Mets vs. Brewers Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 28

Updated Sep. 28, 2024 7:01 p.m. ET

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Francisco Lindor and the New York Mets will play William Contreras and the Milwaukee Brewers on Saturday at American Family Field, at 7:15 p.m. ET. The favored Mets have -118 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Brewers, who are listed at -102. New York is a 1.5-run favorite (at +142 odds). The game's over/under is set at 7.5 runs.

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Mets-Brewers game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Francisco Lindor smashes his SECOND home run of the game to extend Mets' lead over Padres

Francisco Lindor smashed his second home run of the game to extend the New York Mets' lead over the San Diego Padres.

Mets vs. Brewers Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, September 28, 2024 at 7:15 p.m. ET
• Where: American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wisconsin
• How to Watch on TV: FOX

Mets vs. Brewers Prediction

• Score Prediction: Brewers 4, Mets 3
• Total Prediction: Under 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Mets 55%, Brewers 45%

Mets vs. Brewers Betting Insights

• This season, the Mets have won 56 out of the 92 games, or 60.9%, in which they've been favored.
• New York has entered 78 games this season favored by -118 or more and is 47-31 in those contests.
• The implied probability of a win from the Mets, based on the moneyline, is 54.1%.
• The Brewers have come away with 36 wins in the 67 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Milwaukee has a mark of 28-23 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by -102 or worse on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Brewers have a 50.5% chance of pulling out a win.

FINAL

NYM 0 · MIL 6

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

New York Mets

NYM

-1.5

-108

O 8.5

Milwaukee Brewers

MIL

+1.5

-112

U 8.5

Mets Recent Betting Performance

• The Mets went 5-1 across the six games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups, the Mets and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total six times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Mets have put together a 6-4-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Mets Recent Stats

Mets Player Insights

• Lindor has racked up a team-best batting average of .273.
• In all of Major League Baseball, Lindor ranks 17th in homers and 31st in RBI.
• Lindor carries a five-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .412 with a double, a home run, three walks and two RBI.
• Pete Alonso has hit 34 home runs with 88 runs batted in. Both pace his team.
• Among all MLB hitters, Alonso ranks 12th in home runs and 27th in RBI.
• Brandon Nimmo is batting .226 with 25 doubles, three triples, 22 home runs and 77 walks.
• Jesse Winker has 23 doubles, 14 home runs and 63 walks while batting .253.

Mets Team Props

Learn more about this Mets vs. Brewers matchup on Fox Sports.

Brewers Recent Betting Performance

• The Brewers have played as underdogs in four of their past 10 games and have gone 1-3 in those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Brewers and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times.
• The Brewers have four wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Brewers Recent Stats

Brewers Player Insights

• Contreras leads the team in batting average with a high-water mark of .282.
• Contreras' home run total places him 49th in the majors, and he is 22nd in RBI.
• Willy Adames has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 32 home runs and 111 runs batted in.
• Adames is 13th in home runs and fourth in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
• Jackson Chourio has 28 doubles, four triples, 21 home runs and 39 walks while batting .274.
• Brice Turang has 24 doubles, four triples, seven home runs and 50 walks while batting .254.

Brewers Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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