Mets vs. Braves Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 28

Updated Jul. 28, 2024 1:00 p.m. ET

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Francisco Lindor and the New York Mets play Austin Riley and the Atlanta Braves at Citi Field on Sunday. First pitch is at 1:40 PM ET. The favored Mets have -120 moneyline odds against the underdog Braves, who are listed at +100. Atlanta (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The over/under is 8 runs for this matchup.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Mets-Braves game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Braves vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest plays and moments in this matchup between the Atlanta Braves and the New York Mets.

Mets vs. Braves Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, July 28, 2024 at 1:40 PM ET
• Where: Citi Field in Queens, New York
• How to Watch on TV: BSSE

Mets vs. Braves Prediction

• Score Prediction: Mets 5, Braves 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 53%, Braves 47%

Mets vs. Braves Betting Insights

• This season, the Mets have been favored 56 times and won 31, or 55.4%, of those games.
• New York has a record of 25-21, a 54.3% win rate, when favored by -120 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• The implied probability of a win from the Mets, based on the moneyline, is 54.5%.
• The Braves have won in five, or 35.7%, of the 14 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• This season, Atlanta has come away with a win one time in seven chances when named as an underdog of at least +100 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Braves have an implied victory probability of 50% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

FINAL

ATL 9 · NYM 2

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Atlanta Braves

ATL

-1.5

-107

O 8

New York Mets

NYM

+1.5

-113

U 8

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets have a 3-4 record over the seven games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 outings, the Mets and their opponents combined to hit the over five times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Mets' record against the spread is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Lindor has a team-best 22 home runs.
• Lindor's home runs place him 13th in MLB, and he is 25th in RBI.
• Pete Alonso has 24 doubles, 20 home runs and 43 walks while hitting .241.
• Alonso ranks 18th in home runs in MLB, and 44th in RBI.
• Brandon Nimmo has accumulated a team-best 63 runs batted in.
• Jesse Winker is batting .257 to pace his team.

Mets Team Props

Learn more about this Mets vs. Braves matchup on Fox Sports.

Braves Recent Betting Performance

• The Braves have played as underdogs in four of their past 10 games and won one of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Braves and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times.
• The Braves have a record of 2-8-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Braves Recent Stats

Braves Player Insights

• Marcell Ozuna leads the squad with a batting average of .307, while leading the Braves in home runs, with 30 and runs batted in with 82.
• Ozuna's home run total puts him third in the majors, and he is second in RBI.
• Riley is batting .251 with 22 doubles, two triples, 13 home runs and 32 walks.
• Riley ranks 78th in homers and 110th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Matt Olson has 21 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 37 walks while hitting .227.
• Travis d'Arnaud is hitting .257 with 14 doubles, nine home runs and 15 walks.

Braves Team Props

Braves vs. Mets Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest plays and moments in this matchup between the Atlanta Braves and the New York Mets.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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MLB - Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets - 07/28/2024

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