Mets vs. Brewers Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 27

Updated Sep. 26, 2024 8:01 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Milwaukee Brewers and William Contreras take the field against Brandon Nimmo and the New York Mets on Friday at American Family Field. The Brewers are -102 moneyline underdogs for this matchup against the Mets (-116). New York (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. A 7.5-run total has been set in this matchup.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Brewers game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Mets vs. Brewers Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, September 27, 2024 at 8:10 p.m. ET
Where: American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin
How to Watch on TV: SNY

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Mets	-116	-102	7.5	-118	-104	-1.5	+140	-170

Mets vs. Brewers Prediction

Score Prediction: Brewers 5, Mets 4
Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Mets 53%, Brewers 47%

Mets vs. Brewers Betting Insights

This season, the Mets have won 56 out of the 91 games, or 61.5%, in which they've been favored.
New York has entered 82 games this season favored by -116 or more and is 50-32 in those contests.
The moneyline for this contest implies a 53.7% chance of a victory for the Mets.
The Brewers have been chosen as underdogs in 66 games this year and have walked away with the win 35 times (53%) in those games.
Milwaukee has a mark of 28-23 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by -102 or worse on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Brewers have a 50.5% chance of walking away with the win.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

The Mets won each of the five games they played as a moneyline favorite over their last 10 matchups.
In their last 10 matchups, the Mets and their opponents combined to hit the over six times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
The Mets' record against the spread is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	4.8
HR	15
ERA	3.57
K/9	9.1

Mets Player Insights

Francisco Lindor has put up a team-best batting average of .271.
Among all hitters in baseball, Lindor's home run total ranks him 15th, and his RBI tally puts him 30th.
Lindor takes a hitting streak of four games into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .313 with a double, a home run, three walks and two RBI.
Pete Alonso's 34 home runs and 88 runs batted in both pace his team.
Alonso is 12th in homers and 27th in RBI in the bigs.
Nimmo has 25 doubles, three triples, 22 home runs and 77 walks while hitting .226.
Jesse Winker is hitting .255 with 23 doubles, 14 home runs and 63 walks.

Learn more about this Mets vs. Brewers matchup on Fox Sports.

Brewers Recent Betting Performance

In four games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by oddsmakers, the Brewers had a record of 1-3.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Brewers and their opponents have failed to hit the over seven times.
The Brewers are 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Brewers Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	3.7
HR	6
ERA	3.74
K/9	10.7

Brewers Player Insights

Contreras leads the team in batting average with a mark of .281.
Contreras' home run total puts him 46th in the majors, and he ranks 22nd in RBI.
Willy Adames has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 32 home runs and 111 RBI.
Adames ranks 13th in home runs and fourth in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
Jackson Chourio has 28 doubles, four triples, 21 home runs and 39 walks while batting .274.
Brice Turang is batting .250 with 23 doubles, four triples, seven home runs and 49 walks.