Mets vs. Brewers Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 28

Updated Sep. 27, 2024 11:01 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The New York Mets and Brandon Nimmo will square off against the Milwaukee Brewers and Garrett Mitchell on Saturday at 7:15 p.m. ET, in the first game of a three-game series at American Family Field. The Brewers have been listed as -102 moneyline underdogs in this matchup with the favorite Mets (-118). New York is a 1.5-run favorite (at +142 odds). The total is 7.5 runs for this matchup.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Mets-Brewers game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Brewers vs. Pirates Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments from the Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates on September 26th, 2024.

Mets vs. Brewers Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, September 28, 2024 at 7:15 p.m. ET
Where: American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin
How to Watch on TV: FOX

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Mets	-118	-102	7.5	-114	-106	-1.5	+142	-171

Mets vs. Brewers Prediction

Score Prediction: Brewers 5, Mets 4
Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Mets 54%, Brewers 46%

Mets vs. Brewers Betting Insights

The Mets have entered the game as favorites 91 times this season and won 56, or 61.5%, of those games.
New York has a record of 47-30 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -118 on the moneyline.
The implied probability of a win from the Mets, based on the moneyline, is 54.1%.
The Brewers have been chosen as underdogs in 66 games this year and have walked away with the win 35 times (53%) in those games.
Milwaukee has a mark of 28-23 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by -102 or worse on the moneyline.
The Brewers have an implied victory probability of 50.5% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

The Mets were the moneyline favorite in five of their last 10 games, and won every time.
Over their last 10 outings, the Mets and their opponents combined to hit the over on the run total six times (all 10 games had set totals).
The Mets' record against the spread is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	4.8
HR	15
ERA	3.57
K/9	9.1

Mets Player Insights

Francisco Lindor's .271 average leads the Mets this year. His resume also includes 31 homers and driven in 86 RBI.
Lindor ranks 15th in homers and 31st in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
Lindor takes a hitting streak of four games into this game. During his last five outings he is batting .313 with a double, a home run, three walks and two RBI.
Pete Alonso has shown off his power as he paces his team with 34 home runs and 88 runs batted in.
Among all major league hitters, Alonso is 12th in homers and 27th in RBI.
Nimmo is hitting .226 with 25 doubles, three triples, 22 home runs and 77 walks.
Jesse Winker is hitting .255 with 23 doubles, 14 home runs and 63 walks.

Learn more about this Mets vs. Brewers matchup on Fox Sports.

Brewers Recent Betting Performance

In four games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Brewers have a record of 1-3.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Brewers and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times.
The Brewers have won four of their last 10 games against the spread.

Brewers Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	3.7
HR	6
ERA	3.74
K/9	10.7

Brewers Player Insights

William Contreras leads the Brewers with a .281 batting average.
Among all batters in MLB, Contreras is 47th in homers and 22nd in RBI.
Willy Adames been a consistent power bat this season, as he paces his team with 32 home runs and 111 runs batted in.
Adames is 13th among all hitters in the majors in home runs, and fourth in RBI.
Jackson Chourio has 28 doubles, four triples, 21 home runs and 39 walks while batting .274.
Brice Turang is batting .250 with 23 doubles, four triples, seven home runs and 49 walks.