumulated a team-best 63 runs batted in.
- Jesse Winker is batting .257 to pace his team.
Mets Team Props
Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Francisco Lindor | 0.5 (-205) | 1.5 (+125) | 0.5 (+400) | 0.5 (+190) |
Brandon Nimmo | 0.5 (-215) | 1.5 (+130) | 0.5 (+500) | 0.5 (+165) |
José Iglesias | 0.5 (-260) | 1.5 () | 0.5 (+950) | 0.5 (+220) |
Pete Alonso | 0.5 (-170) | 0.5 (-170) | 0.5 (+380) | 0.5 (+150) |
Jeff McNeil | 0.5 (-205) | 0.5 (-205) | 0.5 (+700) | 0.5 (+225) |
Learn more about this Mets vs. Braves matchup on Fox Sports.
Braves Recent Betting Performance
- The Braves have played as underdogs in four of their past 10 games and won one of those contests.
- In their last 10 games with a total, the Braves and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times.
- The Braves have a record of 2-8-0 ATS over their last 10 games.
Braves Recent Stats
Stat | Avg/Total |
---|---|
Record | 3-7 |
Runs Per Game | 3.1 |
HR | 14 |
ERA | 4.44 |
K/9 | 10.2 |
Braves Player Insights
- Marcell Ozuna leads the squad with a batting average of .307, while leading the Braves in home runs, with 30 and runs batted in with 82.
- Ozuna's home run total puts him third in the majors, and he is second in RBI.
- Riley is batting .251 with 22 doubles, two triples, 13 home runs and 32 walks.
- Riley ranks 78th in homers and 110th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
- Matt Olson has 21 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 37 walks while hitting .227.
- Travis d'Arnaud is hitting .257 with 14 doubles, nine home runs and 15 walks.
Braves Team Props
Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Marcell Ozuna | 0.5 (-230) | 1.5 (+120) | 0.5 (+340) | 0.5 (+160) |
Austin Riley | 0.5 (-225) | 1.5 (+120) | 0.5 (+360) | 0.5 (+180) |
Adam Duvall | 0.5 (-225) | 1.5 (+105) | 0.5 (+300) | 0.5 (+170) |
Luke Williams | 0.5 (-105) | 0.5 (-105) | 0.5 (+1100) | 0.5 (+360) |
Orlando Arcia | 0.5 (-150) | 0.5 (-150) | 0.5 (+700) | 0.5 (+225) |
Braves vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX
FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.
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