Mets vs. Brewers Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 27

Updated Sep. 27, 2024 8:01 p.m. ET

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The New York Mets will send a hot-hitting Francisco Alvarez to the plate against the Milwaukee Brewers and William Contreras, who has been on a tear in recent games, when the clubs meet on Friday at 8:10 p.m. ET. The Mets are -118 moneyline favorites in this matchup against the Brewers (-102). New York (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The total for the game is listed at 7.5 runs.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Mets-Brewers game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Mets vs. Brewers Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, September 27, 2024 at 8:10 p.m. ET
• Where: American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin
• How to Watch on TV: SNY

Mets vs. Brewers Prediction

• Score Prediction: Brewers 5, Mets 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 54%, Brewers 46%

Mets vs. Brewers Betting Insights

• This season, the Mets have won 56 out of the 91 games, or 61.5%, in which they've been favored.
• New York has a record of 47-30 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -118 on the moneyline.
• The Mets have a 54.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Brewers have been victorious in 35, or 53%, of the 66 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This season, Milwaukee has been victorious 28 times in 51 chances when named as an underdog of at least -102 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Brewers have an implied victory probability of 50.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

FINAL

NYM 4 · MIL 8

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

New York Mets

NYM

-1.5

-118

O 7.5

Milwaukee Brewers

MIL

+1.5

-102

U 7.5

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets were the moneyline favorite in five of their last 10 games, and won every time.
• Over their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Mets and their opponents combined to hit the over six times.
• The Mets have put together a 6-4-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• The Mets best hitter thus far this season is Francisco Lindor, who's hitting at a team-leading .271 rate along with 31 homers and 86 RBI.
• Of all hitters in MLB, Lindor's home run total places him 15th, and his RBI tally ranks him 30th.
• Lindor has collected a hit in four games in a row. During his last five outings he is hitting .313 with a double, a home run, three walks and two RBI.
• Pete Alonso has hit 34 home runs with 88 runs batted in. Both lead his team.
• Alonso is 12th in homers and 27th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Brandon Nimmo is hitting .226 with 25 doubles, three triples, 22 home runs and 77 walks.
• Jesse Winker has 23 doubles, 14 home runs and 63 walks while hitting .255.

Mets Team Props

Learn more about this Mets vs. Brewers matchup on Fox Sports.

Brewers Recent Betting Performance

• The Brewers have played as underdogs in four of their past 10 games and won one of those contests.
• The Brewers and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Brewers have a record of 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Brewers Recent Stats

Brewers Player Insights

• Contreras leads the Brewers with a team-leading batting average of .281.
• Contreras is 46th in home runs and 22nd in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Willy Adames been a consistent power bat this season, as he leads his team with 32 home runs and 111 RBI.
• Adames is 13th in homers and fourth in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
• Jackson Chourio has 28 doubles, four triples, 21 home runs and 39 walks while batting .274.
• Brice Turang is batting .250 with 23 doubles, four triples, seven home runs and 49 walks.

Brewers Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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